Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-03

last 10-27 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

87% 25% -$1,622

Other

13% 19% +$44

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+138	$18	6¢	$9	-$9	10-27 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	25	$7.0K	14,407	7,549	+6,858	Yes	+$543	10-25 23:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$3.1K	5,039	3,484	+1,555	No	+$134	10-25 22:47
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$843	3,951	3,523	+429	No	+$522	10-26 22:46
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	133	$681	87,910	0	+87,910	No	-$681	08-16 20:42
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	16	$649	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	10-15 20:46
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$585	358	358	+0	No	-$37	10-03 20:01
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	9	$450	1,833	0	+1,833	No	-$450	10-04 21:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$450	2,238	0	+2,238	No	-$450	10-04 21:27
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	2	$418	232	232	+0	Yes	+$18	10-04 21:26
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$335	19,774	0	+19,774	No	-$335	08-16 20:42
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$276	11,842	11,800	+42	No	-$128	09-22 18:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$242	288	257	+31	Yes	+$26	10-26 22:46
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$228	300	300	+0	No	+$78	10-04 00:10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$173	417	52	+365	No	-$85	10-19 15:40
Lula participates in debate before first round?	4	$131	248	0	+248	No	-$131	09-14 00:43
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$105	1,678	0	+1,678	Yes	-$105	10-04 21:33
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	2	$99	79	79	+0	Yes	-$1	08-05 18:22
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$99	632	0	+632	No	-$99	10-24 22:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$96	271	0	+271	No	-$96	10-24 22:24
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	2	$95	100	100	+0	No	+$45	08-06 02:17
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$74	1,494	786	+708	No	-$3	10-26 22:50
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$72	9,636	0	+9,636	No	-$72	09-16 17:34
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$60	6,473	0	+6,473	No	-$60	08-12 21:42
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$57	40	40	+0	No	+$17	10-04 21:21
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$50	161	0	+161	Yes	-$50	10-24 22:27
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	1	$50	82	0	+82	No	+$32	10-20 19:38
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$34	572	0	+572	No	-$34	09-22 18:05
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	1	$30	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	-$30	10-22 19:40
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	1	$30	273	0	+273	Yes	-$30	10-21 17:58
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$25	222	0	+222	No	-$25	08-03 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:39:54	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0x72dcca…
10-26 22:50:35	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$1	0x47c848…
10-26 22:50:30	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7bd429…
10-26 22:46:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xed6292…
10-26 22:46:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0xeb5064…
10-26 22:21:35	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x31c17d…
10-26 20:54:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x464710…
10-26 20:19:29	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0xa548b6…
10-26 18:53:56	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x326a3a…
10-26 18:53:45	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x337ea2…
10-26 17:45:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x20bd3b…
10-25 23:13:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4,511	13¢	$600	0xd9c109…
10-25 23:09:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	373	13¢	$50	0xe7a93b…
10-25 23:08:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xd9f253…
10-25 23:04:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	501	18¢	$90	0xf503f2…
10-25 22:55:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x9cc1f8…
10-25 22:47:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,555	39¢	$604	0x5aba37…
10-25 22:25:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x0a78bf…
10-25 22:24:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	625	24¢	$150	0x5a279a…
10-25 22:21:30	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0xc80392…
10-25 22:18:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,205	59¢	$1,303	0xdf36cc…
10-25 22:13:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	735	55¢	$406	0x78d0e0…
10-25 21:51:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	186	12¢	$22	0x61f56b…
10-25 21:50:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	188	12¢	$22	0x18e032…
10-25 21:35:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	519	34¢	$176	0xdb9674…
10-25 20:53:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,153	35¢	$404	0xcdc44e…
10-24 22:27:11	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x3b3283…
10-24 22:24:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	122	36¢	$44	0x722277…
10-24 22:12:44	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc882c1…
10-24 22:11:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	149	35¢	$52	0x5034a2…
10-24 22:08:36	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xcd73d1…
10-24 22:06:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,523	19¢	$683	0xaae725…
10-24 22:04:15	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	632	16¢	$99	0xbe9009…
10-22 19:40:32	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	1,201	2¢	$30	0x36dc45…
10-21 17:58:02	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x506950…
10-20 19:46:17	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	467	1¢	$7	0xe89c0f…
10-20 19:45:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	538	2¢	$10	0xd1db69…
10-20 19:38:24	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x828845…
10-19 15:40:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	335	24¢	$80	0xe7b264…
10-15 21:44:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	432	23¢	$99	0x3dc27e…
10-15 20:46:26	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	554	19¢	$105	0x848590…
10-04 22:18:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	257	52¢	$134	0x5d5b09…
10-04 21:50:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	432	16¢	$71	0x3e7ac7…
10-04 21:42:23	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb77eb9…
10-04 21:37:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xdad45a…
10-04 21:33:25	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	319	7¢	$22	0xc386e9…
10-04 21:29:46	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	478	7¢	$33	0xba5a2a…
10-04 21:28:44	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	881	6¢	$50	0x06be6c…
10-04 21:27:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xb53123…
10-04 21:27:28	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0x565889…
10-04 21:26:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	SELL	232	94¢	$218	0x59a1e8…
10-04 21:25:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xa92aca…
10-04 21:25:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x6ef8bd…
10-04 21:22:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,941	17¢	$500	0x66f3ab…
10-04 21:21:10	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x5294eb…
10-04 21:20:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	763	82¢	$627	0x21fb85…
10-04 20:37:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x97675c…
10-04 02:16:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x1984af…
10-04 00:12:46	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,970	3¢	$78	0x52fc86…
10-04 00:10:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0xd270ac…
10-04 00:10:17	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	51¢	$153	0xa4710e…
10-04 00:09:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	734	64¢	$470	0x18ea3f…
10-03 20:01:37	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	358	77¢	$274	0xd46ef3…
09-29 14:32:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0xe07586…
09-24 15:54:09	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	377	15¢	$56	0x7376a1…
09-24 14:36:56	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x26e193…
09-23 20:33:25	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x649dfe…
09-23 17:36:34	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0x55538c…
09-23 07:43:55	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0xc0bce8…
09-23 07:43:53	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xdbe6f6…
09-23 07:43:52	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	44	15¢	$7	0x3b709d…
09-23 07:43:49	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0xe57f98…
09-23 07:43:49	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xe31a2d…
09-23 05:11:10	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x3713b4…
09-22 23:25:38	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x4f6af1…
09-22 23:14:23	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xa0ab26…
09-22 18:19:33	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbdceeb…
09-22 18:15:43	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0x06ff2c…
09-22 18:05:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0x887c03…
09-22 18:01:48	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11,800	1¢	$74	0x9b1577…
09-18 18:07:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xfb03b3…
09-18 18:07:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xb62529…
09-18 18:07:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x8c6f99…
09-18 17:59:22	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$49	0x0fc572…
09-18 17:59:19	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	73¢	$33	0x4d740d…
09-16 17:35:07	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa0624a…
09-16 17:34:25	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,636	1¢	$23	0xdb5e16…
09-14 22:53:31	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x1d0acc…
09-14 22:52:33	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,382	2¢	$92	0x1e6c91…
09-14 22:51:49	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb0d1c3…
09-14 22:46:55	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	846	32¢	$274	0x8dc70e…
09-14 00:43:03	Lula participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x096bda…
09-12 00:54:07	Lula participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	95	50¢	$47	0xf74093…
09-11 21:51:15	Lula participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0xd56042…
09-11 21:49:01	Lula participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	67	50¢	$33	0x0106e0…
09-11 21:42:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	329	76¢	$250	0x7a8dfc…
09-09 17:51:09	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x67e432…
09-09 15:42:22	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7,000	1¢	$49	0xe5f370…
09-09 15:41:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	199	37¢	$74	0x0b0c07…
09-07 21:23:39	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	196	25¢	$50	0xf8ace6…