Dismal-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved (90d)

472

Trades (90d)

516

3,640 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$28.0K

$283.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-02 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 257 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$40

Sports

16% 99% -$54

Crypto

3% 98% +$7

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$200	100	100	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:42
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 02:46
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	15	$200	100	100	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$200	100	100	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	13	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	11	$200	100	100	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$200	100	100	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$200	100	100	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	02-27 10:48
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	12	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 02:51
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	10	$200	100	100	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$200	100	100	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:58:40	Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb733ad…
11-01 22:12:00	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5f995c…
11-01 19:02:18	Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	prodigy	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb07d66…
11-01 14:52:30	Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1cf4e7…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d8e37…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6b69b7…
11-01 01:19:09	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe258b7…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4d5fe4…
11-01 00:43:21	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x761938…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7af483…
11-01 00:05:27	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d108f…
11-01 00:03:39	Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner	NRG	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x799ce9…
10-31 23:42:18	Purdue vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4fafad…
10-31 20:19:42	W100 New Braunfels, TX: Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja	Julieta Pareja	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0677b7…
10-31 19:15:49	Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b78a8…
10-31 16:51:51	Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	WRAITH PCIFIC	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x241c3f…
10-31 10:43:18	Chennai Open, Qualification: Mariia Tkacheva vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50915b…
10-31 10:33:43	Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e7a7c…
10-30 16:48:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x65789a…
10-30 16:00:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e875…
10-30 14:41:39	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5579f…
10-30 12:47:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe87512…
10-30 12:35:31	KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8aec65…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xad3cce…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x416cb5…
10-29 16:56:22	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6788a0…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8fa22f…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9857c3…
10-28 19:32:53	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x724408…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x380d0f…
10-28 17:57:02	W35 Norman, OK: Bella Payne vs Kristina Paskauskas	Bella Payne	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8fc93…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x40bad7…
10-28 14:01:13	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kuwait	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x333a9f…
10-28 00:33:29	Queretaro: Katherine Hui vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x137b43…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb7d8db…
10-27 20:14:09	Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b789…
10-27 16:22:45	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x86bcd7…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x239ab3…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x406434…
10-25 13:26:53	Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Bilbao Basket	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2e27d…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb30035…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd4177d…
10-24 18:10:26	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8fef3…
10-24 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x654d32…
10-24 14:15:11	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55884…
10-24 14:15:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1a4b8f…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8999d8…
10-24 13:00:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2fdf6a…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc3cea3…
10-24 11:57:02	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Mozambique	Uganda	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x741612…
10-24 09:16:08	W15 Bol: Tara Wuerth vs Viktoria Varga	Tara Wuerth	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe02c0d…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb5d8d…
10-23 19:53:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce608a…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4ace1f…
10-23 18:51:42	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Spartak Moscow	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5f3720…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8c571…
10-23 16:00:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb6831…
10-23 07:09:48	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xec0e4d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f0910…
10-23 04:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba4682…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01ab7f…
10-22 07:55:39	M25 Mumbai: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Chirag Duhan	Chirag Duhan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7883cc…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xaca8cb…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x5dd7f3…
10-22 03:02:54	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb8169a…
10-21 17:48:57	Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A	Fluxo W7M	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ccea4…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2191d4…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8b5b43…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bf2f6…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x528ebc…
10-20 17:07:17	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfc5360…
10-20 15:12:00	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x064397…
10-20 12:55:33	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Zambia	Uganda	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c9738…
10-19 21:54:57	W50 Austin: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anastasia Tikhonova	Anastasia Tikhonova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a2179…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb48a79…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3c1a00…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf992f1…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6ab2d…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ec609…
10-18 13:29:27	Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83dd95…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xff1067…
10-18 12:39:24	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	Falcons Force	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e1daf…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1de01a…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd95cb4…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x71d206…
10-16 04:06:19	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x46087a…
10-16 02:26:57	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fbb54…
10-16 00:16:27	W35 Redding, CA: Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma	Lea Ma	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96baa…
10-15 22:39:30	W35 Redding, CA: Francesca Pace vs Duru Soke	Duru Soke	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb39411…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x149bbb…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcfd3e1…
10-15 18:36:59	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x207493…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07d485…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xab9f24…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8dc7e9…
10-14 05:10:34	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfeadb6…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x0627e5…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4f6e2f…