Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

850

Trades

3,357

lifetime

Volume

$197.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 09-28 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

53% 6% -$999

Politics

35% 6% -$836

Sports

5% 6% -$61

Crypto

4% 3% -$80

Tech

2% 14% -$51

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	21	$3.9K	3,294	3,294	+0	No	-$36	04-03 17:09
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	11	$2.9K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	-$3	03-30 14:15
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	9	$2.4K	1,386	1,386	+0	No	-$7	03-23 13:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$2.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$21	03-23 09:32
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$2.2K	1,239	1,239	+0	Yes	-$13	03-28 09:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	15	$2.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$57	04-01 08:48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	7	$2.1K	1,291	1,291	+0	Yes	-$20	04-01 17:34
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,087	1,087	+0	No	-$38	04-01 17:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$2	04-04 06:26
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	11	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$19	04-04 03:32
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	10	$1.8K	1,367	1,367	+0	Yes	-$19	04-02 01:56
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.8K	922	922	+0	No	-$1	03-28 06:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$9	04-02 04:45
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	12	$1.6K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	-$12	03-27 13:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$1.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$1	04-01 07:01
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	26	$1.6K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	-$3	04-02 16:18
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	13	$1.5K	841	841	+0	Yes	-$9	04-02 05:17
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	8	$1.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	No	-$19	03-23 09:57
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$0	03-22 08:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$0	03-20 07:01
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	03-21 14:12
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	03-20 18:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$35	03-23 12:07
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	03-22 10:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	12	$1.4K	900	900	+0	No	-$5	03-21 11:32
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$6	03-20 19:39
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	8	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$19	03-23 11:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$7	03-29 13:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	04-03 13:10
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$1.3K	797	797	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 21:10:26	Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x30a1be…
04-04 14:35:49	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x49fc2b…
04-04 14:35:45	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x6d4148…
04-04 14:35:39	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x2f618d…
04-04 14:14:29	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x824b05…
04-04 14:14:25	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x3acf47…
04-04 14:06:31	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x85ef82…
04-04 14:06:31	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	660	66¢	$436	0x115f08…
04-04 14:06:23	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	700	67¢	$469	0x44129a…
04-04 13:49:11	will none of the eaglets hatch before april 17 823 292	No	SELL	274	94¢	$257	0x6c2872…
04-04 13:23:33	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x2d0b5f…
04-04 13:23:29	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0xbcf23b…
04-04 13:16:13	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	39	68¢	$26	0x716e02…
04-04 13:16:07	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	39	68¢	$26	0xca087e…
04-04 12:52:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x8b4557…
04-04 12:51:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x299fcc…
04-04 12:13:09	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x854b48…
04-04 12:13:05	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x58b135…
04-04 11:11:07	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	262	3¢	$8	0x34c486…
04-04 11:11:05	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x221155…
04-04 11:10:59	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	322	5¢	$16	0xb16f56…
04-04 11:07:01	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x05ecc1…
04-04 11:06:47	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xab4a7b…
04-04 11:06:41	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xca8d5f…
04-04 10:57:17	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x3e9621…
04-04 10:57:13	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x1ac70b…
04-04 10:52:05	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd0f6a4…
04-04 10:52:01	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd04d5…
04-04 10:38:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xd83574…
04-04 08:42:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0xd80f90…
04-04 08:42:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x43b99b…
04-04 08:42:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3a1737…
04-04 08:36:51	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be less than 70	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe136c2…
04-04 08:36:45	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be less than 70	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd79db2…
04-04 08:33:15	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be at least 90	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbcb3fb…
04-04 08:33:09	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be at least 90	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3ec6b6…
04-04 07:57:47	Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x1c800f…
04-04 07:57:41	Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x1da1b0…
04-04 07:28:35	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x69c8a1…
04-04 07:28:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xcbc2a6…
04-04 06:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0x475982…
04-04 06:35:41	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	161	16¢	$26	0xb5a547…
04-04 06:35:37	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	161	17¢	$27	0xcbfed5…
04-04 06:29:51	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt6 in march	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x2a351e…
04-04 06:29:47	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt6 in march	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$0	0x951f67…
04-04 06:26:53	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	700	47¢	$329	0x9cecb2…
04-04 06:26:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	700	48¢	$336	0x43867c…
04-04 06:26:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xb9ffcc…
04-04 06:26:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x762f80…
04-04 06:26:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x95dd94…
04-04 06:26:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	700	96¢	$673	0x27eb33…
04-04 06:10:47	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xedb039…
04-04 06:10:41	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb5dd53…
04-04 04:01:05	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	No	SELL	271	76¢	$206	0xd1d75c…
04-04 04:01:01	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	No	BUY	323	77¢	$249	0xe6734b…
04-04 03:45:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xf5a124…
04-04 03:45:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	SELL	576	89¢	$513	0xc23e36…
04-04 03:45:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x1dfd95…
04-04 03:45:43	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	BUY	641	90¢	$577	0xedda11…
04-04 03:32:03	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	700	61¢	$427	0x113118…
04-04 03:31:59	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	700	62¢	$434	0x975cb1…
04-04 03:11:43	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x789b4f…
04-04 03:11:37	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7f55f8…
04-04 03:08:27	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x3d98aa…
04-04 02:58:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfa688e…
04-04 02:58:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x85c55f…
04-04 02:47:41	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0x99136b…
04-04 02:40:07	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0xdfba11…
04-04 02:40:01	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5f1d5a…
04-04 01:43:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	640	2¢	$15	0xc57ba3…
04-04 01:43:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x147384…
04-04 01:43:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$18	0x9dce67…
04-04 01:37:41	will none of the eaglets hatch before april 17 823 292	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x7019c1…
04-04 01:28:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	700	41¢	$287	0xcf2320…
04-04 01:28:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	700	41¢	$287	0xff4649…
04-04 01:17:05	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0x413991…
04-04 01:17:03	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0e72b9…
04-04 01:17:01	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc8b043…
04-04 01:16:59	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xbfe293…
04-04 01:16:57	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd7c859…
04-04 01:16:57	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0b8ed4…
04-04 01:16:55	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xb9ea84…
04-04 01:16:51	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0xd26453…
04-04 01:05:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x93e489…
04-04 01:04:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe65ecc…
04-04 00:02:27	Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xc4ba3d…
04-04 00:02:11	Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x34b53c…
04-03 23:51:49	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xf474f2…
04-03 23:44:09	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 60 79	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xe9fa56…
04-03 23:44:07	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 60 79	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x5872f8…
04-03 23:44:03	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 60 79	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xea89a0…
04-03 23:34:07	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	232	35¢	$81	0xa97e1f…
04-03 23:14:01	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	SELL	151	74¢	$112	0xd18cc6…
04-03 23:13:55	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	151	75¢	$113	0x2cbc49…
04-03 23:02:47	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	78	35¢	$27	0x085e11…
04-03 22:30:15	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0xa6a2c2…
04-03 21:57:05	Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	No	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0x026503…
04-03 21:54:41	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x6dc29a…
04-03 21:53:51	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0x3f087a…
04-03 21:53:33	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x31710d…