Some-Hoof — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$842

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

664

Trades

2,309

lifetime

Volume

$140.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$270

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-29 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% -$490

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% 17% -$312

Sports

0% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-12,100	-$334	1¢	$-151	+$183	05-20 14:03
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-11,150	-$4	1¢	$-95	-$91	08-22 11:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-204	-$16	12¢	$-24	-$8	08-24 05:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 7pm et	1	$1.5K	1,584	+1,584	Up	-$1,487	08-28 23:50
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 8am et	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	Down	+$25	08-27 12:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1am et	1	$1.5K	1,483	+1,483	Up	+$19	08-28 05:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 12pm et	1	$1.4K	1,510	+1,510	Down	+$60	08-28 16:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1pm et	1	$1.4K	1,572	+1,572	Up	+$161	08-28 17:50
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 8pm et	1	$1.4K	1,372	+1,372	Up	+$20	08-28 00:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 6am et	1	$1.3K	1,430	+1,430	Up	+$91	08-28 10:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 8pm et	1	$1.2K	1,264	+1,264	Down	+$80	08-29 00:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 12am et	1	$1.2K	1,235	+1,235	Down	+$64	08-28 04:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	131	$1.2K	2,784	+2,784	Up	-$187	09-07 11:47
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 4am et	1	$1.1K	1,215	+1,215	Down	+$74	08-28 08:50
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 12pm et	1	$1.1K	1,288	+1,288	Up	+$176	08-27 16:50
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 3pm et	1	$1.1K	1,114	+1,114	Down	+$11	08-27 19:50
bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 11pm et	1	$1.1K	1,073	+1,073	Down	+$12	08-29 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6AM ET	15	$1.1K	1,548	+1,548	Up	-$120	09-07 10:57
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 7pm et	1	$1.0K	1,195	+1,195	Down	+$147	08-27 23:56
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 5pm et	1	$1.0K	1,165	+1,165	Up	+$131	08-27 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET	1	$1.0K	1,127	+1,127	Down	+$109	09-07 21:58
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 4pm et	1	$1.0K	1,115	+1,115	Up	+$110	08-27 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7PM ET	1	$1000	1,093	+1,093	Up	+$93	08-23 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ET	1	$998	1,008	+1,008	Down	+$10	08-24 19:56
bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 7am et	1	$997	1,007	+1,007	Down	+$10	08-26 11:53
bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 11am et	1	$996	1,006	+1,006	Up	+$10	08-26 15:50
bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 9am et	1	$989	1,038	+1,038	Down	+$50	08-25 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5PM ET	1	$984	1,074	+1,074	Up	+$89	08-24 21:57
bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 9pm et	1	$974	1,027	+1,027	Up	+$54	08-26 01:50
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 12am et	1	$957	977	+977	Down	+$20	08-27 04:51
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 2am et	1	$956	1,028	+1,028	Down	+$71	08-27 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11AM ET	1	$950	1,115	+1,115	Down	+$165	09-01 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7AM ET	1	$948	1,098	+1,098	Up	+$150	09-01 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:36:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	178	24¢	$42	0x07eb44…
10-27 20:26:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x52c1ee…
10-20 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd8e0af…
10-20 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x6c7908…
10-20 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x681e29…
10-20 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x5892ef…
10-20 18:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xdf0555…
10-20 18:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x23dc75…
10-20 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x301c92…
10-20 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x05b2c7…
10-20 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xcd91b4…
10-20 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x570ff9…
10-20 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x664e07…
10-20 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa4060c…
10-18 21:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x524a21…
10-18 18:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	46	21¢	$10	0x5f2f2b…
10-18 18:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7f6df5…
10-18 17:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xbabc84…
10-18 17:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xf9b660…
10-18 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xf3d1b2…
10-18 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa2ace5…
10-17 22:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd91759…
10-17 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	225	93¢	$210	0xc6e6b6…
10-17 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd8d7aa…
10-17 21:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xeaa87f…
10-17 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	196	95¢	$186	0x198111…
10-17 21:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xe9adbd…
10-17 21:46:39	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	SELL	292	94¢	$275	0xedd304…
09-29 15:49:30	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9d8ee6…
09-29 15:48:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	505	21¢	$105	0x487cc1…
09-29 15:44:47	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	BUY	186	91¢	$170	0x6634b9…
09-26 08:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0xc2eb66…
09-08 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	724	88¢	$635	0x7c9d75…
09-08 07:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	761	89¢	$676	0x0688bc…
09-07 21:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1,127	90¢	$1,018	0x50d489…
09-07 14:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	682	88¢	$598	0x00f9da…
09-07 12:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	Up	SELL	561	28¢	$157	0x00db6e…
09-07 11:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	518	3¢	$16	0x4aef1d…
09-07 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	355	3¢	$10	0x01d5db…
09-07 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa424cc…
09-07 11:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xda3296…
09-07 11:47:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x92066e…
09-07 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xf668a3…
09-07 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xdcb01a…
09-07 11:47:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x863d88…
09-07 11:47:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbd59d4…
09-07 11:47:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x52a113…
09-07 11:47:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x4c5eab…
09-07 11:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x3e0d68…
09-07 11:47:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0f837c…
09-07 11:47:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeadc9e…
09-07 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x86fa4c…
09-07 11:47:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5c92f4…
09-07 11:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xc215e2…
09-07 11:46:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1c3204…
09-07 11:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x062673…
09-07 11:46:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0038ad…
09-07 11:46:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf4fe0b…
09-07 11:46:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe5d482…
09-07 11:46:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xade8df…
09-07 11:46:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5864ba…
09-07 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x3dcec7…
09-07 11:46:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xfd33b3…
09-07 11:46:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc18670…
09-07 11:46:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x448a9e…
09-07 11:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31f43a…
09-07 11:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x16df02…
09-07 11:46:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x15393c…
09-07 11:46:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc38766…
09-07 11:46:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x57aa4a…
09-07 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc2a53e…
09-07 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4b7717…
09-07 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x4927a0…
09-07 11:46:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0xae7a3e…
09-07 11:46:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9c4630…
09-07 11:46:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x959c60…
09-07 11:46:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xdcbc2f…
09-07 11:46:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xba0a7d…
09-07 11:46:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6ced55…
09-07 11:46:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x2c1af8…
09-07 11:46:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x28e357…
09-07 11:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0xdd99ce…
09-07 11:46:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0xc78f1a…
09-07 11:45:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xefc835…
09-07 11:45:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcba552…
09-07 11:45:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc20a88…
09-07 11:45:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xb7d231…
09-07 11:45:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5cd84e…
09-07 11:45:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc0f52a…
09-07 11:45:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb51d75…
09-07 11:45:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x988f2c…
09-07 11:45:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x63b870…
09-07 11:45:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3ba62b…
09-07 11:45:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf04021…
09-07 11:45:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xea2d24…
09-07 11:45:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdd0286…
09-07 11:45:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8accb5…
09-07 11:45:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbc0af1…
09-07 11:45:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb4add9…
09-07 11:45:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xeb2937…