Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$156.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.42K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-20 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$6

Other

35% 100% +$54

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$6.3K	6,284	+6,284	open	—	07-09 08:23
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	1	$6.3K	6,520	+6,520	open	—	07-10 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$6.3K	6,278	+6,278	open	—	07-01 19:02
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$6.2K	6,221	+6,221	open	—	06-17 21:36
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	31	$6.1K	6,153	+6,153	open	—	06-04 16:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$6.1K	6,132	+6,132	open	—	06-02 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$6.1K	6,085	+6,085	open	—	06-01 18:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6.0K	6,053	+6,053	open	—	05-20 19:47
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	3	$6.0K	6,012	+6,012	open	—	05-17 11:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$6.0K	6,007	+6,007	open	—	05-15 19:00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	12	$6.0K	5,999	+5,999	open	—	05-14 20:13
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$6.0K	5,964	+5,964	No	+$6	05-06 22:15
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$5.9K	5,959	+5,959	Yes	+$54	05-02 05:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$5.9K	5,895	+5,895	open	—	06-25 15:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$5.9K	5,872	+5,872	open	—	06-21 20:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$5.9K	5,905	+5,905	open	—	04-21 16:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$5.9K	5,858	+5,858	open	—	04-19 15:35
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	1	$5.8K	5,852	+5,852	open	—	04-14 18:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$5.8K	5,840	+5,840	open	—	04-09 04:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$5.8K	5,829	+5,829	open	—	04-07 04:28
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$5.5K	5,524	+5,524	open	—	03-15 02:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$4.8K	4,811	+4,811	open	—	04-01 19:37
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$4.8K	4,779	+4,779	open	—	03-18 05:42
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	open	—	05-23 22:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$2.9K	2,937	+2,937	open	—	03-20 18:49
new stranger things episode released by march 31 299	1	$1.9K	1,870	+1,870	open	—	03-20 18:49
will iran strike israel on march 3	1	$1.8K	1,795	+1,795	open	—	03-05 20:31
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.7K	1,791	+1,791	open	—	02-06 06:12
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$1.7K	1,738	+1,738	open	—	02-02 05:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1.7K	1,702	+1,702	open	—	01-27 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:32:45	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	993	92¢	$912	0xb98bbe…
07-10 14:55:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	6,520	96¢	$6,272	0x4ca169…
07-09 08:23:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6,284	100¢	$6,277	0x17fe2c…
07-01 19:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,278	100¢	$6,259	0xc95aa4…
06-27 16:12:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x915721…
06-27 16:12:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0xf60da9…
06-25 15:38:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5,895	100¢	$5,872	0x7b8e7f…
06-24 18:57:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0xf7c2bc…
06-24 18:57:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa53d61…
06-21 20:12:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	5,872	100¢	$5,860	0x889ae3…
06-18 21:20:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb504ad…
06-18 21:18:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0xee5226…
06-17 21:36:49	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	6,221	100¢	$6,215	0xe74aaa…
06-04 16:54:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	645	100¢	$643	0xde514f…
06-04 16:54:00	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5031c3…
06-04 16:53:03	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9b1ce5…
06-04 16:52:07	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x743bcd…
06-04 16:51:12	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5bf37d…
06-04 16:50:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xef17d1…
06-04 16:49:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x24f97d…
06-04 16:49:06	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x660aa0…
06-04 16:48:10	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x010e0c…
06-04 16:48:03	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xa956eb…
06-04 16:47:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3ac953…
06-04 16:47:04	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x55b687…
06-04 16:46:12	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd88c36…
06-04 16:45:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xd5fdda…
06-04 16:45:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x633b49…
06-04 16:44:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x443168…
06-04 16:43:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x837e3f…
06-04 16:42:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x40201e…
06-04 16:42:09	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d9eaa…
06-04 16:41:13	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x03d777…
06-04 16:40:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdc2c60…
06-04 16:40:04	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x17917a…
06-04 16:39:42	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa07c02…
06-04 16:39:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbd542c…
06-04 16:38:42	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x71bcbc…
06-04 16:38:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xaaa470…
06-04 16:38:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb1c2ec…
06-04 16:38:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4e24c6…
06-04 16:38:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0xf64baf…
06-04 16:38:10	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x92bd13…
06-04 16:37:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,439	100¢	$1,434	0x2487b2…
06-02 18:33:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,132	99¢	$6,083	0x8de06d…
06-01 18:47:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6,085	100¢	$6,079	0x23fc27…
05-24 04:52:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	832	100¢	$829	0x4d4d67…
05-23 23:58:54	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1,247	100¢	$1,242	0xd93672…
05-23 22:58:19	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,984	0xeabf80…
05-20 19:47:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6,053	99¢	$6,023	0x4b6055…
05-17 11:14:00	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,195	100¢	$1,194	0xba781d…
05-17 10:34:53	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	3,720	100¢	$3,716	0x423650…
05-17 09:56:23	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,097	100¢	$1,096	0xbf3af2…
05-15 19:00:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6,007	100¢	$6,001	0x1895ba…
05-14 20:13:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	3,195	100¢	$3,182	0xffe63a…
05-14 20:06:39	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xde567d…
05-14 20:01:11	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x15c3c0…
05-14 19:57:55	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,077	0x71099d…
05-14 18:34:32	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x4c2f51…
05-14 18:32:40	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7cbf71…
05-14 18:32:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe07e6…
05-14 18:32:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf9048b…
05-14 18:32:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe0ea78…
05-14 18:32:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x5a7b4e…
05-14 18:32:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0b0c40…
05-14 18:31:58	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	596	100¢	$593	0x0e0d96…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5,964	100¢	$5,958	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 05:51:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,959	99¢	$5,905	0x24725d…
04-21 16:00:50	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	3,305	99¢	$3,279	0x750088…
04-21 15:21:06	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x7be330…
04-21 15:02:40	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2f4279…
04-21 14:20:24	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	2,438	99¢	$2,418	0x040968…
04-19 15:35:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5,858	100¢	$5,852	0xf5763f…
04-14 18:58:18	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	5,852	100¢	$5,840	0x0f48f1…
04-09 04:33:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	5,840	100¢	$5,829	0x6905d0…
04-07 04:28:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,628	100¢	$2,620	0xa14f3c…
04-07 04:28:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xa00fb9…
04-07 04:28:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x67604b…
04-07 04:28:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xc80707…
04-07 04:27:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x4e4427…
04-07 04:27:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	506	100¢	$504	0xdbcc26…
04-07 04:27:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x590825…
04-07 04:27:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xb5f1c3…
04-07 04:26:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xc17d03…
04-07 04:26:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xb758fb…
04-07 04:26:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x1ba212…
04-07 04:26:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xf6aa2b…
04-01 19:37:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4,811	100¢	$4,806	0x7101b5…
03-20 18:49:55	new stranger things episode released by march 31 299	No	BUY	1,870	100¢	$1,866	0x9e10cd…
03-20 18:49:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	2,937	99¢	$2,913	0x79b66e…
03-18 05:42:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,378	100¢	$4,356	0x2a589d…
03-18 05:41:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x97eead…
03-18 05:33:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$969	0x612f11…
03-15 02:23:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	5,524	100¢	$5,508	0x9beded…
03-14 05:36:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x500b3c…
03-12 17:30:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xabc787…
03-08 21:17:31	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	No	SELL	1,001	0¢	$1	0x1403d4…
03-08 16:25:13	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xbfe10b…
03-08 09:33:53	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	No	BUY	5,015	1¢	$30	0x797755…
03-08 09:33:17	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	No	BUY	14,366	0¢	$29	0x016b06…