Mushy-Vision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.97K

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$5.13K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-28 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

44% 50% +$2,287

Crypto

29% 38% -$1,046

Other

26% 0% -$7,675

Sports

1% 0% -$300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+41,000	$5,530	6¢	$2.7K	-$2,865	09-01 02:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+9,259	$2,500	26¢	$2.5K	-$46	10-28 19:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,000	$68	0¢	$4	-$63	09-07 19:53
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-625	-$5	0¢	$-2	+$3	07-06 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	6	$5.5K	41,000	0	+41,000	open	—	09-01 02:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$4.0K	10,866	0	+10,866	No	-$4,027	09-16 15:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$3.6K	0	6,181	-6,181	Yes	+$3,647	09-23 17:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$2.5K	9,259	0	+9,259	open	—	10-28 19:05
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	44,449	0	+44,449	No	-$2,400	03-06 18:10
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$1.4K	497,462	0	+497,462	No	-$1,359	10-04 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$654	648	648	+0	Down	+$373	05-19 03:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$640	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$640	07-06 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$548	376	376	+0	Up	+$148	05-15 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$460	458	458	+0	Down	+$60	05-19 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$423	856	625	+231	Up	+$23	05-20 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$325	622	0	+622	Down	+$12	05-15 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$318	1,520	177	+1,343	Down	-$78	05-15 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	3	$300	1,016	0	+1,016	Up	-$300	05-15 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$300	767	0	+767	Down	-$300	05-17 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$300	551	0	+551	Up	+$251	05-19 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$293	251	251	+0	Up	+$43	05-19 05:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	200	$288	32,000	0	+32,000	No	-$288	08-18 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$278	184	184	+0	Down	+$78	05-19 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$268	958	254	+704	Up	-$182	05-19 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$260	276	276	+0	Down	+$110	05-15 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$255	157	157	+0	Down	+$55	05-17 23:41
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	1	$230	1,048	0	+1,048	Rousey	-$230	05-15 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$213	248	185	+63	Up	+$113	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	11	$209	888	0	+888	Up	-$209	05-15 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$209	521	0	+521	Up	-$209	05-15 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$200	408	0	+408	Up	-$200	05-18 00:48
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	5,838	0	+5,838	No	-$200	07-02 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$200	616	0	+616	Down	-$200	05-20 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$196	220	220	+0	Up	+$96	05-15 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:05:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	9,259	27¢	$2,500	0x5ae363…
10-04 03:39:34	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	423,844	0¢	$999	0x857a09…
10-04 03:37:32	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55,000	0¢	$110	0xe85bdd…
09-23 17:37:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6,181	59¢	$3,647	0x962df2…
09-22 21:47:19	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0x172869…
09-16 15:53:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,167	12¢	$500	0xe4daa6…
09-14 17:43:42	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,507	2¢	$150	0x882669…
09-07 19:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$68	0x466ca4…
09-07 19:11:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	48¢	$720	0xf8e880…
09-01 02:53:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	15,992	13¢	$2,079	0x366e71…
09-01 01:48:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	103	13¢	$13	0x8218a6…
08-31 20:23:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	86	13¢	$11	0x86998a…
08-31 20:14:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x3a6240…
08-31 20:14:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	20,000	14¢	$2,800	0x7f094e…
08-31 20:12:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	4,808	13¢	$625	0xc0d01a…
08-29 03:40:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,199	54¢	$647	0x993a52…
08-29 03:35:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	54¢	$2,160	0x5af863…
08-18 08:21:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0x4c962d…
08-18 08:21:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xedb91b…
08-18 08:21:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdf386c…
08-18 08:21:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7d1eee…
08-18 08:21:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x16cc63…
08-18 08:18:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9038b9…
08-18 08:07:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe0735f…
08-18 08:07:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x75f4cf…
08-18 08:07:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x67f4bf…
08-18 08:07:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x54152a…
08-18 08:07:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf38571…
08-18 08:07:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf983a1…
08-18 08:06:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4890fc…
08-18 08:06:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1a0059…
08-18 08:06:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x11aa7e…
08-18 08:06:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4f7b9b…
08-18 08:06:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd95e15…
08-18 08:06:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x53854b…
08-18 08:05:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbda3ba…
08-18 08:05:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd3a1e9…
08-18 08:05:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x33bb47…
08-18 08:05:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc2f5fa…
08-18 08:00:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x440a95…
08-18 08:00:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xfee07e…
08-18 08:00:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc7453d…
08-18 08:00:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd24784…
08-18 08:00:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xefec43…
08-18 08:00:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xeac604…
08-18 08:00:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbb3a13…
08-18 08:00:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf086ea…
08-18 07:59:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x86b3e5…
08-18 07:59:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x409ea3…
08-18 07:59:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdb2c9d…
08-18 07:59:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc7c9f3…
08-18 07:59:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x12f439…
08-18 07:59:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0e7d95…
08-18 07:59:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8f0169…
08-18 07:58:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x44c4f4…
08-18 07:43:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x55caf2…
08-18 07:39:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1bb093…
08-18 07:38:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd342e6…
08-18 07:38:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6ae646…
08-18 07:38:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1ab7ba…
08-18 07:38:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd8bb56…
08-18 07:38:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa33f05…
08-18 07:37:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6466a8…
08-18 07:37:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x89ba4a…
08-18 07:37:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd7565b…
08-18 07:37:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xcdc47a…
08-18 07:37:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x98ca16…
08-18 07:37:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x108c7e…
08-18 07:37:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xea0f72…
08-18 07:36:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x45cf8e…
08-18 07:36:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd60245…
08-18 07:36:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7ebd85…
08-18 07:36:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x5eaba6…
08-18 07:31:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x24ff58…
08-18 07:29:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xceddd7…
08-18 07:14:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1432d5…
08-18 07:14:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x22c787…
08-18 07:14:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x563ce7…
08-18 07:14:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xcef463…
08-18 06:56:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2858f5…
08-18 06:55:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x13fb34…
08-18 06:55:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4089f4…
08-18 06:55:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x32d624…
08-18 06:40:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef0fc4…
08-18 06:20:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,272	1¢	$83	0x9af865…
08-18 05:37:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd93c6f…
08-18 05:35:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x02edb6…
08-18 05:28:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,534	1¢	$50	0x6beeea…
08-18 05:28:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x890e86…
08-18 05:24:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x389d94…
08-18 05:23:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	1¢	$2	0x6af966…
08-18 05:21:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42dc5d…
08-18 05:19:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xd7adb2…
08-18 05:17:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb7e60…
08-18 05:14:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3fa33d…
08-18 05:14:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x245088…
08-18 05:14:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x569f60…
08-18 05:14:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xebab43…
08-18 05:14:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeec76f…
08-18 05:13:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6a2cb1…