Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$525

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-04 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 51% -$470

Other

10% 40% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		-7	-$2	1¢	$-0	+$2	08-04 11:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	25	$4.0K	2,250	2,250	+0	Yes	-$253	01-25 17:06
bitcoin above 86k on january 25	4	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 14:06
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	27	$1.8K	1,692	1,392	+300	No	-$38	02-04 19:13
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	11	$1.1K	605	605	+0	Yes	+$44	01-26 15:21
bitcoin above 88k on january 24	3	$1.0K	510	510	+0	Yes	+$11	01-24 17:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$804	482	482	+0	Yes	+$28	03-20 04:53
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	11	$794	462	462	+0	Yes	+$29	01-29 17:04
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	2	$555	290	290	+0	Yes	+$12	02-09 15:59
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	3	$523	290	290	+0	Yes	+$43	01-28 14:06
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	8	$516	278	311	-33	Yes	+$12	03-04 08:24
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	5	$479	350	350	+0	Yes	-$34	01-27 07:57
bitcoin above 86k on january 27	4	$478	267	267	+0	Yes	+$40	01-27 02:24
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	2	$468	320	320	+0	No	-$7	01-29 17:08
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	3	$436	260	260	+0	No	-$50	01-31 14:18
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	5	$431	237	237	+0	Yes	+$30	02-02 16:41
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	4	$413	233	233	+0	Yes	+$51	03-06 21:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$399	210	210	+0	No	+$18	03-09 01:56
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$389	240	240	+0	Yes	+$82	04-01 13:00
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	3	$375	200	200	+0	Yes	+$15	01-28 00:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 23	5	$333	211	211	+0	Yes	+$89	02-23 17:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$296	241	241	+0	No	-$104	03-13 02:48
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$291	240	100	+140	Yes	+$33	02-12 20:41
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	7	$269	200	200	+0	No	-$20	02-03 12:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$243	165	165	+0	No	-$41	03-13 02:48
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	2	$241	170	170	+0	No	-$44	02-23 13:17
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$238	122	150	-28	Yes	+$27	02-04 03:37
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	3	$232	250	0	+250	Yes	+$17	01-29 17:08
bitcoin above 64k on february 20	2	$215	115	115	+0	Yes	+$12	02-20 07:22
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$204	145	145	+0	No	-$13	03-06 15:20
cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	3	$195	219	0	+219	No	-$195	06-26 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 11:04:24	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x89155e…
08-04 11:03:56	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x2e089c…
08-04 11:02:56	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xb1a44c…
06-26 14:49:49	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xe5f5cb…
06-26 14:48:16	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd68cc7…
06-26 14:48:14	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	119	89¢	$106	0x7ee986…
04-01 13:00:07	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	240	98¢	$235	0x953bd1…
03-20 04:57:19	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0xd52f31…
03-20 04:53:27	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	169	65¢	$110	0xb3e0c9…
03-20 04:53:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	146	61¢	$89	0x704ddd…
03-20 04:28:17	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0xb302bd…
03-20 03:59:49	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdf0154…
03-18 13:12:41	Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x8d2557…
03-18 13:12:31	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0x704977…
03-15 01:02:19	Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	52¢	$41	0x0173f2…
03-14 21:22:19	Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x922633…
03-14 17:43:27	Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xfaf748…
03-14 17:43:09	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x7611cd…
03-14 14:58:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb15407…
03-14 14:43:41	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x035c69…
03-14 09:38:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xd89160…
03-14 09:06:47	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x93939f…
03-14 09:05:27	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xdae399…
03-14 09:05:11	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xbec057…
03-14 08:10:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	89	91¢	$81	0x88d2fc…
03-13 11:19:57	Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x2064b0…
03-13 05:30:19	Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0x8b924e…
03-13 02:58:55	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x6f1cd7…
03-13 02:51:01	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x834814…
03-13 02:48:59	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x0747e5…
03-13 02:48:51	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	241	40¢	$96	0xb6e868…
03-13 02:48:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	165	61¢	$101	0x9beceb…
03-09 02:28:15	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xaa2619…
03-09 02:25:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x2a1d40…
03-09 01:56:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x5991d5…
03-08 23:10:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0x6fae0e…
03-08 23:10:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x54a6b2…
03-08 23:10:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x8152ba…
03-08 22:56:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd6efd8…
03-08 22:56:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0x128f7d…
03-08 22:54:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	336	97¢	$327	0xb75c8f…
03-08 00:45:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x2e774b…
03-08 00:45:11	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0x3ab9a6…
03-06 21:46:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x19920f…
03-06 21:25:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x2c0a96…
03-06 21:24:45	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0xb56e2a…
03-06 15:22:57	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0xc2162f…
03-06 15:20:55	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xa4a332…
03-06 11:59:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd4c9a2…
03-06 09:45:09	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x0bd5f1…
03-06 08:18:41	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xb33c98…
03-06 07:55:39	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	92	69¢	$63	0x6a807a…
03-06 05:56:49	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x774568…
03-06 05:53:21	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xe0fb7f…
03-06 03:31:35	Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x62cdac…
03-05 21:04:11	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x72800a…
03-05 16:44:11	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xa729b5…
03-05 16:38:53	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa28b2b…
03-05 16:35:59	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	46¢	$41	0x1727e2…
03-05 11:09:17	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xcca87c…
03-05 11:04:03	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x147d00…
03-05 04:06:57	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x7d9407…
03-05 03:59:23	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc4e6df…
03-04 15:52:25	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	141	58¢	$82	0xcd8540…
03-04 11:54:43	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7d508d…
03-04 10:16:41	Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x766c02…
03-04 08:24:41	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	88	95¢	$84	0xaf0dcf…
02-28 02:48:01	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x012e57…
02-28 02:41:47	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x943674…
02-27 12:42:45	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x15f19f…
02-27 12:04:59	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xd8c17b…
02-25 11:06:46	bitcoin above 64k on february 25	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x777afc…
02-25 08:11:34	will wintermute be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x3a1186…
02-24 16:59:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 24	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0xd14e30…
02-24 16:50:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xc82041…
02-24 10:33:40	will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x49bf09…
02-24 10:31:54	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf15a5e…
02-24 09:57:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0xda5d93…
02-24 09:56:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xacea57…
02-24 09:56:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9a3124…
02-24 09:32:50	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xa55c7c…
02-24 09:23:26	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3ba6e5…
02-24 08:44:58	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$24	0x0303bd…
02-24 08:30:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xda0d38…
02-24 06:56:34	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0dfb71…
02-24 05:47:26	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x2ad1ff…
02-24 05:12:52	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xac00ab…
02-24 05:10:50	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x71579c…
02-24 05:04:12	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1cac9d…
02-24 05:00:12	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb7a5ef…
02-24 04:11:52	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x67ddab…
02-24 04:10:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x2e5252…
02-24 04:02:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xec2377…
02-23 17:17:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x7b6ba0…
02-23 17:09:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd0152a…
02-23 17:07:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5c69cd…
02-23 17:06:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x6b2473…
02-23 17:06:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0fb028…
02-23 17:06:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x114179…
02-23 17:05:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x21df74…