Nice-Disruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$370

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$371

Crypto

4% 50% $-2

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	15	$5.1K	2,675	2,654	+21	open	—	01-30 18:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	40	$2.7K	1,408	1,407	+0	open	—	01-11 07:06
will gold close between 4300 and 4400 at the end of 2025 774 377	3	$2.0K	0	2,024	-2,024	open	—	01-01 00:49
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	4	$1.7K	1,081	1,081	+0	open	—	02-25 21:41
AEK vs. BC Rytas	5	$843	828	828	+0	BC Rytas	+$343	05-09 22:05
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	3	$841	567	567	+0	open	—	01-28 21:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	3	$781	921	0	+921	open	—	03-12 19:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	6	$655	334	334	+0	open	—	03-11 21:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	6	$598	868	92	+776	open	—	02-25 15:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	10	$582	588	0	+588	open	—	02-24 09:34
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$451	292	292	+0	open	—	01-13 21:53
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	5	$408	350	350	+0	open	—	01-11 21:11
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	5	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	01-04 08:34
Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	7	$235	550	550	+0	Unicaja	+$28	05-09 16:52
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	5	$230	353	353	+0	open	—	01-31 16:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	7	$119	205	205	+0	open	—	03-13 08:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	6	$117	570	194	+376	open	—	01-13 22:22
maduro mugshot released by january 9	2	$105	217	0	+217	open	—	01-07 23:10
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	1	$99	177	0	+177	open	—	06-15 02:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 12	2	$66	70	70	+0	open	—	01-12 16:45
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	4	$31	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	02-12 20:51
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$26	200	0	+200	open	—	04-08 20:05
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 3 1	2	$26	88	0	+88	open	—	04-11 18:11
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 total 4pt5	5	$26	100	100	+0	open	—	01-11 20:23
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	4	$25	141	137	+4	open	—	04-08 20:04
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	4	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 13:08
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$20	0	444	-444	open	—	01-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 17:19
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 2 1	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-11 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	245	0	+245	Up	$-10	05-10 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:01:25	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	177	56¢	$99	0x0f4521…
05-10 17:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0xa3d052…
05-10 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xc3f45a…
05-10 17:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3e4505…
05-09 22:05:55	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe0c5f3…
05-09 19:57:57	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	SELL	812	71¢	$578	0xc251cf…
05-09 18:16:22	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x3f1f93…
05-09 18:13:22	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xce8e94…
05-09 18:09:52	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x14fa19…
05-09 16:52:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	La Laguna Tenerife	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x265a99…
05-09 16:48:56	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	La Laguna Tenerife	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x7faabd…
05-09 16:24:59	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	44	43¢	$19	0x33b4eb…
05-09 16:24:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x7db34c…
05-09 16:24:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	140	43¢	$60	0x225f08…
05-09 16:24:55	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0x7a315e…
05-09 16:21:34	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	BUY	300	31¢	$94	0xecb9eb…
04-11 18:11:47	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0x7fd3fa…
04-11 18:07:51	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 2 1	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x93fddb…
04-11 18:07:19	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x7d6cfb…
04-08 20:45:57	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1dd57b…
04-08 20:05:55	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1f959c…
04-08 20:04:45	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	94	15¢	$14	0xac1cda…
04-08 20:04:29	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x9a14ae…
04-08 19:59:33	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x247c7c…
04-08 12:52:53	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 2 0	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8ab9a2…
04-08 12:52:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xc4165c…
03-15 21:32:47	will peace be said at the oscars	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x00e240…
03-13 08:00:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	68	20¢	$13	0xf13261…
03-13 08:00:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x4f0ea3…
03-12 19:05:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	No	BUY	132	85¢	$112	0x398d7e…
03-12 19:04:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x0ae24c…
03-12 19:03:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	No	BUY	589	85¢	$499	0x353c75…
03-12 13:49:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x9c5f6c…
03-12 13:48:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0x2bef89…
03-12 13:08:39	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xb7787b…
03-12 13:08:07	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x08f452…
03-12 13:06:09	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x81ff4b…
03-11 21:22:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	SELL	334	99¢	$331	0xd794d8…
03-11 17:57:11	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x0185a3…
03-11 17:53:45	btc updown 5m 1773251400	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1ecef5…
03-11 17:52:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xab4bc2…
03-11 17:51:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0xb444c4…
03-11 16:51:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x61aaab…
03-11 15:02:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x895cce…
03-11 15:02:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xffdeb8…
03-11 14:58:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xe2236d…
03-11 14:48:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa8943a…
03-11 14:47:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0xfb81b8…
03-04 18:48:05	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x445d7c…
02-25 21:41:48	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	540	99¢	$535	0x836922…
02-25 21:40:14	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	478	61¢	$291	0x949204…
02-25 21:40:14	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	63	61¢	$38	0x206ca6…
02-25 21:15:36	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,081	79¢	$854	0x5b0e36…
02-25 15:05:10	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0xee71d2…
02-25 15:01:56	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xaa8386…
02-25 14:53:58	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	92	71¢	$65	0x511a71…
02-25 14:31:20	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x686b23…
02-25 12:56:16	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	247	74¢	$182	0x58e275…
02-25 12:56:14	will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	283	74¢	$210	0x0fb820…
02-24 09:34:14	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xd422f7…
02-24 09:20:20	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4239cd…
02-24 09:20:20	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03b703…
02-24 09:20:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80df78…
02-24 09:20:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2567c0…
02-24 09:20:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2462b9…
02-24 09:20:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x22fda3…
02-24 09:20:16	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93d88d…
02-24 09:20:16	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0de2c1…
02-24 09:20:14	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe1bc66…
02-12 20:51:01	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfce719…
02-12 20:37:29	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xee3592…
02-12 20:37:19	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	417	3¢	$12	0x3fee00…
02-12 20:37:09	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0x4f5379…
01-31 16:54:28	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	96	93¢	$89	0xf2953b…
01-31 15:01:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	91	43¢	$39	0x304991…
01-31 14:34:34	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd4cb82…
01-31 14:33:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	167	50¢	$83	0xce17a0…
01-31 00:28:42	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x8fd7ec…
01-30 22:01:00	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0139e4…
01-30 18:08:18	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	SELL	2,654	99¢	$2,627	0xc2a47a…
01-30 18:04:44	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x24ec05…
01-29 19:16:28	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	539	93¢	$501	0x68e3ff…
01-29 18:42:50	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa86fef…
01-29 18:33:42	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xfbbe91…
01-29 18:17:52	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x05ad6a…
01-29 18:10:56	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0bedfb…
01-29 18:07:46	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xd4df71…
01-29 18:04:20	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	170	93¢	$158	0x95fab3…
01-29 16:56:28	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x201be7…
01-29 16:21:56	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x4a6cd7…
01-29 16:16:06	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xef064d…
01-29 15:51:26	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	770	95¢	$731	0x7e6f16…
01-29 15:46:34	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x1c555c…
01-29 15:43:10	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x04dff2…
01-28 21:21:48	ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	Yes	SELL	209	90¢	$188	0xa272ea…
01-28 21:21:14	ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	Yes	SELL	359	90¢	$324	0xe8e52b…
01-28 21:04:30	ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	Yes	BUY	567	58¢	$329	0xacafb9…
01-13 22:22:46	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	Yes	BUY	182	6¢	$10	0x8f6ec4…
01-13 21:53:00	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	292	86¢	$251	0xb754e0…
01-12 16:45:21	bitcoin above 92k on january 12	Yes	SELL	70	78¢	$55	0x5548e7…