Ill-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-26 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

58% 74% -$31

Politics

30% 69% -$212

Tech

12% 83% -$22

Crypto

0% 33% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	2	$690	352	352	+0	Yes	+$10	06-26 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	2	$653	337	337	+0	Yes	+$13	06-25 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?	1	$350	376	0	+376	No	-$350	06-26 10:50
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	1	$330	380	0	+380	Yes	+$50	05-16 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?	1	$330	340	0	+340	Yes	+$10	06-25 16:06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$315	338	0	+338	No	+$23	05-12 18:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	2	$295	169	169	+0	No	+$13	06-17 16:30
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$272	163	163	+0	Yes	-$8	05-01 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?	1	$272	325	0	+325	Yes	+$52	06-24 21:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$245	272	0	+272	Yes	+$27	06-24 07:08
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$230	239	0	+239	Yes	+$9	05-26 07:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$230	242	0	+242	No	+$12	05-25 07:16
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	1	$220	247	0	+247	Yes	+$27	06-23 09:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$200	312	0	+312	Yes	+$112	04-08 09:16
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	1	$200	232	0	+232	Yes	+$32	05-11 09:51
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	-$200	06-03 17:17
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?	1	$200	207	0	+207	Yes	+$7	05-30 12:21
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 20	1	$180	204	0	+204	India	+$24	06-20 11:01
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$179	195	0	+195	Yes	+$16	05-06 05:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$170	177	0	+177	No	+$7	06-19 05:40
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	1	$170	221	0	+221	Yes	+$51	06-21 07:37
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$166	85	85	+0	No	+$3	04-24 04:26
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$155	174	0	+174	Yes	+$19	06-18 05:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$150	163	0	+163	No	+$13	05-25 06:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$150	82	82	+0	No	+$13	04-23 04:32
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	1	$140	178	0	+178	Yes	+$38	05-03 20:01
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	1	$135	139	0	+139	No	+$4	06-16 06:41
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$131	165	165	+0	No	-$131	05-25 19:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	1	$123	138	0	+138	No	+$15	06-15 06:06
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$120	124	0	+124	Yes	+$4	06-07 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 10:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	376	93¢	$350	0x86fe96…
06-26 10:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	352	100¢	$350	0x5f30f4…
06-26 07:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	352	97¢	$340	0xc1e94e…
06-25 16:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0xdd043b…
06-25 09:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	337	99¢	$333	0x07b04b…
06-25 07:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	337	95¢	$320	0x8096d0…
06-24 21:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	325	84¢	$272	0x20c286…
06-24 07:08:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	90¢	$245	0x49edab…
06-23 09:10:34	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	247	89¢	$220	0xf6c94e…
06-21 07:37:19	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	221	77¢	$170	0x98fbc1…
06-21 06:01:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa3f4a6…
06-20 17:01:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x72888a…
06-20 11:01:05	crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 20	India	BUY	204	88¢	$180	0xec006d…
06-19 05:40:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x1356bb…
06-18 05:49:05	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	174	89¢	$155	0x15d5ba…
06-17 18:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	114	96¢	$110	0x98988d…
06-17 16:30:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	SELL	169	91¢	$154	0xc7eb4f…
06-17 07:04:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	169	84¢	$141	0x2ae4ad…
06-16 06:41:48	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x25e87e…
06-15 06:06:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	138	89¢	$123	0xba0d3a…
06-08 09:42:42	Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x16d8c7…
06-07 19:11:55	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0xd84283…
06-03 17:17:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x58c460…
05-31 20:04:54	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	76¢	$49	0x24c2ff…
05-30 12:21:34	Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x0b1b53…
05-30 12:20:28	Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x80ba3e…
05-27 12:48:18	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	No	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xe768db…
05-27 12:47:29	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	3,257	1¢	$30	0x79082d…
05-26 07:37:35	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	239	96¢	$230	0x1dbbc0…
05-25 19:52:23	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x041c93…
05-25 07:16:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	242	95¢	$230	0xa56b9a…
05-25 06:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0xd6bff3…
05-22 19:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbab810…
05-22 18:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x3b3a29…
05-22 18:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa17d46…
05-22 18:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe5f6c6…
05-22 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2570d3…
05-16 12:03:27	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	380	87¢	$330	0x5a9697…
05-15 13:21:13	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0xd1d33e…
05-13 18:30:09	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	165	80¢	$131	0x5b2586…
05-13 05:09:35	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9be070…
05-12 18:50:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	338	93¢	$315	0xfb720e…
05-11 09:51:14	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x624fed…
05-10 07:44:50	Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x82163f…
05-06 05:40:44	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	195	92¢	$179	0xd64ace…
05-03 20:01:16	Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	178	78¢	$140	0x5947e0…
05-01 12:01:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	81¢	$132	0x8e6afe…
05-01 11:03:36	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0x428a0a…
04-30 05:27:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x43432c…
04-29 19:26:00	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x484e9f…
04-29 19:24:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0x925b53…
04-28 14:45:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	89¢	$109	0x94d114…
04-24 04:28:32	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0x73030a…
04-24 04:26:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xbb156b…
04-23 04:37:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x5cfc7c…
04-23 04:32:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0xa6a785…
04-20 12:40:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	82	84¢	$68	0x2dd9b3…
04-08 09:16:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x2c4261…