Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,615
lifetime
Volume
$116.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$1.02K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-22 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
83%
Other
10% 50% $-0
Crypto
7%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,404 $393 35¢ $485 +$92 07-03 17:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,022 $-204 30¢ $-301 $-98 06-19 02:27
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +214 $164 74¢ $159 $-5 07-05 10:54
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -100 $-29 26¢ $-26 +$3 06-10 23:31
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +291 $-25 $23 +$48 06-14 21:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -352 $-32 $-21 +$11 06-14 21:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +23 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 07-20 00:08