Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
18,974
lifetime
Volume
$1.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$2.00K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-29 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
65% 67% +$19
Politics
19%
Crypto
13%
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 439 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +589 $575 100¢ $588 +$14 06-17 05:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +200 $195 100¢ $200 +$5 06-18 00:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +199 $195 100¢ $199 +$4 06-18 17:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +188 $185 100¢ $188 +$3 06-22 14:31
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +127 $126 100¢ $127 +$1 06-17 10:29
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +126 $123 100¢ $126 +$3 06-08 18:57
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +114 $112 100¢ $113 +$1 06-13 02:40
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -85 $-84 100¢ $-85 $-1 06-04 11:20
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +57 $56 100¢ $57 +$1 06-15 20:28
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -57 $-56 100¢ $-57 $-1 06-01 16:26
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 +$0 06-13 12:33
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 +$1 06-23 07:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +29 $28 100¢ $29 +$1 06-17 15:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +29 $28 100¢ $29 +$1 06-08 12:30
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -28 $-28 100¢ $-28 $-0 06-01 18:29
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -28 $-28 100¢ $-28 $-0 06-23 21:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 06-21 14:05
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 06-29 23:52
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 +$1 06-09 00:52