Realistic-Particle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

1,174

Trades

3,821

lifetime

Volume

$142.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-28 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

65% 50% -$4,332

Sports

13% 58% -$637

Politics

10% 55% -$469

Crypto

8% 51% +$145

Tech

2% 12% -$1,101

Pop-Culture

1% 60% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes		+0	-$8	6¢	$0	+$8	05-04 22:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	148	$9.9K	10,605	10,605	+0	No	$0	07-20 13:29
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	94	$5.1K	4,666	4,666	+0	No	-$13	07-20 14:20
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	37	$3.7K	4,409	4,409	+0	No	-$51	07-20 02:47
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	2	$3.2K	2,998	2,998	+0	Yes	+$2,783	10-18 15:30
nothing ever happens february 152	12	$1.9K	1,391	1,391	+0	Something	+$265	02-17 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.7K	1,124	1,124	+0	Yes	-$3	02-19 17:17
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	5	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	+$25	07-10 17:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$1.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$809	02-13 13:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 4?	10	$1.2K	874	874	+0	No	+$543	07-01 15:00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	4	$1.2K	1,792	1,792	+0	No	-$897	10-21 18:42
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	32	$1.2K	2,960	654	+2,307	No	-$662	09-18 12:20
r6siege flcs vp 2026 07 13	75	$1.1K	1,183	620	+563	Falcons Esport	-$397	07-13 16:41
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	3	$1.1K	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	07-20 19:55
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	3	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 23:42
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	2	$1.1K	557	557	+0	Yes	+$41	06-01 13:45
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	5	$1.1K	605	605	+0	Yes	+$143	10-16 12:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$40	02-15 19:08
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	29	$1.0K	550	550	+0	Yes	+$39	05-29 13:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	16	$1.0K	659	659	-0	Yes	+$302	05-31 12:43
Cowboys vs. Packers	2	$1.0K	724	724	+0	Packers	+$297	10-19 01:49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	3	$997	536	536	+0	Yes	+$70	06-05 13:27
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?	9	$968	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$28	07-20 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$949	700	700	+0	No	+$45	05-24 15:29
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	6	$948	1,108	403	+705	Yes	-$170	10-21 18:56
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	12	$944	1,209	5	+1,204	No	-$936	07-16 20:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	9	$941	572	572	+0	Yes	+$129	05-22 22:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$936	800	800	+0	Yes	+$8	07-20 14:33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 3?	5	$919	502	502	+0	Yes	+$80	06-30 16:37
lol jdg milo 2026 07 16	6	$910	500	500	+0	JD Gaming	+$40	07-16 13:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.75 and 58.5 million views in week 1?	12	$906	616	540	+76	No	+$19	07-04 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:08:25	Courmayeur: Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	232	75¢	$173	0x90dc77…
10-28 16:57:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	640	26¢	$165	0xaf1ea6…
10-27 18:09:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe0d41d…
10-27 18:09:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x8eb9eb…
10-27 18:09:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x2ac73c…
10-27 02:09:32	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	406	69¢	$280	0x1ed0cf…
10-26 21:51:06	Eagles Team Total: O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	260	50¢	$130	0x561c72…
10-26 21:49:24	Cowboys vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xc6cc47…
10-26 21:49:03	1H Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x2d437f…
10-26 01:37:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5	Under	BUY	388	39¢	$150	0x1999ce…
10-26 01:32:39	Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)	Chiefs	SELL	222	13¢	$29	0x0c7ea6…
10-26 01:32:30	Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)	Chiefs	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0xee3b25…
10-26 01:32:23	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Chiefs	SELL	196	25¢	$49	0xa10c8e…
10-26 01:32:18	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	476	16¢	$76	0x1b3f37…
10-25 23:54:02	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Chiefs	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0x12ff1b…
10-25 23:53:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x69b607…
10-25 23:53:27	Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)	Chiefs	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x0cee02…
10-25 23:53:11	Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3470ef…
10-25 15:15:51	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xc4c459…
10-24 00:29:17	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	BUY	240	58¢	$139	0x4f4dc2…
10-23 04:51:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	290	28¢	$81	0x9cf44f…
10-23 00:07:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6 20261017	Yes	BUY	385	47¢	$181	0xaefb6c…
10-23 00:07:14	will mrbeasts next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6 20261017	Yes	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x412031…
10-23 00:07:14	will mrbeasts next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6 20261017	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x1962ed…
10-23 00:06:24	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	578	48¢	$277	0xe56968…
10-23 00:05:30	Caleb Williams: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0x78cd4b…
10-23 00:02:12	Patriots vs. Bears: 1H O/U 16.5	Under	BUY	266	20¢	$53	0x631845…
10-23 00:01:20	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x31e5bc…
10-23 00:01:06	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x05b29c…
10-23 00:01:00	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x43da2c…
10-21 18:56:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	705	92¢	$650	0xaffe48…
10-21 18:42:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	431	0¢	$1	0x9f34c0…
10-21 18:42:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	403	9¢	$37	0x3a4df1…
10-21 18:42:20	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	1,792	8¢	$142	0x974284…
10-21 02:15:06	Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0xa0fc93…
10-21 02:14:21	Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x366872…
10-21 02:14:09	Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xeb26c4…
10-20 12:32:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	516	10¢	$52	0x03c6ba…
10-20 02:05:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	431	17¢	$72	0x54c9d7…
10-20 01:55:44	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xba3edb…
10-20 01:53:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	234	56¢	$130	0x59b328…
10-20 00:17:42	1H Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	49ers	BUY	500	53¢	$265	0xe66c4f…
10-19 23:22:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x3fba12…
10-19 23:22:11	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xdea66c…
10-19 16:26:56	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	600	63¢	$378	0x87659f…
10-19 16:26:56	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x13c63b…
10-19 16:19:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x322734…
10-19 15:58:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0xf741ec…
10-19 15:55:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3defed…
10-19 15:23:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x3a7cd3…
10-19 14:58:32	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	336	65¢	$217	0xa1f54b…
10-19 13:35:53	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	992	54¢	$536	0x0c2c94…
10-19 02:03:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	55	86¢	$48	0xdb18f8…
10-19 02:03:47	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	128	87¢	$111	0xe9be7d…
10-19 02:03:11	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	234	12¢	$28	0xde1309…
10-19 02:01:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 104 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	237	95¢	$225	0x4b1f96…
10-19 01:49:03	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	SELL	724	90¢	$652	0x0d53d6…
10-19 00:02:05	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	724	49¢	$355	0xf7f182…
10-18 20:43:39	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	1,273	55¢	$700	0xd7d93c…
10-18 19:25:54	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0x3235a7…
10-18 15:30:48	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	2,998	100¢	$2,992	0x85b106…
10-17 17:32:47	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2,998	7¢	$209	0xe8755b…
10-17 16:46:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	No	SELL	285	100¢	$285	0x54ab99…
10-17 16:46:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	SELL	497	100¢	$497	0xf2384e…
10-16 16:56:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	220	67¢	$148	0xe97e76…
10-16 13:39:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	No	BUY	285	75¢	$214	0x2c87c3…
10-16 12:50:12	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get at least 20 million views on day 1	Yes	SELL	377	99¢	$373	0xa7e529…
10-16 03:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x585cbf…
10-15 20:55:51	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x5b5938…
10-15 20:55:38	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x316c6d…
10-15 20:55:17	Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)	Seahawks	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd92397…
10-15 20:02:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	278	83¢	$230	0x8ebcbe…
10-15 19:55:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5df1f3…
10-15 19:55:49	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	600	91¢	$546	0x954f03…
10-15 19:42:50	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x6a02e1…
10-15 19:42:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	213	98¢	$209	0x77c453…
10-15 16:01:28	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5ff7bb…
10-15 16:01:26	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	380	40¢	$152	0xeb8e8a…
10-15 16:00:41	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x794b69…
10-15 15:33:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	585	75¢	$439	0xb7c9f1…
10-15 15:29:43	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xac1085…
10-15 13:17:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xb7d151…
10-15 10:50:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8f7449…
10-14 00:01:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	293	60¢	$176	0x9eeb3a…
10-13 14:33:52	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x4f6517…
10-13 05:02:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	90	66¢	$59	0x50fec5…
10-13 04:17:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	136	42¢	$57	0x06f547…
10-13 04:17:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0x06f547…
10-13 03:38:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0x88b052…
10-13 03:38:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x7922a7…
10-13 03:38:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 40 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0xf390d3…
10-13 03:30:27	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	439	26¢	$114	0x55ecb4…
10-13 03:18:15	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x424f9b…
10-13 03:17:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x87f71b…
10-13 00:21:57	Bills vs. Rams: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x37f54a…
10-13 00:21:05	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x79e367…
10-13 00:20:53	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x1f185b…
10-11 00:32:55	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	82	32¢	$26	0x4e7889…
10-11 00:31:49	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xa46210…
10-11 00:31:01	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x562a41…