Tidy-Chops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

714

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-22 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 45% -$601

Other

43% 36% -$842

Sports

6% 50% -$644

Tech

0% 67% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	758	758	+0	Yes	+$152	10-16 17:16
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	20	$1.0K	1,540	0	+1,540	Yes	+$537	06-10 11:27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	8	$823	1,102	200	+902	Yes	-$575	05-12 08:13
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	29	$693	2,522	0	+2,522	No	-$693	05-12 12:14
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	14	$598	822	0	+822	No	+$224	05-12 12:18
will the philadelphia eagles win super bowl 2026	1	$500	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$500	01-04 17:04
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	9	$336	400	0	+400	open	—	10-22 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:15 UTC	5	$135	172	0	+172	Up	+$1	06-09 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$135	651	0	+651	Down	-$4	05-22 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$130	236	0	+236	Up	-$5	05-31 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$125	168	0	+168	Down	+$12	05-22 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$125	209	0	+209	Up	+$1	05-31 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$120	198	0	+198	Down	+$27	05-31 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$120	124	0	+124	Down	+$4	05-22 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$120	126	0	+126	Down	+$6	05-21 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:35 UTC	6	$120	195	0	+195	Up	+$5	06-11 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$120	125	0	+125	Up	+$5	05-22 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$115	180	0	+180	Down	-$90	05-23 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$115	292	0	+292	Down	+$17	05-31 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$115	139	0	+139	Up	+$24	05-20 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$115	121	0	+121	Up	+$6	05-21 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$115	365	0	+365	Down	+$0	05-28 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$115	151	0	+151	Down	+$3	05-28 19:14
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	25	$114	2,337	0	+2,337	No	-$114	05-12 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$110	116	0	+116	Down	+$6	05-21 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$110	112	0	+112	Down	+$2	05-20 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$110	112	0	+112	Up	+$2	05-20 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$110	112	0	+112	Down	+$2	05-21 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:50 UTC	2	$105	226	0	+226	Up	-$4	06-11 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$105	352	0	+352	Down	-$3	05-25 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 14:22:39	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xd65d23…
10-22 14:21:45	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xd8eaf1…
10-22 12:25:12	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	90¢	$74	0xaf457a…
10-22 12:04:59	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7bf07d…
10-22 11:42:09	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x6980ed…
10-22 11:41:51	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xd074b7…
10-22 09:30:35	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xfaa7ca…
10-22 09:30:35	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x3f3e07…
10-22 09:29:09	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xefec8c…
10-21 16:53:59	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xea3280…
10-21 16:41:33	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	79¢	$142	0xdd9716…
10-21 06:15:03	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x7ad88d…
10-16 17:16:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	758	86¢	$652	0x7d5ec8…
10-15 12:30:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x53cbc2…
08-12 12:28:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3d0168…
08-12 12:27:33	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6b6c22…
08-12 12:17:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xf1103d…
08-12 12:17:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x9a0f82…
08-06 02:13:42	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 05	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa0423c…
07-22 13:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x94d0c7…
07-22 05:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xafba0b…
07-21 18:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x745170…
07-21 18:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xde50f6…
07-21 18:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb5f34e…
07-21 18:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x56690a…
07-21 18:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x688b7f…
07-21 18:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4133e5…
07-21 18:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd28b04…
07-21 18:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd74a48…
07-21 18:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xaebc84…
07-21 18:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf7792f…
07-21 18:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x84aaa9…
07-21 18:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xe350cf…
07-21 18:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc735d2…
07-21 18:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x2ec2c1…
07-21 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xcac9ad…
07-21 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0ebc28…
07-21 14:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x682fa6…
07-21 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xacc4c8…
07-21 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x77a714…
07-21 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0da002…
07-21 14:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf3ee02…
07-21 14:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xca595d…
07-21 14:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x003241…
07-21 14:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcb6976…
07-21 14:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x447ada…
07-21 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5d46fd…
07-21 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x73fc4d…
07-21 14:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xaf3655…
07-21 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xada0a3…
07-21 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd06c4b…
07-21 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x49ad8e…
07-21 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9ba69b…
07-21 14:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbe8278…
07-21 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xbd7207…
07-21 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5ec28a…
07-21 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x934e3e…
07-21 13:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3fc27e…
07-21 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x310767…
07-21 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xb9f120…
07-21 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x65138e…
07-21 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xad8d2d…
07-21 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf02574…
07-21 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x93efea…
07-21 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x452328…
07-21 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1a901a…
07-21 12:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x646d3b…
07-21 12:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x99cd69…
07-21 09:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x07be83…
07-21 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5ed588…
07-21 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6b734f…
07-21 09:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9d06c1…
07-21 09:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4576a2…
07-21 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xef69d3…
07-21 09:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x50e833…
07-21 09:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7063de…
07-21 09:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe7bc80…
07-21 09:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x533fc0…
07-21 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x29d998…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xe6068e…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe2a8d9…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xdc2611…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9e83a5…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x68e1e8…
07-21 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x04258e…
07-21 09:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x12c0cb…
07-21 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x529431…
07-21 09:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6454f7…
07-21 09:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfe2e76…
07-21 09:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7c415a…
07-21 09:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x92602b…
07-21 09:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7e7aac…
07-21 09:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa140a5…
07-21 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xcc3a5b…
07-21 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x480390…
07-21 09:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x603e66…
07-21 09:10:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x2ceffe…
07-21 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xba165b…
07-21 05:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x058811…
07-21 05:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xdec2cc…