Friendly-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$7.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-13 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 52% $-57

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 27c	7	$342	197	196	+1	open	—	04-22 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	18	$252	192	192	+0	Down	+$94	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$232	160	160	+0	Up	+$80	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$188	137	137	+0	Down	+$73	05-05 06:39
btc updown 5m 1786170300	3	$186	174	174	+0	open	—	08-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	9	$171	100	100	+0	Up	+$25	05-08 10:19
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	5	$165	236	0	+236	open	—	04-22 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$160	130	130	+0	Up	+$55	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	13	$153	259	189	+70	Up	+$20	05-12 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$152	112	112	+0	Up	+$26	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$142	405	0	+405	Down	$-142	05-10 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$128	130	130	+0	Up	+$30	05-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$120	65	65	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$111	80	80	+0	Up	+$47	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$110	120	120	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 06:33
btc updown 5m 1786171800	3	$110	159	140	+19	open	—	08-08 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$108	103	103	+0	open	—	05-04 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$107	61	61	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$107	80	80	+0	Up	+$51	05-12 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$103	807	0	+807	Down	$-103	05-12 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$102	54	54	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$91	95	95	+0	Up	+$65	05-05 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$91	49	49	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 16:44
btc updown 5m 1786602900	1	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	08-13 06:37
highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 27c	4	$89	119	0	+119	open	—	04-20 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$84	116	116	+0	Down	+$19	05-05 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$84	390	100	+290	Up	$-66	05-12 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$80	100	100	+0	Down	+$60	05-05 03:49
btc updown 5m 1776850500	1	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	04-22 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	8	$76	55	55	+0	open	—	05-04 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 06:41:48	btc updown 5m 1786603200	Up	BUY	123	36¢	$44	0x4d24cb…
08-13 06:37:39	btc updown 5m 1786602900	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xe6e2bd…
08-13 06:28:31	btc updown 5m 1786602300	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xb4ba5b…
08-10 07:11:28	btc updown 5m 1786345800	Down	BUY	205	27¢	$56	0x942263…
08-10 07:08:49	btc updown 5m 1786345500	Up	BUY	228	7¢	$16	0xc0cc6a…
08-10 07:03:57	btc updown 5m 1786345200	Up	BUY	58	71¢	$41	0x813749…
08-10 06:53:10	btc updown 5m 1786344600	Down	BUY	650	9¢	$57	0x7ebdc9…
08-10 06:41:55	btc updown 5m 1786344000	Down	BUY	226	12¢	$27	0x86dd35…
08-09 05:18:30	btc updown 5m 1786252500	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x94d886…
08-09 04:48:40	btc updown 5m 1786250700	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f2173…
08-08 06:54:01	btc updown 5m 1786171800	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x5a78cf…
08-08 06:52:52	btc updown 5m 1786171800	Down	SELL	140	48¢	$67	0xa96eab…
08-08 06:50:52	btc updown 5m 1786171800	Down	BUY	140	21¢	$29	0xa749b8…
08-08 06:47:30	btc updown 5m 1786171500	Down	BUY	295	6¢	$19	0x710997…
08-08 06:40:58	btc updown 5m 1786171200	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xc961ef…
08-08 06:39:28	btc updown 5m 1786170900	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x6e6be2…
08-08 06:32:12	btc updown 5m 1786170600	Down	BUY	126	60¢	$75	0x25a7d0…
08-08 06:29:18	btc updown 5m 1786170300	Down	SELL	174	85¢	$148	0xb38693…
08-08 06:28:42	btc updown 5m 1786170300	Down	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x369d62…
08-08 06:26:15	btc updown 5m 1786170300	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x224fdf…
08-08 06:24:31	btc updown 5m 1786170000	Down	BUY	192	4¢	$8	0xe194b1…
08-08 06:16:43	btc updown 5m 1786169700	Down	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xc40b1e…
08-08 06:08:46	btc updown 5m 1786169100	Up	SELL	190	32¢	$61	0x3a592d…
08-08 06:08:00	btc updown 5m 1786169100	Up	BUY	190	6¢	$11	0xf7acfd…
08-08 06:04:34	btc updown 5m 1786168800	Up	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x3aa112…
08-08 06:03:30	btc updown 5m 1786168800	Up	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x29333a…
08-08 05:59:52	btc updown 5m 1786168800	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x7efed4…
08-08 05:58:24	btc updown 5m 1786168500	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x8aa80c…
08-08 05:57:01	btc updown 5m 1786168500	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x7cccc2…
08-08 05:52:27	btc updown 5m 1786168200	Up	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0x5661da…
08-08 05:49:43	btc updown 5m 1786168200	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x668485…
08-08 05:44:10	btc updown 5m 1786167600	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x16693f…
08-08 05:39:42	btc updown 5m 1786167300	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x56bd99…
08-08 05:29:06	btc updown 5m 1786166700	Up	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x410043…
08-08 05:25:40	btc updown 5m 1786166700	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xf510ad…
08-08 05:13:04	btc updown 5m 1786165800	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x367c9d…
08-08 05:09:37	btc updown 5m 1786165500	Up	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x8c80e7…
05-12 17:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	215	6¢	$12	0xe4a9f8…
05-12 17:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xe7d713…
05-12 17:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xfda75e…
05-12 17:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x6f5727…
05-12 16:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x576d91…
05-12 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0xe2e4c0…
05-12 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x7649a8…
05-12 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x3e3a08…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x922b4c…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x76a35c…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5ad1e5…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x53160d…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x171b27…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x08e72f…
05-12 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x00104e…
05-12 16:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	89	77¢	$68	0xb30809…
05-12 16:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	58¢	$52	0x70fbd6…
05-12 16:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x660d5d…
05-12 16:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0xb9bf72…
05-12 16:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x1ae096…
05-12 16:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	85¢	$42	0x9435a1…
05-12 16:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x13a253…
05-12 16:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xda05e2…
05-12 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	174	26¢	$45	0x86c4d6…
05-12 16:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	670	7¢	$47	0x2c7eaf…
05-12 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	137	41¢	$56	0x6d8b28…
05-12 16:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	160	98¢	$156	0x20118c…
05-12 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	44¢	$47	0x2004a1…
05-12 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x8dfdc5…
05-12 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe21e69…
05-12 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9a7e44…
05-12 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x978bf4…
05-12 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8a039f…
05-12 16:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x047d0a…
05-12 16:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xc5c12b…
05-12 16:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xf96fd6…
05-12 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x5ebc3f…
05-12 15:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x5347a0…
05-12 15:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0xf6c038…
05-12 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xee0961…
05-12 15:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	240	13¢	$31	0x3f3a34…
05-12 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x9cc244…
05-12 15:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xb6800b…
05-12 15:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6d2edc…
05-10 10:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	405	35¢	$142	0x36d0db…
05-10 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	182	26¢	$47	0xe8362e…
05-10 10:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0xdbd646…
05-10 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x084863…
05-10 10:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeb8984…
05-10 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcd5054…
05-10 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	41	72¢	$29	0x5cfc78…
05-10 09:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x1d300e…
05-08 10:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x3e88f8…
05-08 10:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5a7c35…
05-08 10:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x9a6ee0…
05-08 10:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3128ec…
05-08 10:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x2585f8…
05-08 10:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x76b164…
05-08 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfe9044…
05-08 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa047b2…
05-08 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x7fe34a…
05-08 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x6859e9…
05-08 10:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe456e5…