Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$306
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$57
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-14 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
44% 30% +$16
Politics
25% 0% -$35
Sports
24% 50% +$34
Tech
7% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? Yes +33 $5 36¢ $12 +$7 10-31 11:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? Yes +71 $5 11¢ $8 +$3 10-31 11:55
Will Rene Haas be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +23 $5 28¢ $7 +$2 11-14 06:40
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 $0 11-14 11:42
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? Yes +17 $5 30¢ $5 $0 11-14 11:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $0 11-10 16:34
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +81 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 08-16 14:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +18 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 11-10 16:34
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +100 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 11-12 20:37
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +182 $20 1¢ $2 -$18 07-10 07:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 07-06 19:37
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 09-09 14:47
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 09-09 14:47
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +8 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-01 05:06