Friendly-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$768

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

183

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$7.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 09-04 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 46% -$331

Other

13% 26% -$437

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 27c	7	$342	197	196	+1	No	-$8	04-22 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	18	$252	192	192	+0	Down	+$94	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$232	160	160	+0	Up	+$80	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$188	137	137	+0	Down	+$73	05-05 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:25 UTC	3	$186	174	174	+0	Down	+$110	08-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	9	$171	100	100	+0	Up	+$25	05-08 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:25 UTC	2	$167	118	118	+0	Up	+$67	08-13 06:30
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	5	$165	236	0	+236	No	-$165	04-22 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$160	130	130	+0	Up	+$55	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	13	$153	259	189	+70	Up	+$20	05-12 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$152	112	112	+0	Up	+$26	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$142	405	0	+405	Down	-$142	05-10 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$128	130	130	+0	Up	+$30	05-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$120	65	65	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$111	80	80	+0	Up	+$47	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$110	120	120	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:50 UTC	3	$110	159	140	+19	Up	+$44	08-08 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$108	103	103	+0	Down	+$68	05-04 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$107	61	61	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$107	80	80	+0	Up	+$51	05-12 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$103	807	0	+807	Down	-$103	05-12 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$102	54	54	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$91	95	95	+0	Up	+$65	05-05 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$91	49	49	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:35 UTC	1	$90	200	0	+200	Down	-$90	08-13 06:37
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 27c	4	$89	119	0	+119	Yes	-$89	04-20 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$84	116	116	+0	Down	+$19	05-05 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$84	390	100	+290	Up	-$66	05-12 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$80	100	100	+0	Down	+$60	05-05 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:35 UTC	1	$79	100	0	+100	Up	-$79	04-22 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	196	16¢	$31	0x9c864e…
09-04 03:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa80012…
09-04 03:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5d09cc…
09-04 03:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd7f5be…
09-04 03:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x293010…
09-04 03:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xc64e51…
09-04 03:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0e243e…
09-04 03:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x8dbd1f…
09-04 03:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x48bcb8…
09-04 03:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfb426c…
09-04 03:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa71ecc…
09-04 03:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x827446…
09-04 03:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0e4c36…
09-03 16:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x56bad5…
09-03 16:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xd638c5…
09-03 16:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xcea182…
09-03 16:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x03fdd8…
09-03 16:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x6de99e…
09-03 16:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x622fb6…
09-03 16:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x8a0401…
09-03 15:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0xb76e3e…
09-02 19:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x7bd597…
09-02 19:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3ca922…
09-02 19:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x15d89f…
09-02 18:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x507167…
09-02 18:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9bd387…
09-02 18:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xfa0a7a…
09-02 18:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1a565a…
09-02 18:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xdb8f96…
09-02 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x13cab9…
09-02 18:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x547e16…
09-02 17:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9414dd…
09-02 17:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x029c0f…
09-02 17:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x795638…
08-13 06:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	123	36¢	$44	0x4d24cb…
08-13 06:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xe6e2bd…
08-13 06:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x2872f8…
08-13 06:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xb4ba5b…
08-13 06:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	380	0¢	$1	0xb33dd7…
08-13 06:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	380	1¢	$4	0xa6a949…
08-12 16:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xd82988…
08-12 16:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x9fee5b…
08-12 16:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x719ec0…
08-12 16:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x4e9cb8…
08-12 16:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x168f38…
08-12 16:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	71	26¢	$18	0x683fa1…
08-12 16:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6e1b63…
08-12 16:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xd01871…
08-12 16:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x715510…
08-12 16:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x277838…
08-12 07:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0xeddaad…
08-12 07:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x86148e…
08-12 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x98c71b…
08-12 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5dfef6…
08-11 19:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x44f14b…
08-11 15:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x3770bf…
08-11 15:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x42187b…
08-11 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0xc929e6…
08-11 14:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3a33c8…
08-10 07:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xe42515…
08-10 07:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x9f2afe…
08-10 07:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x46435c…
08-10 07:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x728179…
08-10 07:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	205	27¢	$56	0x942263…
08-10 07:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	228	7¢	$16	0xc0cc6a…
08-10 07:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	71¢	$41	0x813749…
08-10 06:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	650	9¢	$57	0x7ebdc9…
08-10 06:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	226	12¢	$27	0x86dd35…
08-10 06:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	38	78¢	$29	0x99fb66…
08-10 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	701	1¢	$7	0x62cd25…
08-09 20:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x3affa1…
08-09 19:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5694db…
08-09 19:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x84cf9a…
08-09 19:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x82a7cb…
08-09 19:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x5046b7…
08-09 19:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x2259b0…
08-09 19:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9e3cf9…
08-09 19:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa190e3…
08-09 19:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8a4325…
08-09 19:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x0a51db…
08-09 14:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x696929…
08-09 14:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x79b7f2…
08-09 14:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x982555…
08-09 07:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x8bb384…
08-09 07:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0x297719…
08-09 05:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x94d886…
08-09 05:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x41fbbd…
08-09 05:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x3c133f…
08-09 04:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f2173…
08-08 22:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xeed4e1…
08-08 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x482e1c…
08-08 21:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7de443…
08-08 20:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa4858d…
08-08 20:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x52e838…
08-08 20:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xa385cf…
08-08 20:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7e5b2b…
08-08 06:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x5a78cf…
08-08 06:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	140	48¢	$67	0xa96eab…
08-08 06:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	140	21¢	$29	0xa749b8…
08-08 06:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	295	6¢	$19	0x710997…