Traumatic-Ruffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

188

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$642

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-14 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% $-38

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$15	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$14	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$14	15	15	+0	Down	$-4	05-07 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 09:35
btc updown 5m 1774284900	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	7	$11	15	4	+10	Down	+$3	05-07 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-10 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$9	12	5	+7	Up	$-7	05-07 09:13
btc updown 5m 1774286100	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 17:20
btc updown 5m 1774270500	2	$8	6	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 11:21
btc updown 5m 1774284600	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 16:55
btc updown 5m 1774283700	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 07:33
btc updown 5m 1774269300	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	7	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 08:36
btc updown 5m 1774281900	2	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	03-23 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:14
btc updown 5m 1774280700	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-07 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 08:21
btc updown 5m 1774287300	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-10 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-07 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-10 17:35
btc updown 5m 1774281600	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-23 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 20:07:15	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x72c840…
05-14 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0bca59…
05-14 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4c06d2…
05-14 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x347ab3…
05-14 19:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x35c0c7…
05-14 19:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a9398…
05-14 19:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3324ad…
05-14 19:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf8088e…
05-14 19:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xed80ed…
05-14 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9b5ba0…
05-14 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x681b84…
05-14 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x539304…
05-14 19:21:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xdccc5a…
05-14 00:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x663c53…
05-14 00:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x8b53ed…
05-14 00:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x53cfcf…
05-13 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd53704…
05-13 23:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaa0f7f…
05-13 23:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x66450f…
05-13 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x467450…
05-13 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5b5578…
05-13 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x630bfe…
05-13 23:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcad03a…
05-13 22:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x7cf213…
05-13 22:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4dd54f…
05-13 22:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xeb13c5…
05-13 22:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3d2ac5…
05-13 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x70c04e…
05-13 22:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd6e810…
05-13 22:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9b2b45…
05-13 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x397fbf…
05-13 22:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x69c8ee…
05-13 22:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4ab00f…
05-13 22:09:08	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b69f2…
05-13 22:07:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaad65e…
05-13 22:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x199032…
05-13 22:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd0303b…
05-13 22:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb10ef1…
05-13 21:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x99f8f8…
05-13 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x646c6a…
05-11 12:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x225584…
05-11 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x843122…
05-11 12:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a521d…
05-11 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeb18d3…
05-11 11:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6bf5fe…
05-11 11:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x28961d…
05-11 10:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x13fc65…
05-11 10:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaed6ab…
05-10 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x72718d…
05-10 17:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0e0ce1…
05-10 17:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb90bfb…
05-10 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x3b25ae…
05-10 17:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5c53fe…
05-10 17:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3729f3…
05-10 17:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9d45ad…
05-10 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x74ee7d…
05-10 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x22f949…
05-10 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6c84ff…
05-10 17:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xe1b5b8…
05-10 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8f432f…
05-10 17:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd4027b…
05-10 17:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2e592a…
05-10 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x07feb4…
05-10 16:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x5418a3…
05-10 16:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x58a2b3…
05-10 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x04d69a…
05-10 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb99422…
05-10 16:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa36906…
05-10 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1241ac…
05-10 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3c4d72…
05-10 16:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x6bd861…
05-10 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x784ef6…
05-10 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4296ef…
05-10 16:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6c518e…
05-10 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0xd326e4…
05-10 15:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6e32cf…
05-10 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd9ab7d…
05-10 15:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x51a94f…
05-10 15:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x511dd7…
05-10 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf83cb3…
05-10 15:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1f8a34…
05-10 15:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb296b1…
05-10 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c79c6…
05-10 15:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xde4fe1…
05-07 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x74c9da…
05-07 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc2df37…
05-07 09:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdd9e4a…
05-07 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x978dfc…
05-07 09:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x534a1f…
05-07 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xdbabde…
05-07 09:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe96caa…
05-07 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5dfb23…
05-07 09:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0fcd5f…
05-07 09:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x7140f8…
05-07 09:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6d6de2…
05-07 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcb8007…
05-07 09:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb06df2…
05-07 09:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x97ef67…
05-07 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x537a72…
05-07 09:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7c008b…