Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-27 01:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

94% 50% -$70

Sports

3% 50% -$3

Other

2% 25% -$16

Crypto

2% 72% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+162	-$9	1¢	$1	+$10	10-27 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	405	$5.0K	69,314	68,372	+942	No	-$75	03-04 17:11
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$68	990	964	+26	No	+$6	02-08 15:09
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$64	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$1	07-09 20:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$63	330	330	+0	No	+$3	05-15 16:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$59	67	67	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 19:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	39	$58	2,900	2,738	+162	open	—	10-27 01:51
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	31	$45	2,141	2,759	-617	No	+$11	02-06 22:35
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$44	1,502	1,502	+0	No	-$15	07-10 20:52
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$31	425	425	+0	No	-$3	02-02 14:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$31	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	02-01 19:30
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$22	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-01 16:01
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$20	135	135	+0	No	-$9	02-03 06:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$12	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 07:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$11	95	95	+0	open	—	08-18 04:40
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	7	$10	240	240	+0	No	-$1	02-03 20:22
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	4	$10	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	02-03 14:10
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	1	$8	25	0	+25	India	-$8	03-05 07:00
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$8	279	279	+0	No	+$1	02-08 04:13
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-31 17:00 UTC	3	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-31 17:06
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 21:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	01-30 22:30
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 17:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-30 17:00
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 17:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-30 17:04
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-30 13:05
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	01-30 12:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 09:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	02-01 10:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 09:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	02-01 10:36
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-31 17:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-31 17:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 09:00 UTC	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	01-30 09:16
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-31 21:00 UTC	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	02-01 00:38
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 09:00 UTC	4	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	02-01 09:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:51:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	487	1¢	$6	0x2c6f50…
09-09 06:19:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	648	1¢	$7	0x4ec6c6…
08-28 14:40:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,049	2¢	$17	0x080225…
08-27 14:07:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$3	0x57c890…
08-27 13:26:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	454	1¢	$5	0xea8895…
08-27 13:26:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0xcc308b…
08-27 09:23:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x8f533b…
08-22 14:00:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	334	1¢	$3	0xc0ea5a…
08-22 06:47:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	868	1¢	$8	0x34007f…
08-21 03:34:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xb72709…
08-21 03:34:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x832a60…
08-21 03:34:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x32e2ba…
08-21 03:34:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x16aa7d…
08-21 00:33:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6d6c22…
08-20 23:38:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1da661…
08-20 23:37:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x13059e…
08-20 23:36:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x41c2fd…
08-20 23:35:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1517b0…
08-20 23:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x8d9823…
08-20 23:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x61d3c8…
08-20 23:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x10c0c5…
08-20 23:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07b46b…
08-20 21:57:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xa5cffa…
08-20 21:57:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6f1752…
08-20 21:57:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf2dd6f…
08-20 17:34:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xab403f…
08-20 17:34:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x56e1fc…
08-20 17:34:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x07bc0b…
08-20 15:11:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2421ee…
08-20 15:11:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa95c96…
08-20 15:10:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x15c381…
08-20 14:58:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fa5c4…
08-20 14:57:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdbf8a0…
08-20 14:56:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xccc54a…
08-20 14:27:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb4522e…
08-20 14:27:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x81ca19…
08-20 14:27:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x4c824d…
08-20 14:27:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x42c3f4…
08-20 13:33:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$2	0x58d902…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$7	0x5ef483…
08-13 14:37:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x1c0913…
07-29 14:36:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x1adf83…
07-16 20:42:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xd49279…
07-10 20:52:17	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	479	0¢	$1	0xe251ac…
07-10 20:49:32	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	479	1¢	$7	0x2ce8b8…
07-10 19:53:23	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	338	2¢	$7	0xe5ecb7…
07-10 19:43:26	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	338	2¢	$6	0x24cf14…
07-10 19:31:59	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	685	1¢	$6	0x3a5244…
07-09 21:32:23	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	685	2¢	$16	0xe23153…
07-09 20:02:44	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$9	0x587dc1…
07-09 18:52:56	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	269	3¢	$9	0x77c9a3…
07-09 18:51:38	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc59079…
07-09 18:51:38	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	201	3¢	$6	0x29358b…
07-09 11:47:26	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	516	3¢	$16	0x2b394a…
07-08 19:19:23	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	516	3¢	$15	0x36a059…
05-26 00:21:20	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xcbcf58…
05-21 06:29:18	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0xec5f0d…
05-19 16:32:58	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x9f0170…
05-19 16:11:05	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0a388b…
05-19 16:09:47	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x769585…
05-19 16:04:42	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x25141f…
05-18 21:30:51	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x8c3dc4…
05-16 14:28:42	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xf6419d…
05-15 16:56:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	10¢	$33	0xa25a5f…
05-15 10:47:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2d9cc9…
05-15 10:46:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xc09826…
05-15 10:40:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x768fa2…
05-15 10:40:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf48daf…
05-15 10:40:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9596a8…
05-15 10:39:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0x0c3b9a…
05-15 10:35:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x1524ef…
05-15 10:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x17ad3f…
05-15 10:29:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x28313b…
05-15 10:29:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0xf05340…
05-15 10:23:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	9¢	$11	0x9eeb0f…
03-05 07:00:41	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	England	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xfcf105…
03-04 17:11:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,715	0¢	$8	0xae8aa9…
03-04 16:06:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,715	4¢	$106	0x18f407…
03-04 04:33:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	440	4¢	$18	0x944c04…
03-04 04:29:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xac4b59…
03-04 04:29:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x564c51…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xff1928…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xd0093e…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xa136eb…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x99ba98…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x72a39e…
03-04 04:27:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x27d60e…
03-04 04:24:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	136	4¢	$5	0xb21ec0…
03-04 04:24:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x634c84…
03-04 04:24:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x9db9c6…
03-04 04:24:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x77111b…
03-04 04:22:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x387dbe…
03-04 04:20:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	136	4¢	$5	0xb1f40e…
03-04 04:15:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	203	4¢	$8	0x1545cd…
03-04 04:14:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x79a692…
03-04 04:10:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,284	4¢	$51	0x8f8238…
03-04 03:53:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,647	4¢	$103	0x274639…
03-03 21:01:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,518	4¢	$103	0x39726b…
03-03 20:19:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x8d053c…
03-03 20:19:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x8c4abd…