Present-Punch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

471

Trades

1,422

lifetime

Volume

$6.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-16 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 69% -$38

Other

36% 71% -$16

Politics

21% 75% +$15

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro mugshot released by january 16	11	$283	144	144	+0	No	+$1	01-17 03:55
us bank failure by january 31	21	$279	140	151	-11	Yes	+$10	01-27 21:26
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$253	250	263	-13	Yes	+$58	01-03 07:06
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$201	154	56	+98	No	+$6	01-15 03:14
will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	13	$164	82	82	+0	No	+$1	01-15 19:46
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	7	$163	125	68	+56	No	+$7	01-15 07:27
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	13	$160	84	84	+0	No	+$4	01-27 21:26
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	15	$155	76	94	-18	No	+$1	01-16 22:29
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	13	$148	76	82	-7	Yes	+$10	01-27 21:26
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	7	$122	0	500	-500	Yes	-$128	01-03 06:57
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 16 2026	6	$92	59	42	+17	No	+$4	01-14 04:56
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	11	$92	53	63	-10	No	-$3	01-27 21:27
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 20 2026	6	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$2	01-21 06:01
another us strike on venezuela on january 11	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$1	01-12 12:00
nothing ever happens us strike edition	4	$61	93	93	+0	No	+$15	01-27 21:26
will israel strike lebanon on january 15 2026	4	$61	56	56	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 18:17
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 19 2026	7	$57	38	28	+9	No	+$5	01-12 02:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$49	0	96	-96	No	+$1	01-27 21:27
nothing ever happens january 581	13	$47	59	59	+0	No	-$1	01-27 21:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	5	$47	0	92	-92	Yes	+$0	01-07 01:32
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	5	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$4	01-16 22:29
another us strike on venezuela on january 12	4	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	01-14 02:38
another us strike on venezuela on january 7	3	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	01-08 05:49
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	3	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	01-27 21:27
grok 4pt20 released by january 9	3	$39	0	77	-77	No	+$1	01-06 10:32
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 15 2026	4	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	01-15 07:32
grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	9	$37	592	592	+0	Yes	+$13	01-27 21:27
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	2	$36	19	19	+0	No	$0	01-27 21:26
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 2 2026	2	$34	0	70	-70	No	-$1	01-02 01:03
bitcoin up or down january 22 1pm et	7	$33	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	01-22 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 07:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xbc6756…
05-16 07:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x7f8297…
05-16 07:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc2371e…
05-16 07:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x801ca0…
05-16 07:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1b0b88…
05-16 07:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x855fd5…
05-16 07:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe1c899…
05-16 07:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xba8fcc…
05-16 07:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xaed5ca…
05-16 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x7055cb…
05-16 07:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xcb698f…
05-16 07:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x5125cf…
05-16 07:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1b06f8…
05-16 07:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xec16d0…
05-16 07:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeedeb7…
05-16 07:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb3bcf5…
05-16 07:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbfcd95…
05-16 07:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x46ea88…
05-16 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xa73b58…
05-16 07:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc6e78a…
05-16 07:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x347a4e…
05-16 07:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa808f3…
05-16 07:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x438448…
05-16 07:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x7acfee…
05-16 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5821bd…
05-16 07:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc0c5c…
05-16 07:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5555c1…
05-16 07:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x5bd9b3…
05-16 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6b456f…
05-16 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbcd6ce…
05-16 07:04:20	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xce18d1…
05-16 07:03:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x506a06…
05-16 07:03:47	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x625aa2…
05-16 07:02:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x17f89e…
05-16 07:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe42b94…
05-16 06:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xed7a87…
05-16 06:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45aea7…
01-27 21:27:29	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x94925c…
01-27 21:27:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x8fb869…
01-27 21:27:17	will christian menefee win tx 18 special election	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x119233…
01-27 21:27:15	grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	No	SELL	348	3¢	$12	0x579d84…
01-27 21:27:11	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x73cfc2…
01-27 21:27:07	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x9880e9…
01-27 21:26:55	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 28 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe69081…
01-27 21:26:53	lal lev vil 2025 12 14 draw	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xea8de7…
01-27 21:26:49	lal lev vil 2025 12 14 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x679dbe…
01-27 21:26:41	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x283617…
01-27 21:26:35	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xbca315…
01-27 21:26:33	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 29 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6fb39c…
01-27 21:26:29	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x3d1b40…
01-27 21:26:25	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9213aa…
01-27 21:26:23	us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x6f20ba…
01-27 21:26:11	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	SELL	83	44¢	$37	0x15a008…
01-27 21:26:07	us bank failure by january 31	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x46a9c1…
01-27 21:26:05	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x93e9c0…
01-27 20:54:19	solana up or down january 27 3pm et	Down	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x1d71b4…
01-27 20:03:33	solana up or down january 27 3pm et	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xefb121…
01-27 16:04:17	bitcoin up or down january 27 11am et	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x347ee7…
01-27 16:04:15	bitcoin up or down january 27 11am et	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xa82713…
01-27 16:01:17	ethereum up or down january 27 11am et	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x055d1f…
01-27 13:01:25	solana up or down january 27 8am et	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x94f60d…
01-27 13:00:15	solana up or down january 27 8am et	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x5f0657…
01-27 13:00:15	solana up or down january 27 8am et	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x211c8a…
01-27 13:00:09	solana up or down january 27 8am et	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe72ab2…
01-27 09:06:57	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 29 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2935cc…
01-27 09:00:21	xrp up or down january 27 4am et	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd17ebf…
01-27 09:00:21	xrp up or down january 27 4am et	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xa0bfe1…
01-27 09:00:17	xrp up or down january 27 4am et	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xe365e2…
01-27 08:17:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x67d0c4…
01-27 08:05:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x80653d…
01-27 08:00:01	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb83f0b…
01-27 07:58:31	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xf5268c…
01-27 07:56:31	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x200d33…
01-27 07:41:19	us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xe2dcbf…
01-27 07:32:43	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x7f5a82…
01-27 07:31:17	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x624dc3…
01-27 07:26:01	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4b01f1…
01-27 07:02:17	bitcoin up or down january 27 2am et	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x634315…
01-27 00:28:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xe323da…
01-27 00:28:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x50512c…
01-27 00:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x47272d…
01-27 00:21:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xb215b1…
01-27 00:13:11	bitcoin up or down january 26 7pm et	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xdbc273…
01-27 00:11:55	bitcoin up or down january 26 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2c9e4b…
01-27 00:05:53	solana up or down january 26 7pm et	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6cc951…
01-27 00:04:47	solana up or down january 26 7pm et	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa59d16…
01-27 00:01:23	solana up or down january 26 7pm et	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xcee62b…
01-26 23:32:33	solana up or down january 26 6pm et	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xc08bc9…
01-26 23:13:51	bitcoin up or down january 26 6pm et	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xe3d206…
01-26 23:00:27	solana up or down january 26 6pm et	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x87299c…
01-26 23:00:13	bitcoin up or down january 26 6pm et	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xab397e…
01-26 23:00:09	bitcoin up or down january 26 6pm et	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8b5d78…
01-26 22:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x1dd149…
01-26 22:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x773e24…
01-26 22:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x096a1b…
01-26 22:15:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0cd504…
01-26 22:14:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xeb2c07…
01-26 22:13:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x57fa11…
01-26 22:12:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xc8e8fe…
01-26 22:06:23	xrp up or down january 26 5pm et	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x44c379…