Optimistic-Countryside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

166

Trades

4,396

lifetime

Volume

$104.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-13 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$2,586

Other

0% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	375	$9.0K	13,155	0	+13,155	No	-$386	04-29 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	265	$6.3K	9,315	0	+9,315	Yes	+$1,372	04-30 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	245	$5.8K	11,730	0	+11,730	No	+$66	04-30 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 30?	116	$5.7K	6,150	0	+6,150	No	+$132	04-30 17:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	90	$5.5K	5,205	900	+4,305	No	+$7	04-30 13:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?	46	$4.2K	4,461	0	+4,461	No	+$131	04-27 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	198	$3.9K	6,686	0	+6,686	Yes	+$280	04-30 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	96	$3.7K	5,963	0	+5,963	Yes	+$1,575	04-28 16:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	107	$3.7K	5,388	0	+5,388	Yes	+$90	04-27 15:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?	41	$3.4K	4,331	0	+4,331	No	-$3,286	04-27 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	91	$3.0K	6,991	0	+6,991	No	+$605	04-29 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	21	$2.8K	1,635	1,329	+306	No	$0	04-27 13:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?	100	$2.8K	6,438	763	+5,675	No	+$13	04-29 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?	172	$2.5K	10,376	0	+10,376	Yes	+$1,594	04-29 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 30?	46	$2.3K	1,661	1,000	+661	No	+$13	04-30 14:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?	32	$2.2K	2,354	0	+2,354	Yes	+$52	05-01 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?	160	$1.9K	5,707	0	+5,707	Yes	-$1,867	04-30 15:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?	25	$1.8K	2,105	0	+2,105	Yes	+$33	04-28 10:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	30	$1.7K	2,170	0	+2,170	Yes	-$1,702	05-01 07:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	282	$1.7K	6,773	0	+6,773	Yes	-$6	04-29 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	113	$1.6K	2,960	0	+2,960	No	+$53	04-27 15:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 28?	15	$1.5K	1,955	0	+1,955	No	+$443	04-28 10:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	5	$1.5K	1,712	0	+1,712	No	+$60	04-28 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	38	$1.5K	3,666	0	+3,666	No	-$34	04-27 15:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 27?	21	$1.5K	1,624	0	+1,624	No	+$20	04-27 12:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	64	$1.4K	3,046	0	+3,046	Yes	-$1,420	04-28 15:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	31	$1.4K	3,750	0	+3,750	Yes	-$3	04-27 15:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?	171	$1.3K	3,676	0	+3,676	No	+$371	04-30 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	59	$1.2K	2,869	0	+2,869	No	+$8	04-27 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	63	$1.2K	3,614	0	+3,614	No	-$230	04-28 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 08:56:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x928f7a…
06-15 17:23:42	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2ee1e4…
06-05 14:05:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x522279…
06-03 14:12:07	Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf2a733…
06-03 13:06:42	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xf3bfcd…
05-21 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6273a3…
05-19 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	73	67¢	$49	0x9313fb…
05-19 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	64¢	$47	0x50dd45…
05-19 14:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xa0dd54…
05-19 14:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x4bd9ca…
05-19 14:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x093f9c…
05-19 14:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0x02b53d…
05-19 14:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xbd0bed…
05-19 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xa4ab08…
05-19 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x45caf3…
05-19 13:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x9a6e2c…
05-19 13:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x5e0a9c…
05-19 13:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$15	0xed10ef…
05-19 13:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc92087…
05-19 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb5091a…
05-19 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x47fa89…
05-19 13:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x63f396…
05-19 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd6d610…
05-19 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x5f7ae6…
05-19 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xae437a…
05-19 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8906dc…
05-19 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x82d5d1…
05-19 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x4f3162…
05-19 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x37b155…
05-19 13:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x903e2b…
05-19 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0xab6114…
05-19 13:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x3ddaee…
05-19 13:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xaae791…
05-19 13:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x60b68b…
05-19 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0xac72f8…
05-19 13:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xf62fab…
05-19 13:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2dbf90…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xe7a76a…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0xe251dd…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xadc2b2…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x883a8b…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x65aa6b…
05-19 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4a77ee…
05-18 18:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x404f05…
05-18 14:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4e8a1b…
05-18 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd04d29…
05-18 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xb67ba3…
05-18 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xa6ca05…
05-18 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x515503…
05-18 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x08769d…
05-18 13:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x2e8f64…
05-18 13:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1c712d…
05-18 13:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x38463c…
05-18 13:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf73d90…
05-18 13:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xec787f…
05-18 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x6c41bd…
05-18 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0xc377b6…
05-18 13:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x32a3dd…
05-18 12:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x0d92e7…
05-18 12:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf5dc5e…
05-18 12:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa276d5…
05-18 12:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x3be3b0…
05-18 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcf7fb5…
05-18 12:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6d24fd…
05-18 12:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5db12c…
05-18 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x2cf2a2…
05-18 12:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3d92f0…
05-18 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x6a8da7…
05-18 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x3bff5e…
05-18 12:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x4db802…
05-18 12:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x707b35…
05-18 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x513358…
05-18 12:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xf550e1…
05-18 12:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xa83880…
05-18 12:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x56b031…
05-18 12:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3d9ba8…
05-18 12:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x989843…
05-18 12:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3fd2a1…
05-18 12:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1fe2cf…
05-18 12:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf1be0e…
05-18 12:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x341e1b…
05-18 11:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x29bd17…
05-18 11:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0cb688…
05-18 11:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x418cbc…
05-18 11:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5a5721…
05-18 11:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa0b2b4…
05-18 11:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xeaf50a…
05-18 11:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x83e6d5…
05-18 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x0508d4…
05-18 11:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xbb6734…
05-18 11:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4a3168…
05-18 11:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xf28cf9…
05-18 11:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x809a2a…
05-18 11:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x66489e…
05-18 11:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3d9353…
05-18 10:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf567a5…
05-18 10:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x078a47…
05-17 18:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x5f38f5…
05-17 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef1b08…
05-17 16:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x17d7cb…