Grotesque-Plight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$171

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-02 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	1	$49	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 10:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-02 21:41
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$14	16	10	+5	Up	$-0	05-13 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$7	8	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-12 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	05-14 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$6	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:17
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-13 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$5	9	2	+6	Down	$-1	05-13 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$4	8	5	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-14 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-0	05-13 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$3	29	29	+0	open	—	05-14 18:38
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 22:33
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$1	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-12 22:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 21:41:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xcb81c2…
05-19 10:16:22	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$49	0x128449…
05-14 18:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e50b7…
05-14 18:49:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc488f1…
05-14 18:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x294b51…
05-14 18:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe2b8fa…
05-14 18:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x7fe41e…
05-14 18:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xce0cc5…
05-14 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ee436…
05-14 18:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xa10034…
05-14 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf1eabb…
05-14 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1e4522…
05-14 18:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xa11cfd…
05-14 18:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c69ad…
05-14 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4c81eb…
05-14 17:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xd6a321…
05-14 17:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6e44a7…
05-14 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x76380a…
05-14 17:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe3f6f8…
05-14 17:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x71fa87…
05-14 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x750e5d…
05-13 09:50:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x2a25f8…
05-13 09:47:02	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x411b87…
05-13 09:46:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xeac282…
05-13 09:45:24	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a1972…
05-13 09:29:29	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x748011…
05-13 09:27:28	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x129e9a…
05-13 09:13:25	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x879ad5…
05-13 09:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x556b58…
05-13 09:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7ec1c0…
05-13 09:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x90e6fc…
05-13 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x78fc56…
05-13 08:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x86adb8…
05-13 08:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0xa600fa…
05-13 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x99363b…
05-13 08:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xa58825…
05-13 08:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf1ca6…
05-13 08:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6324de…
05-13 08:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x056683…
05-13 08:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x363938…
05-13 08:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6bb821…
05-13 08:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x32d033…
05-12 22:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x993f17…
05-12 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf3eda8…
05-12 22:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xd1a8a7…
05-12 22:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x273664…
05-12 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x514aee…
05-12 22:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9fb180…
05-12 22:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6954c3…
05-12 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x02ff06…
05-12 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf9c5f3…
05-12 22:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea11ee…
05-12 22:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2d119a…
05-12 22:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc6104…
05-12 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x065aa6…