Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,571
lifetime
Volume
$115.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$448
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-30 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
84%
Other
9% 50% $-0
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +889 $263 26¢ $235 $-28 07-02 07:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,022 $-204 14¢ $-138 +$66 06-19 02:27
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +291 $-25 $25 +$50 06-14 21:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -352 $-32 $-19 +$12 06-14 21:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +500 $90 $16 $-75 06-29 14:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -100 $-29 16¢ $-16 +$13 06-10 23:31