Handmade-Cobweb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

144

Trades

991

lifetime

Volume

$4.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-01 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 54% +$6

Politics

10% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770147900	21	$844	1,774	1,726	+48	open	—	02-03 19:57
btc updown 15m 1770146100	6	$162	374	266	+108	open	—	02-03 19:29
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	5	$151	12,280	0	+12,280	open	—	03-05 04:58
btc updown 15m 1769971500	4	$143	129	128	+0	open	—	02-01 19:01
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$100	3,765	0	+3,765	open	—	01-30 19:54
btc updown 15m 1770151500	7	$98	91	89	+1	open	—	02-03 20:59
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$81	147	147	+0	open	—	07-18 22:42
btc updown 15m 1770147000	5	$71	62	61	+1	open	—	02-03 19:44
btc updown 15m 1770190200	7	$59	252	53	+199	open	—	02-04 07:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$58	125	125	+0	open	—	02-28 17:10
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	1	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	03-07 20:55
btc updown 15m 1770152400	3	$45	125	25	+100	open	—	02-03 21:14
btc updown 15m 1770148800	3	$44	271	0	+271	open	—	02-03 20:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$40	274	0	+274	open	—	07-19 21:47
btc updown 15m 1770199200	4	$39	31	30	+0	open	—	02-04 10:13
iran strike on us military by february 28	2	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	02-28 17:10
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	3	$35	1,321	0	+1,321	open	—	03-08 21:25
btc updown 5m 1771875600	1	$34	133	0	+133	open	—	02-23 19:40
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	5	$33	2,332	0	+2,332	open	—	01-25 12:39
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$30	3,239	0	+3,239	open	—	02-21 23:19
btc updown 5m 1771361100	3	$29	196	2	+194	open	—	02-17 20:48
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$27	481	0	+481	open	—	02-27 17:12
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$27	31	31	+0	open	—	07-11 21:40
btc updown 5m 1785567900	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	08-01 07:05
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	2	$23	588	588	+0	open	—	07-11 21:40
btc updown 15m 1770041700	4	$23	287	37	+250	open	—	02-02 14:28
btc updown 15m 1770143400	5	$23	293	19	+273	open	—	02-03 18:44
btc updown 15m 1770045300	4	$23	207	0	+207	open	—	02-02 15:26
btc updown 15m 1770057000	3	$23	194	0	+194	open	—	02-02 18:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$23	7,883	0	+7,883	open	—	03-12 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:05:30	btc updown 5m 1785567900	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8ba07e…
07-22 16:49:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	337	3¢	$10	0x54612a…
07-22 12:41:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x746ef0…
07-19 21:47:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x8e97a5…
07-19 20:48:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xc04f58…
07-18 22:42:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	147	42¢	$61	0xea615e…
07-18 21:43:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe01fcb…
07-18 21:29:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9e76d2…
07-11 21:40:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0x3638f5…
07-11 21:40:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	Norway	SELL	588	2¢	$13	0x9bd4ee…
07-11 20:45:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	Norway	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xf7047e…
07-11 20:42:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x341e54…
07-09 10:35:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 extra time	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf421e4…
07-09 10:35:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xdb43b1…
07-09 10:31:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4557dc…
07-04 20:39:40	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd3c19b…
06-09 14:15:39	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2e961f…
06-09 14:13:36	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8f143f…
06-09 14:03:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3bfd49…
06-09 14:01:22	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb6fa34…
06-09 13:38:46	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x427368…
06-09 13:16:16	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x91ac94…
06-03 20:38:03	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x06dec7…
06-03 20:37:52	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Up	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x8ebc72…
05-25 02:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb19be2…
05-25 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa27e82…
05-24 22:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x56b574…
05-24 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14f657…
05-24 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6ac7e8…
05-24 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd180cf…
05-24 21:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x19cd66…
05-24 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6e517…
05-24 21:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x97d10e…
05-24 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6b9a3b…
05-24 21:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0b4087…
05-24 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x007c03…
05-24 16:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5eb60b…
05-24 16:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xef481b…
05-24 16:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x98b860…
05-24 15:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a27d4…
05-24 15:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeccdc8…
05-24 15:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9c8d84…
05-24 15:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe91a23…
05-24 15:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x786340…
05-24 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x46252c…
05-24 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaa3b75…
05-24 14:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfd5808…
05-24 14:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3d7d15…
05-24 14:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0667e4…
05-24 14:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4e3803…
05-24 14:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf1d8bc…
05-24 14:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd22b7a…
05-24 14:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9af77a…
05-24 14:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdb3f45…
05-24 14:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x28ca97…
05-24 14:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd22d28…
05-24 14:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x31058b…
05-24 14:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe557da…
05-24 14:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x83ffaf…
05-24 14:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xec15db…
05-24 14:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6d8ac6…
05-24 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd20266…
05-24 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x524bdb…
05-24 13:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd02b6b…
05-24 13:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5e3859…
05-24 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeb1af1…
05-24 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x663ea2…
05-24 13:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x16a0cd…
05-24 13:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x43a524…
05-24 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5e168b…
05-24 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0c0d53…
05-24 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4b6bf6…
05-24 12:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeb24fa…
05-24 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x594f70…
05-24 12:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x94ba4b…
05-24 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x773fb4…
05-24 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc99693…
05-24 12:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa2a6b7…
05-24 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd4b53f…
05-24 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc8e3e3…
05-24 05:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa9cb71…
05-24 05:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x843988…
05-24 05:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x24ee76…
05-24 05:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd0e1c0…
05-24 05:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcdadd7…
05-24 05:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3633a4…
05-24 04:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2023d1…
05-24 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x222de6…
05-24 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd88afd…
05-24 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xcaf398…
05-24 01:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x804b22…
05-24 00:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x044e48…
05-23 22:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4c3857…
05-23 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xaa7b1f…
05-23 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x796459…
05-21 22:36:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x91ea65…
05-19 16:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x101ffd…
05-19 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc7d1c6…
05-19 16:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x08ee42…
05-19 16:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6af74e…