Realistic-Particle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,865

lifetime

Volume

$34.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-08 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

36% 33% $-99

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

21% 71% +$1

Politics

17% 100% +$10

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens february 152	12	$1.9K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	02-17 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.7K	1,124	1,124	+0	open	—	02-19 17:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$1.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	02-13 13:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-15 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$949	700	700	+0	open	—	05-24 15:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$892	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	01-30 17:11
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 39m and 43m	27	$852	4,254	1,645	+2,609	open	—	02-16 16:40
will super bowl lx be the most viewed super bowl ever	24	$807	615	628	-13	open	—	02-11 02:12
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$753	637	637	+0	open	—	02-03 20:03
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	7	$658	418	418	+0	open	—	02-01 16:17
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	9	$528	941	941	+0	open	—	05-20 19:06
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$525	300	300	+0	open	—	02-12 00:38
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on february 20 2026	14	$507	788	788	+0	open	—	02-20 20:00
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	9	$438	349	349	+0	open	—	03-25 12:15
trump approval up or down this week 921	13	$394	305	305	+0	open	—	01-31 14:50
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	6	$370	360	360	+0	open	—	02-15 04:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	4	$355	208	208	+0	open	—	06-01 17:45
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on february 20 2026	7	$347	364	364	-0	open	—	02-20 20:00
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1	4	$340	210	210	+0	open	—	02-10 03:00
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$293	190	190	+0	open	—	04-01 19:50
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	13	$292	1,810	1,810	+0	open	—	04-28 02:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$291	150	150	+0	open	—	04-27 20:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	05-23 16:33
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on february 20 2026	7	$258	235	235	+0	open	—	02-20 19:42
nhl lak car 2026 02 01	2	$255	157	157	+0	open	—	02-01 22:52
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	17	$242	2,415	438	+1,977	open	—	03-27 16:14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	1	$228	300	0	+300	open	—	05-30 00:53
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	5	$216	238	227	+11	open	—	04-25 00:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$215	133	133	+0	open	—	04-24 18:09
btc updown 5m 1771650300	4	$206	412	0	+412	open	—	02-21 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:36:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 1h spread home 0pt5	Knicks	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0xca758f…
06-08 22:25:07	eth updown 5m 1780957500	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x861f53…
06-08 22:22:06	eth updown 5m 1780957500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x159e67…
06-08 22:11:37	eth updown 5m 1780956600	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x45c9e1…
06-08 22:04:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 9pt5	Knicks	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb989e5…
06-07 19:53:13	eth updown 5m 1780861800	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x66fd1c…
06-07 19:47:00	eth updown 5m 1780861500	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x46172d…
06-07 19:39:18	eth updown 5m 1780861200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbc6a4d…
06-07 19:36:15	eth updown 5m 1780860900	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb03d2f…
06-07 19:24:07	eth updown 5m 1780860300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0dfc75…
06-07 04:10:58	mlb nym sd 2026 06 06 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb5a465…
06-07 01:50:36	nhl car las 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0xf71161…
06-07 01:50:34	nhl car las 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0x6de90c…
06-06 22:29:01	mlb cws phi 2026 06 06 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf9f1d2…
06-06 22:16:25	mlb tb mia 2026 06 06 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc66a58…
06-06 22:14:03	mlb cws phi 2026 06 06 total 11pt5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xfa6926…
06-06 19:06:43	eth updown 5m 1780772700	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcd9b41…
06-06 19:06:07	eth updown 5m 1780773000	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9ee776…
06-06 19:02:01	eth updown 5m 1780772400	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xde240c…
06-06 00:37:48	mlb sea det 2026 06 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x6e4c19…
06-05 23:49:46	mlb sea det 2026 06 05 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x3f88b6…
06-05 01:16:18	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x898dab…
06-05 01:16:15	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0837c6…
06-04 15:46:40	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 5 388	Yes	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x28ff21…
06-04 02:25:21	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x88ee95…
06-04 02:11:18	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x8c3c65…
06-04 02:11:13	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x5769d7…
06-04 00:32:21	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x856e00…
06-04 00:11:46	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xf92758…
06-04 00:11:46	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x26dd84…
06-03 19:53:46	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe6f03e…
06-03 19:53:46	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x089163…
06-03 16:27:36	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?	Yes	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x82d549…
06-03 02:05:05	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1cf6ad…
06-03 01:42:16	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x866f1a…
06-03 01:42:15	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf8bd3c…
06-03 01:40:10	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x940d6e…
06-03 01:40:09	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x15fe10…
06-03 01:33:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	151	9¢	$14	0xab716d…
06-03 01:31:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0x4ac758…
06-03 01:13:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x572e97…
06-03 01:08:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x0461cf…
06-03 00:52:24	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x018db4…
06-03 00:52:22	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x7f02fa…
06-03 00:52:22	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x34075e…
06-03 00:01:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	67	17¢	$11	0x5a1d25…
06-02 23:55:05	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8eb6fa…
06-02 19:49:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x279c40…
06-02 19:43:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x8b9edf…
06-02 04:04:11	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x1ce4e7…
06-02 04:04:11	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x15b47f…
06-02 03:17:06	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbaa02c…
06-02 03:17:06	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x04be62…
06-02 03:17:05	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x949566…
06-01 17:45:47	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	208	86¢	$179	0x9c9162…
06-01 16:15:24	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x0e5033…
06-01 16:02:52	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xcd3806…
06-01 16:02:38	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	181	85¢	$154	0x4b683d…
05-31 21:35:29	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x4fe700…
05-31 21:35:28	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd3795b…
05-30 00:53:00	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x7c0258…
05-30 00:52:48	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xaed2ae…
05-30 00:52:46	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x2901b2…
05-30 00:52:29	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x4d483b…
05-30 00:52:29	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x26de9c…
05-30 00:52:18	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	120	37¢	$44	0xe6bb2c…
05-28 21:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	73	50¢	$37	0x9a52bb…
05-28 21:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x1b2768…
05-25 21:56:07	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x171f0c…
05-24 15:29:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$386	0xc8140b…
05-23 22:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$159	0xff9fa1…
05-23 21:43:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xe41b1d…
05-23 21:37:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$41	0x65b6df…
05-23 21:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x0873de…
05-23 16:33:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x1d31e1…
05-23 16:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	66¢	$70	0xb3aea3…
05-23 16:33:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x8e322e…
05-23 16:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x42e5b5…
05-20 19:06:41	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x558152…
05-20 16:05:39	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0x7502ec…
05-20 13:46:25	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x9b0d17…
05-17 03:13:28	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xacbcb0…
05-17 02:01:42	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x636c75…
05-17 01:44:27	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8c9058…
05-17 01:43:40	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xfd5de5…
05-17 01:43:31	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6dc78b…
05-17 01:42:20	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb40a72…
05-17 01:42:04	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x75a382…
05-17 01:37:19	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1f56ad…
05-17 00:52:39	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x972894…
05-17 00:52:39	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x866b80…
05-17 00:42:51	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x878e5f…
05-17 00:26:09	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xae4070…
05-17 00:26:09	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x8512a6…
05-17 00:25:20	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xa36b87…
05-17 00:22:47	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xe28ee0…
05-17 00:17:59	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7b1020…
05-16 23:40:39	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0c7600…
05-16 23:38:47	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdbe8ba…
05-16 23:38:01	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4d8d1…