Unlawful-Tectonics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$360

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-109

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	+10	$9	90¢	$9	$-0	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	+8	$6	70¢	$6	$-0	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	+9	$6	42¢	$4	$-2	05-05 16:02
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	74¢	$1	$-0	05-04 20:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$63	62	38	+24	Down	+$5	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$45	64	0	+64	Up	$-45	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$30	64	0	+64	Up	$-30	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$18	24	0	+24	Up	+$6	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$18	26	0	+26	Down	+$8	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$18	26	0	+26	Down	$-18	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$9	22	0	+22	Down	$-9	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$9	41	0	+41	Down	$-9	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Down	$-9	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$6	16	0	+16	Down	$-6	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	$-6	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Up	$-3	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$2	0	7	-7	open	—	05-05 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$2	0	18	-18	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$2	0	9	-9	Up	+$2	05-05 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x789e4b…
05-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x59e261…
05-05 16:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xbba46a…
05-05 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x2187f4…
05-05 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x90e7b5…
05-05 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x3db34d…
05-05 14:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5a9d29…
05-05 10:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x6e8d2e…
05-05 09:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x40620d…
05-05 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x8f7b80…
05-05 08:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xab5241…
05-05 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa6d209…
05-05 08:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0211eb…
05-05 07:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xc0427d…
05-05 06:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x42cd3a…
05-05 06:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x26f5b9…
05-05 06:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x884a34…
05-05 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x2017d8…
05-05 05:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x6ad194…
05-05 05:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8990de…
05-05 04:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x1608db…
05-05 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x35837f…
05-05 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc34374…
05-05 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x94440e…
05-05 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x89e638…
05-05 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xddd25d…
05-05 02:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0xee521a…
05-05 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x83bf17…
05-05 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xd6f014…
05-04 23:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x85cc87…
05-04 21:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x216a9f…
05-04 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x53dac2…
05-04 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb5032c…
05-04 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0xd8b0f0…
05-04 20:03:42	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7f0f7a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	32	$4.65K	181	05-05 16:37
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	27	$561	61	05-05 16:37
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$3.16K	132	05-05 16:07
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$1.02K	100	05-05 16:07
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	25	$1.72K	103	05-05 16:02
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	25	$1.71K	101	05-05 16:02
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	25	$984	87	05-05 16:37
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	24	$3.01K	54	05-05 16:02