Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

249

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$338

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 11-08 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

87% 56% -$6

Politics

10% 68% +$16

Tech

2% 67% +$11

Crypto

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	15¢	$1	$0	11-08 09:06
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes		+4	$1	15¢	$1	$0	11-08 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$4	9	+9	No	$0	08-20 02:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$4	8	+8	Yes	+$0	08-11 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	2	$4	10	+10	Yes	+$3	08-21 05:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$4	11	+11	Yes	+$4	08-13 19:20
will abnb reach 144 by july 27 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-22 14:46
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-26 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-08 08:44
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-12 10:36
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-19 17:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-23 00:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-14 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-12 18:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-19 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-17 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 02:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 21:52
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 16:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 11:03
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-03 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-20 13:17
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-09 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-04 15:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 21:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 05:15
spy up or down on august 4 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Up	-$2	08-04 07:06
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 13:50
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-15 18:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-11 18:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-07 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 17:06:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b87d9…
11-08 09:06:34	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x83007e…
11-01 08:51:00	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1a2399…
10-29 22:59:55	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x54e41f…
10-27 01:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x11d3b2…
10-24 15:25:30	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6c3fd0…
10-24 06:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x56959e…
10-23 16:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc6f803…
10-23 08:30:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4da3d3…
10-22 12:22:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x51755e…
10-22 03:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe06045…
10-21 19:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc59c45…
10-21 11:20:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0d5a35…
10-21 03:16:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeae3af…
10-18 06:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xea0f76…
10-17 20:32:05	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0b230b…
10-17 12:28:57	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x163501…
10-17 04:23:41	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcfa400…
10-16 18:16:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7bc585…
10-16 08:27:25	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xff7199…
10-16 00:25:40	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23b8f2…
10-15 15:51:11	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x183f50…
10-15 15:49:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d44a9…
10-15 07:48:59	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8cc9db…
10-14 23:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa4a336…
10-14 02:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfe5fe7…
10-13 18:39:07	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x161343…
10-13 01:24:05	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfae870…
10-10 04:47:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfd6cfa…
10-09 19:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xab5009…
10-09 19:06:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xaa9a5d…
10-09 11:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce599d…
10-09 03:03:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3969e5…
10-08 19:03:30	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc822a…
10-08 11:00:02	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc8afc5…
10-08 02:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30f30d…
10-07 14:56:19	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x059d1c…
10-07 14:21:40	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd17b02…
10-06 16:02:48	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x08dfc6…
10-06 11:51:42	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa87461…
10-06 07:59:55	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x731523…
10-05 13:21:04	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x10ca43…
10-04 20:11:50	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x21c236…
10-04 16:11:46	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6f082f…
10-04 16:11:44	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9e0bd5…
10-04 08:01:34	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf7a565…
10-04 08:01:31	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xffa959…
10-04 07:24:05	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1be82e…
10-04 06:52:11	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x94a1ce…
10-04 06:52:10	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9d948…
10-04 06:11:08	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5956e6…
10-04 06:11:05	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x107e4c…
10-04 05:28:29	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6008d5…
10-03 12:40:59	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7a4ece…
10-03 11:37:24	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xee02ca…
10-03 11:37:21	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd149de…
10-03 04:30:47	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4b4ce9…
10-03 04:02:33	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6276a7…
10-03 03:33:18	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6481fa…
10-03 03:33:17	Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x003dc0…
10-03 02:57:00	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc84ef1…
10-02 20:59:36	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x91fb7d…
10-02 18:39:36	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5e8faf…
10-02 14:37:12	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51fbcc…
10-02 13:31:47	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xea1d8e…
10-02 11:49:41	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd1225a…
10-02 07:21:53	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa37f3a…
10-02 07:21:51	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4ea6af…
10-02 05:31:42	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe2846d…
10-01 22:02:59	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x254d87…
10-01 10:13:23	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x99d85f…
10-01 09:45:29	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x92a8b3…
10-01 05:56:11	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x96ae7d…
09-30 11:24:48	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4d3d2b…
09-30 07:43:23	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdfc4fa…
09-30 07:22:44	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49524c…
09-30 06:41:50	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x552637…
09-30 05:26:11	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x01af54…
09-30 05:26:08	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x856ff5…
09-30 04:55:57	Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2ee0c1…
09-30 03:18:05	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x59397c…
09-30 00:32:27	uslc rho iel 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcbe1c4…
09-29 19:24:51	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x86e0f7…
09-29 04:52:27	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf9651d…
09-28 05:12:54	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6e48a5…
09-28 04:49:56	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xab4180…
09-27 14:12:11	Will Club Almagro win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x41b4d1…
09-27 04:29:47	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd36f6c…
09-26 17:39:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b692d…
09-26 13:51:23	Birmingham City WFC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xed4029…
09-26 12:47:54	Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcef643…
09-26 11:47:47	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8d51c8…
09-26 05:31:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaff8c9…
09-26 05:05:21	Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x08b840…
09-26 05:05:20	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xad52b5…
09-26 05:05:17	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf46cb0…
09-23 18:25:04	Will Inter Toronto FC win on 2026-09-23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa93838…
09-22 07:28:09	Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-09-22?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x680bf3…
09-15 16:23:13	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa31ee…
09-15 16:08:22	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc83f8c…