Drafty-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

1,194

Trades

6,301

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$155

Other

0% 33% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:15 UTC	45	$165	216	49	+168	Up	-$55	04-19 22:19
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	59	$164	166	164	+3	Down	-$3	03-25 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:40 UTC	20	$160	171	164	+7	Down	+$3	04-12 01:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 13:45 UTC	17	$127	129	127	+2	Down	-$4	02-13 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	59	$119	210	0	+210	Down	-$26	04-12 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 01:00 UTC	57	$117	215	0	+215	Up	-$11	04-01 01:05
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 5am et	43	$116	121	119	+2	Up	-$5	03-25 09:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	18	$112	85	85	+0	Down	+$20	06-30 08:59
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	35	$103	97	96	+1	Up	+$6	03-25 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 01:10 UTC	32	$96	92	89	+3	Up	$0	04-01 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	22	$95	76	75	+1	Down	+$1	02-09 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 00:30 UTC	35	$93	176	0	+176	Down	+$9	02-08 00:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	25	$89	85	84	+1	Down	-$5	02-11 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 09:45 UTC	33	$88	159	0	+159	Down	-$15	02-08 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 10:30 UTC	11	$88	78	76	+1	Up	+$1	02-16 10:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:30 UTC	19	$82	69	42	+27	Up	+$3	02-11 03:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:00 UTC	19	$80	64	63	+1	Down	+$1	02-11 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 06:55 UTC	13	$79	75	74	+1	Down	-$7	02-25 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 01:05 UTC	10	$79	68	67	+1	Up	+$2	02-17 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 11:00 UTC	22	$76	75	74	+1	Down	+$0	02-10 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 06:45 UTC	31	$76	2,168	37	+2,131	Down	-$14	04-01 06:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	14	$72	72	71	+1	Down	+$0	02-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$71	63	62	+0	Down	+$4	04-28 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 06:30 UTC	34	$69	115	0	+115	Up	-$4	04-01 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 06:35 UTC	17	$68	53	51	+2	Up	+$10	04-01 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:55 UTC	11	$68	61	60	+1	Down	+$1	02-25 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:30 UTC	19	$67	65	64	+1	Down	$0	02-11 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 00:25 UTC	10	$66	66	65	+1	Up	-$4	02-17 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 04:00 UTC	11	$66	59	58	+1	Down	+$0	02-25 04:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 11:45 UTC	29	$65	109	0	+109	Down	-$5	02-10 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 08:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xad58ca…
10-18 08:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd8886f…
10-17 08:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xfc43fa…
10-17 02:25:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xf78ae3…
10-16 06:50:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4382d7…
10-15 23:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9aec9c…
10-15 12:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x0bf869…
10-15 10:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x554354…
10-15 08:32:02	bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x26f1f5…
10-15 06:45:05	bitcoin above 80k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb46a02…
10-15 04:39:23	bitcoin above 82k on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xed021b…
10-15 03:53:14	bitcoin above 82k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x784080…
10-14 12:04:54	bitcoin above 84k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x3ab4f0…
10-14 08:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x00ecc9…
10-14 08:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x197dac…
10-14 08:12:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc1535c…
10-14 05:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1d041f…
10-14 05:41:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3888ec…
10-14 02:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x826c4a…
10-14 00:31:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xa9765e…
10-13 13:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x12aa97…
10-12 04:53:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x83319b…
10-12 03:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc2f75…
10-12 02:02:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xab7986…
10-12 01:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x962b00…
10-09 23:13:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1f920b…
10-08 02:11:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb2be56…
10-08 00:24:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbbfc11…
10-07 09:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5a2553…
10-07 06:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x806250…
10-06 13:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xe433e2…
10-06 12:44:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x411747…
10-06 12:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7aa80c…
10-06 09:53:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7dcd44…
10-06 09:39:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4ddee1…
10-06 09:26:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb5a515…
10-06 09:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x86f311…
10-05 12:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x6f3477…
10-05 12:02:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfda073…
10-05 11:57:59	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xeb5bab…
10-05 11:35:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x455910…
10-05 11:19:17	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x427789…
10-05 06:07:47	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb8d718…
10-05 05:15:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xae9874…
10-05 03:37:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1d9d8d…
10-05 03:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf1125d…
10-05 03:17:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x01a868…
10-04 14:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x9d0c89…
10-04 07:57:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x55e001…
10-04 07:37:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x40ffc9…
10-03 04:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x40cc79…
10-03 04:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9ce623…
10-01 12:58:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x77ba22…
10-01 12:49:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25f324…
10-01 10:02:27	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xf5fb89…
10-01 09:48:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x627681…
09-30 10:38:12	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9ede12…
09-30 08:11:44	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc11832…
09-30 01:54:59	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x65a340…
09-30 01:19:54	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x818826…
09-30 00:46:09	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x86761a…
09-28 06:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa4fb5b…
09-28 06:39:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x83cf43…
09-28 01:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x4b85af…
09-28 01:07:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa79bb7…
09-28 00:25:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x77324d…
09-27 23:29:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee358e…
09-26 06:57:48	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9418e6…
09-25 12:52:47	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd472d2…
09-25 12:00:54	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6bd661…
09-25 11:42:44	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x542d27…
09-25 09:54:11	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0d7ff7…
09-24 14:28:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x83956f…
09-24 13:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd2aba4…
09-24 06:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x67537f…
09-24 05:24:08	bitcoin above 84k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb640ef…
09-24 02:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xb37257…
09-23 23:45:29	bitcoin above 84k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb28d95…
09-23 06:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x132423…
09-23 00:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xd34b36…
09-23 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ce7c9…
09-22 23:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x645e35…
09-22 23:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc73593…
09-22 14:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd79db8…
09-22 12:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x290a0f…
09-22 12:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x086dd6…
09-22 12:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfeaf1c…
09-22 08:55:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x66eecc…
09-22 08:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3729b7…
09-22 08:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x53d4af…
09-22 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x33aa3f…
09-22 02:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x875175…
09-22 02:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f2298…
09-21 02:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xdf2b00…
09-21 02:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6896cd…
09-20 13:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe8e289…
09-20 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xf7f228…
09-20 06:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe858ae…
09-20 02:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x4d3498…
09-20 02:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5ad99e…