Glistening-Stone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

142

Trades

541

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-03 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 84% -$20

Politics

16% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 520 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$94	179	179	+0	No	-$6	05-19 11:53
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$82	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	05-19 11:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$49	60	60	+0	No	-$1	05-16 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	11	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	11-01 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	7	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	11-02 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	7	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:15
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?	4	$23	2,667	2,667	+0	No	-$7	11-03 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	8	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	8	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	6	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	6	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	7	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	11-02 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	8	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	7	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	6	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	9	$18	18	2	+16	Up	-$14	11-02 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	11-02 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	11-02 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$16	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:14:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?	Yes	SELL	880	0¢	$2	0x218724…
11-03 00:14:49	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?	Yes	SELL	2,667	0¢	$8	0x8097a5…
11-02 14:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5a2d36…
11-02 14:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6712c9…
11-02 14:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3b2069…
11-02 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x733bb9…
11-02 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xfea0c4…
11-02 14:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x01931f…
11-02 14:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3f4c23…
11-02 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xab11c1…
11-02 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x28513f…
11-02 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7e2e4b…
11-02 13:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x22f9b7…
11-02 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x45c0a7…
11-02 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee7e44…
11-02 13:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa76d87…
11-02 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaf5c35…
11-02 13:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5a87e5…
11-02 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x928574…
11-02 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5a06ea…
11-02 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x09161c…
11-02 13:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb3d4e0…
11-02 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbd6ee5…
11-02 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x692095…
11-02 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4660c5…
11-02 13:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x88dd8a…
11-02 13:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1dc33d…
11-02 13:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x34cf6d…
11-02 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2d3731…
11-02 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf4e16e…
11-02 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5d7e67…
11-02 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7931f6…
11-02 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfa6ee9…
11-02 13:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe3b973…
11-02 13:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x729e70…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xefb993…
11-02 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x633e26…
11-02 13:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc05882…
11-02 13:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4acb90…
11-02 13:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf3f53d…
11-02 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xb25cf7…
11-02 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc1f5ab…
11-02 13:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x285225…
11-02 13:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0b3701…
11-02 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaeffca…
11-02 13:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b5f44…
11-02 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x47c23e…
11-02 12:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc4d44f…
11-02 12:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x580647…
11-02 12:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd681b9…
11-02 12:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2e951…
11-02 12:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd95433…
11-02 12:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8d6d43…
11-02 12:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6ce799…
11-02 12:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7c7787…
11-02 12:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x505da5…
11-02 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd5d875…
11-02 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc84ed4…
11-02 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3e15c0…
11-02 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1501f5…
11-02 12:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x79dbcc…
11-02 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbce03f…
11-02 12:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1134d7…
11-02 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb9d61f…
11-02 12:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4533c0…
11-02 12:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x457584…
11-02 12:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9038dd…
11-02 12:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfbdc9b…
11-02 12:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x122d17…
11-02 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2c7c7f…
11-02 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x276407…
11-02 12:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x16d241…
11-02 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb18a1…
11-02 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb5802a…
11-02 12:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x38c914…
11-02 12:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc674e5…
11-02 12:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdc43e2…
11-02 12:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xcecdf6…
11-02 12:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7d85e8…
11-02 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2e9025…
11-02 12:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x42445b…
11-02 12:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7a6d91…
11-02 11:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a8e5a…
11-02 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe1e344…
11-02 11:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x01ee7f…
11-02 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x140792…
11-02 11:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe4f8d7…
11-02 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7d4d66…
11-02 11:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xca0137…
11-02 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf2b39f…
11-02 11:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x01eabf…
11-02 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1f5731…
11-02 11:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xadac33…
11-02 11:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x50fd8b…
11-02 11:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x45ac18…
11-02 11:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb53384…
11-02 11:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x675701…
11-02 11:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf64944…
11-02 11:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5f53d7…
11-02 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x98550e…