Realistic-Sturgeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

503

Trades

1,650

lifetime

Volume

$7.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-12 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$146

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775960100	2	$106	66	65	+1	open	—	04-12 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	05-12 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$82	100	0	+100	Down	+$18	05-12 18:47
btc updown 5m 1775905200	13	$80	52	51	+1	open	—	04-11 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	8	$64	40	40	+0	Up	+$9	05-09 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$58	77	48	+29	Down	$-14	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$54	73	0	+73	Down	+$5	05-12 09:13
btc updown 5m 1775761200	16	$53	63	61	+2	open	—	04-09 19:04
btc updown 5m 1775764200	11	$52	32	31	+1	open	—	04-09 19:53
btc updown 5m 1775916300	10	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-11 14:09
btc updown 15m 1775958300	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	04-12 01:54
btc updown 5m 1775755200	12	$47	35	34	+1	open	—	04-09 17:24
btc updown 5m 1775760000	9	$45	35	34	+1	open	—	04-09 18:44
btc updown 5m 1775911800	8	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-11 12:55
btc updown 5m 1775913000	8	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-11 13:11
btc updown 5m 1775759700	9	$41	42	27	+14	open	—	04-09 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	8	$36	45	33	+12	Down	$-10	05-09 02:24
btc updown 5m 1775760300	7	$35	26	20	+6	open	—	04-09 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775757000	8	$35	29	21	+8	open	—	04-09 17:53
btc updown 5m 1775756400	8	$35	31	22	+9	open	—	04-09 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$35	26	26	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 02:10
btc updown 5m 1775912400	6	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	04-11 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$32	46	0	+46	Up	$-12	05-12 12:07
btc updown 5m 1775755500	7	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	04-09 17:27
btc updown 5m 1775914200	11	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	04-11 13:34
btc updown 5m 1775760900	7	$30	20	19	+1	open	—	04-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$30	54	28	+26	Down	$-10	05-11 07:14
btc updown 5m 1775756700	8	$29	42	31	+11	open	—	04-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$29	32	0	+32	Up	$-2	05-09 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc2d310…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb2031d…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	82¢	$14	0xaa89df…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4e526b…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x409f3b…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x39f246…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x38a8b0…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x2b30a2…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2b0a07…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$10	0x136505…
05-12 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x106f1a…
05-12 18:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xf472c3…
05-12 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbc5186…
05-12 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$4	0xa9913f…
05-12 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x99ac7c…
05-12 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x69354a…
05-12 15:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7ad7c4…
05-12 15:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x70f826…
05-12 14:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x869150…
05-12 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xeb9f73…
05-12 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd38667…
05-12 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xed2daf…
05-12 14:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xa7b51f…
05-12 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb33146…
05-12 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x8d3a01…
05-12 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xae8b64…
05-12 14:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x6595bc…
05-12 14:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x28a38f…
05-12 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$13	0xcae673…
05-12 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xa28982…
05-12 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x51bbcf…
05-12 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x69d98d…
05-12 14:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xda7251…
05-12 14:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6d85c5…
05-12 14:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x929cc6…
05-12 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x5a443f…
05-12 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc0c76b…
05-12 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x897e49…
05-12 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x8b6667…
05-12 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x70cc2f…
05-12 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3b132f…
05-12 13:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x138601…
05-12 13:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x7ee10a…
05-12 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x565df2…
05-12 13:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xb580c1…
05-12 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x844f53…
05-12 13:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc94973…
05-12 13:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x097a1d…
05-12 13:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x4a793f…
05-12 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xb2c4e4…
05-12 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1c97e3…
05-12 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa98218…
05-12 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8d7ede…
05-12 12:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x35aa1e…
05-12 12:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xbcbd23…
05-12 12:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x92e31d…
05-12 12:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb42a78…
05-12 12:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x9097f8…
05-12 12:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xab610c…
05-12 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6f6a09…
05-12 12:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xfffbce…
05-12 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xff3c52…
05-12 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x486391…
05-12 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xba3959…
05-12 11:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xb918f2…
05-12 11:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x8542bb…
05-12 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0xdfee26…
05-12 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x785183…
05-12 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1b7528…
05-12 11:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x61602a…
05-12 11:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x9e81c5…
05-12 11:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x998eb7…
05-12 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3c69e7…
05-12 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4484cc…
05-12 10:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc6c9c7…
05-12 10:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbde057…
05-12 10:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8cdf6f…
05-12 10:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8127b2…
05-12 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xc2ebbf…
05-12 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6749cf…
05-12 10:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x283b27…
05-12 10:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xecad83…
05-12 10:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbb9dfd…
05-12 10:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x662162…
05-12 10:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1729ca…
05-12 10:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xab77d2…
05-12 10:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x45cae5…
05-12 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9aaec4…
05-12 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x67e72c…
05-12 09:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfe0928…
05-12 09:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$10	0xca75ca…
05-12 09:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x7a97cb…
05-12 09:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x5175a2…
05-12 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xfab461…
05-12 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x31827c…
05-12 09:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc405eb…
05-12 09:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x77deb3…
05-12 09:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe459c5…
05-12 09:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x273246…
05-12 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1e00f5…