Third-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

5,015

Trades

6,527

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 10-21 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$457

Other

0% 77% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:10 UTC	1	$102	104	0	+104	Up	-$102	08-18 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:50 UTC	1	$78	82	0	+82	Down	+$4	08-18 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:40 UTC	1	$73	78	0	+78	Up	+$5	08-18 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 06:40 UTC	2	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$20	06-21 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 07:10 UTC	1	$57	115	0	+115	Down	-$57	06-21 07:09
bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	8	$53	55	45	+10	Up	-$6	08-15 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:35 UTC	2	$50	73	0	+73	Up	+$23	08-18 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:10 UTC	1	$47	51	0	+51	Up	+$4	08-18 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$40	77	0	+77	Down	-$40	05-29 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 07:05 UTC	9	$39	77	0	+77	Up	-$39	06-21 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:40 UTC	2	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-25 05:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:05 UTC	2	$36	47	0	+47	Down	+$11	08-18 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$36	71	0	+71	Up	-$36	05-29 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC	2	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	09-25 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC	1	$34	69	0	+69	Down	-$34	06-10 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:25 UTC	2	$34	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	08-31 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:30 UTC	2	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	09-25 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	10-21 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 05:30 UTC	1	$29	60	0	+60	Up	-$29	06-10 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 07:00 UTC	1	$29	58	0	+58	Down	+$29	06-21 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:20 UTC	2	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	08-31 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	2	$29	44	44	+0	Down	-$11	08-06 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:20 UTC	2	$26	38	38	+0	Down	-$25	08-11 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:50 UTC	2	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	08-11 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	06-03 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	1	$22	41	0	+41	Down	-$22	09-25 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 04:50 UTC	1	$21	40	0	+40	Down	-$21	06-10 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-13 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:55 UTC	1	$21	23	0	+23	Down	+$2	09-25 05:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:50 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	09-25 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 10:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x8cdcb6…
10-21 10:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf7fee9…
10-21 10:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0xa02577…
10-21 10:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x985a5e…
10-21 10:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x0536e9…
10-21 10:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x758dea…
10-21 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf40127…
10-21 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4549b…
10-21 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb52588…
10-21 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7cbb05…
10-21 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcdaf30…
10-21 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x08ccae…
10-21 09:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x68ab94…
10-21 09:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x87256c…
10-21 09:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd66d9f…
10-21 09:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6b217c…
10-21 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d6ea5…
10-21 08:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa2993f…
10-21 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc834c0…
10-21 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6d86d8…
10-21 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x3fbfb4…
10-21 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3c7910…
10-21 08:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd7bf35…
10-21 07:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0ba58d…
10-21 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5040ea…
10-21 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x24e046…
10-21 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe812ae…
10-21 06:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x84aead…
10-21 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef96ef…
10-21 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x298680…
10-20 13:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x1fc4da…
10-20 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x39311d…
10-20 12:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc45caa…
10-18 15:22:39	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xaa2e79…
10-18 15:15:38	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5d7863…
10-18 10:12:03	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x22fd6d…
10-12 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeee283…
10-12 18:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbd3ba1…
10-12 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x19aaf7…
10-12 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xad25bc…
10-12 16:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8dc018…
10-12 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x27c7af…
10-12 16:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x65df28…
10-12 15:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x43bd58…
10-12 15:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xc00be0…
10-12 15:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8f53bc…
10-12 15:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xefbdd9…
10-12 15:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe63ce8…
10-12 15:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x12bc97…
10-12 15:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5db657…
10-12 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa29e48…
10-12 14:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x0773ae…
10-12 12:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x010170…
10-12 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b4ef8…
10-12 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29ef61…
10-12 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x1ff59d…
10-12 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x113a34…
10-12 09:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4874df…
10-12 09:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ac30c…
10-12 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8818a6…
10-12 08:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfaa3c7…
10-12 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa052fa…
10-12 08:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbdbfb8…
10-12 07:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf1e0f0…
10-12 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x83fd6c…
10-12 07:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x90266d…
10-12 07:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x74f252…
10-12 07:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x604ab4…
10-12 06:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x94ff2b…
10-12 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb8311…
10-12 06:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf9cfb3…
10-12 06:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24683a…
10-12 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xddd8e4…
10-12 05:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x509598…
10-12 05:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3e4d87…
10-12 05:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe51019…
10-12 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x780822…
10-12 04:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadc7b8…
10-12 03:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x478c8c…
10-12 03:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x81af1d…
10-12 02:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x613718…
10-12 02:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeea789…
10-12 02:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d6775…
10-12 02:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8c92a…
10-12 01:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09dabc…
10-12 00:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa8952c…
10-11 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa736f5…
10-11 23:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b4c71…
10-11 22:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x45c8b5…
10-11 22:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa6bd94…
10-11 22:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc83bab…
10-11 22:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32b5bd…
10-11 22:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0843f0…
10-11 22:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe82780…
10-11 22:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ce768…
10-11 21:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8dfa5a…
10-11 21:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x690b65…
10-11 21:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe49c3b…
10-11 21:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7f8bc3…
10-11 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ad59a…