Mysterious-Shark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

18,975

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-12 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 67% +$19

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+29	$28	98¢	$28	$-0	07-12 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	253	$16.7K	9,709	7,298	+2,411	open	—	04-12 19:15
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	162	$16.2K	8,436	7,965	+471	open	—	03-29 04:06
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	183	$16.0K	9,213	7,005	+2,208	open	—	03-30 16:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	114	$14.2K	7,889	6,475	+1,415	open	—	03-18 13:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	148	$14.0K	8,245	5,928	+2,318	open	—	04-14 15:41
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	162	$12.4K	6,832	5,761	+1,071	open	—	02-24 11:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	219	$12.3K	7,112	5,286	+1,826	open	—	04-01 21:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	131	$12.2K	6,942	5,402	+1,540	open	—	04-15 11:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	120	$12.0K	6,575	5,584	+991	open	—	03-30 21:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	124	$11.5K	6,418	5,175	+1,243	open	—	04-20 11:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	175	$11.5K	5,837	5,736	+101	open	—	04-05 15:41
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	116	$11.3K	6,077	5,378	+699	open	—	03-24 18:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	131	$11.1K	6,043	5,205	+838	open	—	04-20 11:14
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	130	$10.4K	5,518	5,016	+502	open	—	04-21 20:18
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	215	$10.3K	5,395	5,017	+378	open	—	02-27 13:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	80	$10.1K	5,485	4,790	+695	open	—	03-17 10:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	116	$10.1K	5,938	4,265	+1,673	open	—	03-28 01:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	98	$10.0K	6,130	3,993	+2,137	open	—	03-31 06:12
GTA VI released before June 2026?	224	$9.8K	5,344	4,658	+686	open	—	05-26 19:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	104	$9.8K	5,829	4,118	+1,711	open	—	04-06 21:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	146	$9.7K	5,561	4,257	+1,304	open	—	03-31 06:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	125	$9.6K	6,022	3,739	+2,282	open	—	04-16 07:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	103	$9.6K	5,589	4,103	+1,487	open	—	04-14 07:43
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	111	$9.3K	5,069	4,311	+758	open	—	03-30 04:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	100	$9.2K	5,142	4,243	+899	open	—	04-16 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	114	$9.0K	4,931	4,134	+797	open	—	03-26 16:00
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	155	$8.7K	4,429	4,413	+16	open	—	03-27 09:44
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	101	$8.3K	4,325	4,075	+250	open	—	03-28 13:07
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	113	$8.1K	4,804	3,420	+1,383	open	—	03-31 03:44
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	81	$8.1K	4,293	3,868	+425	open	—	03-30 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 16:17:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xa85a54…
06-29 23:52:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x582802…
06-29 23:36:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xb8f9b7…
06-29 23:30:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc72ff8…
06-29 23:29:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdb0f2c…
06-29 23:28:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb75dc2…
06-29 23:26:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x64e42a…
06-29 23:25:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd41a29…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xbde9e8…
06-29 13:30:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc7d529…
06-29 13:28:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x92ad3c…
06-29 13:25:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa0bc99…
06-29 13:22:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf312e5…
06-29 13:21:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85e7ca…
06-29 13:18:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd88b73…
06-29 13:10:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x6a7c0e…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x46296f…
06-25 12:12:53	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x932a76…
06-23 21:20:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3c4407…
06-23 07:29:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x1aab76…
06-22 23:37:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa32778…
06-22 14:31:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2a9d5d…
06-22 14:31:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x81063a…
06-22 11:33:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf5af61…
06-22 08:34:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x526999…
06-22 08:34:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x2c8c81…
06-22 08:32:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9baadd…
06-22 08:31:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x19094a…
06-22 08:31:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xc9b525…
06-22 08:30:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x854159…
06-22 08:29:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4768bb…
06-22 08:28:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x2b81f3…
06-22 08:26:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xeb39c5…
06-22 08:23:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf089a3…
06-22 08:23:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe5d916…
06-22 08:22:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xcb95bb…
06-22 08:15:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7d85fd…
06-22 08:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x650244…
06-22 07:50:25	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xcafb81…
06-22 07:49:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1d0191…
06-22 07:49:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x9dfc60…
06-22 07:47:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x20a6f3…
06-22 07:46:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5f0e10…
06-22 07:46:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x83435b…
06-22 02:04:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x976e06…
06-22 02:02:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6ee88d…
06-22 01:38:41	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf3a0b2…
06-22 01:15:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x762414…
06-22 01:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x8cbcae…
06-22 01:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x4356d2…
06-21 23:35:38	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9218ee…
06-21 23:33:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x84532e…
06-21 23:05:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x1f6a0f…
06-21 14:05:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf5ca3e…
06-20 22:53:35	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd24606…
06-20 22:50:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe9b88a…
06-20 22:39:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xcb6d32…
06-20 22:32:16	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa57027…
06-20 03:37:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7df010…
06-18 17:39:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x4f59ec…
06-18 17:08:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xb75119…
06-18 03:41:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xfa0264…
06-18 03:37:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x114020…
06-18 00:31:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xce7606…
06-18 00:20:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x79719a…
06-17 23:40:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd69513…
06-17 18:51:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5b6d90…
06-17 18:19:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x436e2c…
06-17 17:42:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2d003d…
06-17 17:41:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x314d43…
06-17 17:39:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xb30128…
06-17 17:30:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xcf0c72…
06-17 17:11:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe184e9…
06-17 15:26:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xddc52b…
06-17 15:01:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x9f0da7…
06-17 13:43:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x14b0b8…
06-17 13:38:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x315609…
06-17 11:59:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xab0c5d…
06-17 11:14:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x6dcd51…
06-17 10:48:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3c4c2f…
06-17 10:34:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7c9ec8…
06-17 10:29:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd85a74…
06-17 07:37:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xabc23c…
06-17 07:24:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xeb3eea…
06-17 07:20:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0xbfe5e2…
06-17 07:07:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf15cf0…
06-17 07:07:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x85a276…
06-17 07:05:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x38d2fa…
06-17 05:40:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x051033…
06-17 04:06:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x87cb82…
06-17 03:47:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x56ca8d…
06-17 03:42:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1b6528…
06-17 03:39:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xcd5d4c…
06-17 03:36:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x88a49e…
06-17 03:18:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdc8707…
06-17 02:49:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8beea8…
06-17 02:48:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9be644…
06-17 02:17:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xbfedc3…
06-17 02:09:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf43c66…