Realistic-Particle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,185

lifetime

Volume

$47.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-09 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

40% 33% $-99

Politics

22% 100% +$10

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

16% 71% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens february 152	12	$1.9K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	02-17 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.7K	1,124	1,124	+0	open	—	02-19 17:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$1.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	02-13 13:10
r6siege flcs vp 2026 07 13	75	$1.1K	1,183	620	+563	open	—	07-13 16:41
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-12 23:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-15 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$949	700	700	+0	open	—	05-24 15:29
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	12	$944	1,209	5	+1,204	open	—	07-16 20:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$936	800	800	+0	open	—	07-20 14:33
lol jdg milo 2026 07 16	6	$910	500	500	+0	open	—	07-16 13:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$892	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	01-30 17:11
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 39m and 43m	27	$852	4,254	1,645	+2,609	open	—	02-16 16:40
wti up or down on july 20 2026	2	$840	800	800	+0	open	—	07-20 14:01
spy up or down on july 13 2026	50	$814	1,854	1,854	+0	open	—	07-13 16:33
will super bowl lx be the most viewed super bowl ever	24	$807	615	628	-13	open	—	02-11 02:12
spy up or down on july 20 2026	14	$782	1,000	600	+400	open	—	07-20 16:41
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$753	637	637	+0	open	—	02-03 20:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	9	$687	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	07-20 13:44
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	7	$658	418	418	+0	open	—	02-01 16:17
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	6	$612	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 13:01
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	9	$528	941	941	+0	open	—	05-20 19:06
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$525	300	300	+0	open	—	02-12 00:38
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on february 20 2026	14	$507	788	788	+0	open	—	02-20 20:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	18	$440	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-17 05:35
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	9	$438	349	349	+0	open	—	03-25 12:15
wti up or down on july 6 2026	4	$424	400	400	+0	open	—	07-06 00:30
trump approval up or down this week 921	13	$394	305	305	+0	open	—	01-31 14:50
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	6	$370	360	360	+0	open	—	02-15 04:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	4	$355	208	208	+0	open	—	06-01 17:45
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on february 20 2026	7	$347	364	364	-0	open	—	02-20 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 02:02:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x8af8fb…
08-08 01:07:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xdd9ce2…
08-08 00:26:57	btc updown 15m 1786148100	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xbd3258…
07-28 16:54:23	will trump say see you soon during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556642	Yes	BUY	84	21¢	$18	0xd13105…
07-28 16:33:11	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	SELL	74	25¢	$19	0xa9ad8a…
07-28 15:24:25	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xb522ae…
07-28 13:53:17	will trump say see you soon during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556642	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x7b0aba…
07-27 03:23:48	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xaad23c…
07-27 03:20:24	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xdb2d30…
07-25 00:47:30	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x534eff…
07-25 00:46:49	will trump say hell 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255809	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x24d7a8…
07-24 23:46:40	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	SELL	165	43¢	$71	0x0ab64f…
07-24 23:35:07	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xbd0226…
07-24 23:31:03	will trump say hell 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255809	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc7de75…
07-24 23:28:18	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xe86c04…
07-24 21:22:42	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x28d1d7…
07-24 21:21:31	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x644b33…
07-24 14:45:49	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x4313c7…
07-24 14:45:19	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x87ed01…
07-24 14:45:07	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb96787…
07-24 14:44:16	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2953b2…
07-24 14:43:42	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2f54e0…
07-24 14:43:36	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd0cad5…
07-24 14:23:40	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9b7e14…
07-24 14:22:49	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xb00b10…
07-24 14:22:46	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0x28104d…
07-24 14:21:51	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0xfdb371…
07-24 02:11:22	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xabe7ec…
07-24 01:50:07	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x476670…
07-24 01:47:22	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x510fbd…
07-23 17:14:01	btc updown 5m 1784826900	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x895b17…
07-21 01:45:34	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xde77ae…
07-21 01:45:00	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	SELL	165	4¢	$7	0x012a68…
07-21 01:44:16	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	110	37¢	$41	0x59bc17…
07-21 01:42:52	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x102eb4…
07-21 01:42:51	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	SELL	110	8¢	$9	0x9a5a2a…
07-21 01:33:19	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	468	35¢	$164	0xdf23de…
07-21 01:31:19	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	95	90¢	$86	0xb61117…
07-21 01:31:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6796e3…
07-21 01:31:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4085dd…
07-21 01:31:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	95	90¢	$86	0x2f3aec…
07-21 01:31:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	Yes	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x096ae1…
07-20 23:37:25	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x7bde65…
07-20 23:37:25	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x2ebb6a…
07-20 16:41:28	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xbae659…
07-20 16:41:28	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	171	89¢	$153	0x89c686…
07-20 16:41:27	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	29	89¢	$25	0x62042c…
07-20 14:33:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	800	59¢	$472	0x228315…
07-20 14:31:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	800	58¢	$464	0x9c447d…
07-20 14:02:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	1,221	1¢	$17	0x256d8e…
07-20 14:01:01	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	800	53¢	$424	0x5a4cfc…
07-20 13:45:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	125	60¢	$75	0x06c5fd…
07-20 13:44:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	135	14¢	$20	0x30a08a…
07-20 13:44:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xb31256…
07-20 13:23:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2be7c7…
07-20 13:23:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xbfa022…
07-20 13:12:09	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	800	52¢	$416	0x1223d7…
07-20 13:11:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	150	62¢	$93	0xce96f0…
07-20 13:11:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xaaccef…
07-20 13:09:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	261	61¢	$159	0x77046e…
07-20 13:01:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0xf340c2…
07-20 13:01:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xc75be2…
07-20 13:01:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	94	52¢	$49	0xa42516…
07-20 12:52:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xa69374…
07-20 12:52:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	95	52¢	$49	0x650801…
07-20 12:52:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	343	52¢	$178	0x8b5ab0…
07-20 12:52:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x5fe7df…
07-20 05:52:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0xa6323a…
07-20 05:44:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	700	30¢	$210	0xfce5cf…
07-20 04:10:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	600	36¢	$216	0x91b654…
07-20 03:21:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6c6f5e…
07-20 03:21:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xd10a6b…
07-20 03:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x666a5d…
07-20 03:21:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x121a94…
07-20 03:21:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xc8f299…
07-20 03:17:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf65b6e…
07-20 03:17:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb342ee…
07-20 03:17:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xaed21a…
07-20 03:17:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe2ffcd…
07-20 03:17:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x587e26…
07-20 03:17:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x9bc494…
07-20 03:13:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8dd234…
07-20 03:13:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x3b1d3d…
07-20 03:13:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb2ada8…
07-20 03:13:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x895491…
07-20 03:13:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xa6cca7…
07-20 03:10:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xfc3526…
07-20 03:09:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2fad07…
07-20 03:09:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x54cb24…
07-20 03:09:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x53bbad…
07-20 03:09:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x14afc1…
07-20 03:09:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x3bc303…
07-20 03:05:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x84e183…
07-20 03:04:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe41d8c…
07-20 03:04:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x42fa65…
07-20 03:04:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xef3327…
07-20 03:04:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x76d575…
07-20 02:56:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x64bd07…
07-20 02:56:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xfe9578…
07-20 02:56:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xcba6e9…