Naive-Bifocals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

1,057

Trades

4,445

lifetime

Volume

$81.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 06-04 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$1,493

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	13	$566	422	414	+8	Up	+$229	05-30 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	22	$456	375	324	+50	Up	+$139	05-26 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	8	$429	284	284	+0	Up	+$75	05-30 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	7	$423	278	278	+0	Down	+$43	05-30 03:56
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	14	$420	237	232	+5	Up	+$25	05-29 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	6	$418	276	276	+0	Down	+$38	05-30 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	12	$411	363	251	+112	Down	+$83	05-30 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$410	464	327	+137	Down	+$347	05-29 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	7	$405	391	314	+78	Down	-$15	05-30 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	21	$392	520	161	+359	Up	-$79	05-30 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	29	$392	298	292	+6	Down	+$168	05-30 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	35	$365	823	176	+647	Up	-$26	05-31 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	10	$361	352	295	+57	Up	+$172	05-31 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	9	$360	678	70	+608	Up	-$85	05-23 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	14	$360	290	263	+27	Up	+$145	05-29 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	18	$342	290	162	+128	Down	+$90	05-30 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	29	$336	339	248	+91	Down	+$77	05-30 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	11	$331	315	243	+72	Up	+$136	05-28 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	11	$331	214	197	+17	Up	-$2	05-30 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	15	$321	318	159	+159	Up	-$16	05-28 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	13	$319	252	196	+56	Down	+$66	05-30 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	9	$317	438	405	+33	Up	-$171	05-30 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	14	$316	276	207	+69	Down	+$81	05-28 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	17	$306	270	195	+74	Down	+$139	05-30 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	23	$304	338	152	+186	Up	-$12	05-26 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	23	$302	241	234	+7	Up	+$150	05-31 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	11	$296	206	204	+2	Down	+$78	05-30 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	14	$291	319	99	+219	Up	-$20	05-30 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$290	245	136	+109	Down	-$22	05-29 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	17	$281	243	193	+49	Down	+$136	05-30 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x78cec3…
06-04 01:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x45601f…
06-04 00:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xb8171a…
06-04 00:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x0d7832…
06-04 00:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbabd35…
06-03 22:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5109ef…
06-03 21:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xef052a…
06-03 21:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x2b3137…
06-03 21:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x77a3fc…
06-03 21:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x4d44b6…
06-03 21:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x2739c7…
06-03 21:15:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x18229f…
06-03 21:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x016a46…
06-03 21:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x01d9bb…
06-03 21:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74c420…
06-03 20:48:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x038747…
06-03 20:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x10d878…
06-03 20:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x816c90…
06-03 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc654bd…
06-03 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$0	0x89782a…
06-03 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x82aacd…
06-03 20:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x05610c…
06-03 20:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x661a8f…
06-03 20:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3e4638…
06-03 16:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0x96eab8…
06-03 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x2c338e…
06-03 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb23c44…
06-03 15:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0xee55e2…
06-03 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	68	11¢	$7	0x9d0f70…
06-03 15:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0xc4b80c…
06-03 14:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb526b6…
06-03 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb3d968…
06-03 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x78e098…
06-03 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4f810c…
06-03 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x621867…
06-03 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x57a4c0…
06-03 04:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x91b2a9…
06-03 03:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x68610c…
06-03 03:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1e589d…
06-03 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	515	1¢	$5	0x7ab1cd…
06-03 03:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35613e…
06-03 03:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x27d67f…
06-03 03:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x6b9726…
06-03 03:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e64a3…
06-03 03:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ba8e4…
06-03 03:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x11a726…
06-03 03:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x1c6325…
06-03 03:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x831c37…
06-03 03:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xcb3dfe…
06-03 03:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0f69b7…
06-03 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x3f3b7f…
06-03 03:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc2ab26…
06-03 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9d9dcf…
06-03 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0752bd…
06-03 02:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x614dee…
06-03 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x4c1186…
06-03 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x1b2460…
06-03 02:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x938228…
06-03 01:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdd43cf…
06-03 01:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xa0079e…
06-03 00:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf07792…
06-03 00:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x85ecef…
06-03 00:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0bcc0d…
06-03 00:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xb37297…
06-03 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xdf9aaa…
06-03 00:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x792db5…
06-03 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9debfa…
06-03 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x789274…
06-03 00:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xca20e0…
06-03 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x912a38…
06-03 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x16ccfe…
06-03 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0b189c…
06-03 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x446860…
06-03 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x4552d7…
06-03 00:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x057472…
06-03 00:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x82f1ca…
06-02 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x5be421…
06-02 23:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x0decc5…
06-02 23:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6cbf47…
06-02 23:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x9e7e1a…
06-02 23:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xe73e0f…
06-02 23:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xf46766…
06-02 23:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x953072…
06-02 23:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5f6157…
06-02 23:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc6ee2d…
06-02 22:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0xa91af3…
06-02 22:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb08bb0…
06-02 22:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x35b6a1…
06-02 22:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xc45258…
06-02 22:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe513d4…
06-02 22:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2cd211…
06-02 22:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xf69d27…
06-02 21:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb5c828…
06-02 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x62bc35…
06-02 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x376590…
06-02 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0x666075…
06-02 21:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8f8aed…
06-02 19:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb0baac…
06-02 19:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x804b38…
06-02 19:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5a6f31…