Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$646

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

8,303

Trades

20,885

lifetime

Volume

$98.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-27

last 10-19 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 49% -$310

Other

7% 55% -$245

Politics

1% 42% -$83

Tech

0% 33% -$6

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No		+13	$6	94¢	$12	+$6	07-07 20:46
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+11	$6	62¢	$7	+$1	07-07 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$96	152	0	+152	Down	-$74	10-08 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$94	183	0	+183	Down	-$94	10-07 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	9	$90	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	09-16 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	14	$88	151	0	+151	Down	-$88	10-12 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$86	140	0	+140	Up	+$54	10-07 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$84	130	0	+130	Up	+$46	10-07 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	10	$84	45	45	-0	Down	+$4	09-16 02:44
bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 10am et	18	$77	267	0	+267	Down	-$27	07-09 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$77	149	0	+149	Down	-$77	10-07 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:30 UTC	13	$75	176	0	+176	Up	+$101	08-29 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$74	126	0	+126	Down	-$74	10-08 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:45 UTC	4	$73	114	0	+114	Up	-$73	09-17 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$72	97	0	+97	Down	-$72	10-08 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$72	124	0	+124	Down	-$72	10-07 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:15 UTC	2	$71	92	0	+92	Down	+$20	09-18 00:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 23:30 UTC	2	$70	95	0	+95	Down	+$25	09-17 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$70	121	0	+121	Down	-$70	10-12 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$70	150	0	+150	Down	-$70	10-08 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:00 UTC	2	$70	97	0	+97	Up	-$70	09-18 00:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:30 UTC	3	$69	103	0	+103	Down	+$34	09-17 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$67	36	36	+0	Down	+$4	09-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$66	120	0	+120	Up	+$54	10-07 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$66	116	0	+116	Up	+$50	10-07 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$65	124	0	+124	Up	+$59	10-07 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$65	120	0	+120	Up	+$55	10-07 17:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	2	$65	103	0	+103	Up	-$65	09-17 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	3	$64	104	0	+104	Up	+$40	10-14 15:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:15 UTC	5	$64	72	0	+72	Down	+$9	09-19 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$63	108	0	+108	Up	+$45	10-08 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	2	$62	87	0	+87	Down	+$25	09-17 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xcd1afb…
10-19 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x472381…
10-19 20:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf4667c…
10-19 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x01f579…
10-19 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x6d9f65…
10-19 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x4517a8…
10-19 19:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x6076ad…
10-19 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x364e19…
10-19 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x016efe…
10-19 18:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x7ded41…
10-19 18:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xd1a0a2…
10-19 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xbda31a…
10-19 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x83298f…
10-19 18:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x70419e…
10-19 18:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x0e47ae…
10-19 17:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x26da48…
10-19 17:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xc05271…
10-19 17:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xb6b3f7…
10-19 17:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0ab8a6…
10-19 17:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x5612f2…
10-19 17:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x3c41d1…
10-19 17:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x0b22a2…
10-19 17:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xbdabfc…
10-19 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x8d046c…
10-19 17:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x7c0bfb…
10-19 16:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x8d2fb8…
10-19 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xb76b91…
10-19 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa68d06…
10-19 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xf328bb…
10-19 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbb50c5…
10-19 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3f2032…
10-19 16:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xf4172b…
10-19 16:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x13b586…
10-19 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xcef894…
10-19 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x6f7482…
10-19 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8e4b59…
10-19 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8378bb…
10-19 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe3e122…
10-19 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x83dee6…
10-19 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x5e8165…
10-19 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x053789…
10-19 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x294367…
10-19 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x4e7f44…
10-19 15:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x200532…
10-19 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1278c0…
10-19 15:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xd5c0d4…
10-19 15:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xbf52ec…
10-19 15:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xce5f5e…
10-19 15:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xaf6626…
10-19 15:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xf17d40…
10-19 15:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xf0d07f…
10-19 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x85789e…
10-19 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xd108d6…
10-19 14:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x1c5364…
10-19 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x397232…
10-19 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa3730a…
10-19 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x45510b…
10-19 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0xf12cf6…
10-19 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9c68fe…
10-19 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x96a88a…
10-19 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8f8240…
10-19 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x46e588…
10-19 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0bc276…
10-19 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2e252f…
10-19 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$9	0xff72f0…
10-19 13:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xd68695…
10-19 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7bd82d…
10-19 13:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xa68b41…
10-19 13:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x712d4c…
10-19 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x8f78a2…
10-19 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe83175…
10-19 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9f570c…
10-19 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xaef157…
10-19 13:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x1ab697…
10-19 13:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xbe52c8…
10-19 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xcf547d…
10-19 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xc39752…
10-19 13:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x850691…
10-19 12:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x44406b…
10-19 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xbdaceb…
10-19 12:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x99047b…
10-19 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x838277…
10-19 12:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x45b06a…
10-19 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xf7961e…
10-19 12:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xc2e9c5…
10-19 12:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	48¢	$11	0x2e1480…
10-19 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$9	0x40584a…
10-19 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x73827f…
10-19 10:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x58d817…
10-19 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8579bf…
10-19 10:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x869afd…
10-19 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe0a9d4…
10-19 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xab10b0…
10-19 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9bc115…
10-19 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x764a7b…
10-19 10:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5cdbd6…
10-19 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x730e90…
10-19 10:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xfd198c…
10-19 10:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x2bd590…
10-19 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x235070…