Broken-Cashew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,677

lifetime

Volume

$119.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-10 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% — —

Other

12% 50% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	145	$29.1K	34,133	35,721	-1,589	open	—	03-23 11:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	59	$11.2K	17,939	19,939	-2,000	open	—	03-24 17:06
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	140	$7.2K	8,167	6,367	+1,800	open	—	04-04 17:54
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	135	$6.8K	51,495	19,160	+32,335	open	—	03-15 03:24
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	18	$4.9K	3,782	1,895	+1,886	open	—	06-26 17:23
us strikes iraq by february 28	29	$4.5K	6,247	6,247	+0	open	—	03-03 22:29
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	73	$4.0K	6,862	6,862	+0	open	—	04-08 16:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	70	$3.8K	5,772	7,683	-1,911	open	—	06-26 23:14
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	9	$3.6K	3,918	0	+3,918	open	—	02-05 18:59
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	37	$3.5K	6,911	500	+6,411	open	—	02-28 19:20
Iran leadership change by April 30?	55	$2.4K	20,042	2,901	+17,141	open	—	04-28 23:25
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	23	$2.3K	1,315	1,444	-129	open	—	06-17 13:07
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	26	$2.3K	7,641	0	+7,641	open	—	08-10 15:57
us forces enter iran by march 7	63	$2.3K	53,482	0	+53,482	open	—	03-08 03:40
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	22	$2.2K	3,730	100	+3,630	open	—	02-05 00:41
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.1K	2,102	2,102	+0	open	—	04-05 10:55
iran leadership change by march 31	24	$1.5K	9,679	2,179	+7,500	open	—	03-30 16:09
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 29 2026	14	$1.5K	764	764	+0	open	—	03-31 11:05
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	13	$1.4K	951	951	+0	open	—	04-04 18:53
Iran leadership change by March 13?	115	$1.4K	294,601	0	+294,601	open	—	03-16 00:23
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	7	$1.4K	2,075	2,075	+0	open	—	03-19 20:57
Iran leadership change by May 31?	15	$1.2K	13,702	3,644	+10,058	open	—	05-24 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	57	$1.1K	2,549	3,571	-1,022	open	—	06-19 02:27
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	3	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	03-28 09:14
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 30 2026	12	$955	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	03-29 06:35
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	8	$895	1,631	1,019	+612	open	—	01-31 17:05
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	7	$803	422	422	+0	open	—	03-30 16:05
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	27	$744	23,195	0	+23,195	open	—	08-05 04:19
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	9	$705	2,889	100	+2,789	open	—	03-23 11:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	25	$695	9,629	9,462	+167	open	—	04-26 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:57:01	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x422d67…
08-09 17:31:04	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	780	18¢	$140	0xc609ba…
08-09 09:36:31	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	287	17¢	$50	0xc2bac8…
08-09 02:39:28	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x614d12…
08-09 02:39:19	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x83a608…
08-09 01:30:22	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x158e18…
08-07 16:43:58	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$20	0x5307a2…
08-07 09:35:34	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	457	22¢	$100	0xf71ef5…
08-05 04:19:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	4,962	2¢	$94	0xf29c2e…
08-05 00:13:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x7d7bdf…
08-01 14:20:59	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$154	0xac42e0…
07-31 16:24:00	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xb37fca…
07-31 16:24:00	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	967	34¢	$330	0x29c605…
07-31 07:55:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xcba216…
07-31 07:36:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xd49fde…
07-31 00:45:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd07598…
07-31 00:45:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	5,531	0¢	$6	0x97779e…
07-31 00:43:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	44,270	0¢	$44	0x21ec41…
07-30 10:57:50	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe4b139…
07-30 08:28:24	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1d808f…
07-28 22:17:47	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x59e722…
07-28 22:17:44	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd1dc50…
07-28 16:19:47	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0xc92b44…
07-28 15:42:28	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0xdca627…
07-27 13:27:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	566	18¢	$100	0x7cb9c5…
07-27 11:22:07	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,984	35¢	$700	0x037dc5…
07-26 19:13:30	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0af448…
07-26 18:31:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xced62a…
07-26 17:29:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdb2561…
07-26 16:51:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$11	0xbac259…
07-26 15:26:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	755	3¢	$22	0x901f10…
07-26 15:14:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x22d572…
07-26 14:28:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	349	3¢	$10	0xec4fa7…
07-26 14:01:15	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfa5af4…
07-26 12:32:00	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0xf039a0…
07-26 03:38:54	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x375f2d…
07-25 18:40:52	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	566	35¢	$200	0x8da737…
07-25 13:08:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	9¢	$180	0x0e1971…
07-25 13:00:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xae297c…
07-25 12:59:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xc5b854…
07-25 12:41:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x98b45b…
07-25 12:34:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x0eb2dd…
07-25 12:34:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xd99925…
07-25 11:58:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x47163c…
07-25 11:34:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x9d41ce…
07-25 11:10:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	600	8¢	$49	0xcdadc4…
07-25 10:46:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa3d715…
07-25 10:43:42	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$34	0xedb22c…
07-25 10:35:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x90a3bd…
07-25 10:20:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$86	0x7ee6ec…
07-25 10:16:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa8bf1a…
07-25 10:16:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x4562f5…
07-25 10:16:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x89ebd2…
07-25 08:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x4e3290…
07-25 08:54:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,005	9¢	$90	0xf52bf6…
07-25 01:53:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$32	0x5beb95…
07-24 21:34:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,978	3¢	$67	0x0168c7…
07-24 21:34:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x71f765…
07-24 16:19:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x1a127d…
07-24 09:41:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,417	4¢	$60	0xfe2483…
07-23 01:44:03	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$70	0x7cbec1…
07-22 21:00:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	255	8¢	$20	0xa1d9ac…
07-22 13:08:10	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	2,564	4¢	$100	0x760e1e…
07-22 13:08:00	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,282	4¢	$50	0x4dd0e2…
07-22 13:07:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x5002ac…
07-20 00:08:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x97d2ee…
07-17 22:58:45	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,190	4¢	$50	0x1067c0…
07-17 22:56:39	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,212	4¢	$50	0x10af36…
07-17 22:56:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x547c34…
07-16 20:29:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x412e8c…
07-16 20:29:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x13912f…
07-15 19:32:46	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	4,378	3¢	$136	0xf85556…
07-15 19:07:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x989690…
07-15 18:12:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	562	3¢	$17	0x2f7fe3…
07-15 03:56:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	291	3¢	$10	0x493737…
07-15 03:55:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x8eb9db…
07-15 02:40:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad68b4…
07-15 00:17:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0xa24539…
07-14 23:23:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	850	6¢	$51	0x36afad…
07-14 02:08:49	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x17bcd9…
07-13 02:50:41	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcb4164…
07-08 00:40:28	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9a23c0…
07-08 00:06:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5934d7…
07-08 00:02:31	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4c77b2…
07-07 14:25:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	592	2¢	$11	0xac1882…
07-07 14:23:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,106	1¢	$20	0x41a796…
07-07 14:22:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0xfe5e11…
07-07 14:22:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	261	1¢	$2	0x1053f6…
07-05 10:54:37	Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xad2312…
07-04 21:49:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa16e26…
07-04 21:49:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa85ded…
07-04 21:49:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcce841…
07-04 21:49:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe95b8…
07-04 21:48:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x2d6552…
07-04 21:35:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xc40d2a…
07-04 19:55:44	Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	112	75¢	$84	0xe166c5…
07-04 19:50:34	Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x619250…
07-03 21:02:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x9a8f72…
07-03 18:51:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xd92d1c…
07-03 17:24:53	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	394	25¢	$100	0xadab4a…