Nice-Disruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$197

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$24.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$139

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

80% 45% +$682

Sports

16% 31% +$763

Crypto

3% 67% +$280

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes		+1,284	$336	11¢	$139	-$197	10-05 18:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	15	$5.1K	2,675	2,654	+21	Yes	+$116	01-30 18:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	40	$2.7K	1,408	1,407	+0	No	+$89	01-11 07:06
will gold close between 4300 and 4400 at the end of 2025 774 377	3	$2.0K	0	2,024	-2,024	Yes	-$2	01-01 00:49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.0K	2,376	2,376	+0	Yes	+$606	07-19 21:44
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	4	$1.7K	1,081	1,081	+0	Over	+$11	02-25 21:41
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	5	$1.0K	1,075	844	+231	Over	-$55	07-18 22:01
AEK vs. BC Rytas	5	$843	828	828	+0	BC Rytas	+$343	05-09 22:05
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	3	$841	567	567	+0	Yes	+$183	01-28 21:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	3	$781	921	0	+921	No	+$140	03-12 19:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	6	$655	334	334	+0	No	+$7	03-11 21:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	6	$598	868	92	+776	No	-$468	02-25 15:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	10	$582	588	0	+588	Yes	+$6	02-24 09:34
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$562	312	312	+0	Robelis Despaigne	+$62	09-20 00:39
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$451	292	292	+0	Yes	+$51	01-13 21:53
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	5	$408	350	350	+0	Yes	+$100	01-11 21:11
Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	2	$369	376	376	+0	Yes	+$231	10-13 20:50
UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	3	$367	333	333	+0	Patricio Pitbull	+$167	09-20 02:35
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	1	$336	1,284	0	+1,284	open	—	10-05 18:05
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	2	$296	203	203	+0	Arman Tsarukyan	-$4	09-20 02:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	5	$254	200	200	+0	No	+$14	01-04 08:34
Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	7	$235	550	550	+0	Unicaja	+$28	05-09 16:52
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	5	$230	353	353	+0	Yes	+$192	01-31 16:54
Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?	2	$230	182	182	+0	Yes	+$130	09-20 03:07
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	7	$171	109	109	+0	Yes	-$3	09-20 02:12
O/U 1.5 Rounds	1	$150	227	0	+227	Over	-$150	09-19 21:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	7	$119	205	205	+0	Yes	+$32	03-13 08:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	6	$117	570	194	+376	No	-$23	01-13 22:22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$109	250	250	+0	No	+$99	07-16 10:54
maduro mugshot released by january 9	2	$105	217	0	+217	No	-$1	01-07 23:10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	1	$100	270	0	+270	No	-$100	10-20 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:23:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0xa9c4c3…
10-20 20:00:45	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x87770e…
10-20 19:13:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x3951a3…
10-17 18:26:39	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 5 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa75571…
10-17 18:26:38	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 5 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	70	75¢	$53	0xe2ef4b…
10-17 17:18:57	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 5 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfe4f3a…
10-13 20:51:06	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	193	8¢	$15	0xc1aef2…
10-13 20:50:39	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	376	80¢	$300	0xa4b453…
10-13 20:37:52	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	376	18¢	$69	0xd599fc…
10-13 20:22:49	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$20	0xe8bb91…
10-05 18:05:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,284	26¢	$336	0x006b75…
10-04 09:28:46	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x917c5f…
10-04 09:27:26	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x1b002a…
10-04 09:26:13	lol red kt 2026 10 04	RED Canids	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0xa8cff8…
10-03 17:26:39	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0x18d808…
10-03 14:08:17	Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D	Karmine Corp	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x423633…
10-03 11:23:38	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3a390a…
10-03 08:51:50	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	G2 Esports	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd78adf…
09-29 14:27:12	val kc3 nrg 2026 09 29 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x1a28ae…
09-29 13:32:24	val kc3 nrg 2026 09 29 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa14c3e…
09-29 13:30:56	val kc3 nrg 2026 09 29	NRG	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0xec0353…
09-26 14:38:21	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeea210…
09-23 17:40:05	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x387ce4…
09-23 13:28:44	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xdf48c7…
09-23 10:06:13	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0x758ad5…
09-20 03:07:04	Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x6d42b8…
09-20 02:42:51	Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	182	28¢	$50	0xd97af1…
09-20 02:39:13	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	SELL	203	72¢	$146	0x8ae27d…
09-20 02:35:04	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	SELL	279	80¢	$223	0xe9561d…
09-20 02:35:04	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x0a6b06…
09-20 02:24:00	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x2e1d3b…
09-20 02:12:31	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc1df33…
09-20 02:07:42	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x5909ef…
09-20 02:07:42	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x117da9…
09-20 01:55:12	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x3975ed…
09-20 01:54:33	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x9e7f1f…
09-20 01:44:19	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xf6ae1a…
09-20 01:27:12	Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfc89ec…
09-20 00:39:52	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0x3acf53…
09-19 21:57:06	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	109	80¢	$87	0x28f1fa…
09-19 21:54:57	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0x7c05a4…
09-19 21:54:15	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xfaef64…
09-19 21:53:36	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x36694e…
07-19 21:44:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	410	94¢	$386	0x151cd3…
07-19 21:26:27	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	391	74¢	$290	0x7824f4…
07-19 21:15:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xdf5e76…
07-19 19:06:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	820	59¢	$483	0x756cb0…
07-19 15:35:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xc5bccb…
07-19 15:34:40	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xa55f87…
07-19 15:30:07	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$10	0x2b3a24…
07-19 15:29:55	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6f794a…
07-18 22:01:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	164	44¢	$72	0xb1eb9e…
07-18 21:51:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	389	44¢	$171	0x111cae…
07-18 21:50:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	455	44¢	$200	0xede785…
07-18 21:12:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	692	64¢	$443	0x4dca84…
07-18 21:11:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	219	65¢	$143	0x2e4994…
07-18 16:02:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	706	59¢	$417	0x1ebcc2…
07-16 10:54:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	42¢	$104	0xba8272…
07-14 18:26:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	400	22¢	$90	0xfe618e…
07-11 13:43:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	404	21¢	$85	0x9090e9…
07-11 11:36:55	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	290	2¢	$5	0x2a4a06…
07-11 11:33:58	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$5	0x0a8e7c…
07-10 21:05:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	450	21¢	$93	0xa54426…
07-09 22:01:47	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	SELL	417	1¢	$5	0x3a26c3…
07-09 17:04:41	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x4a4ed8…
07-07 17:37:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0cd6bd…
07-03 23:36:46	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xecacb3…
07-02 11:46:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,152	10¢	$116	0x223427…
06-15 02:01:25	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	177	56¢	$99	0x0f4521…
06-14 23:28:37	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x53c162…
06-12 14:48:40	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,338	0¢	$9	0xc09638…
06-12 14:48:12	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x653723…
05-26 13:39:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xad6c32…
05-10 17:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0xa3d052…
05-10 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xc3f45a…
05-10 17:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3e4505…
05-10 12:22:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa426e1…
05-09 22:05:55	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe0c5f3…
05-09 19:57:57	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	SELL	812	71¢	$578	0xc251cf…
05-09 18:16:22	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x3f1f93…
05-09 18:13:22	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xce8e94…
05-09 18:09:52	AEK vs. BC Rytas	BC Rytas	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x14fa19…
05-09 16:52:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	La Laguna Tenerife	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x265a99…
05-09 16:48:56	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	La Laguna Tenerife	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x7faabd…
05-09 16:24:59	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	44	43¢	$19	0x33b4eb…
05-09 16:24:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x7db34c…
05-09 16:24:57	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	140	43¢	$60	0x225f08…
05-09 16:24:55	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0x7a315e…
05-09 16:21:34	Unicaja vs. La Laguna Tenerife	Unicaja	BUY	300	31¢	$94	0xecb9eb…
04-11 18:11:47	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0x7fd3fa…
04-11 18:07:51	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 2 1	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x93fddb…
04-11 18:07:19	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x7d6cfb…
04-08 20:45:57	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1dd57b…
04-08 20:05:55	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1f959c…
04-08 20:04:45	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	94	15¢	$14	0xac1cda…
04-08 20:04:29	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x9a14ae…
04-08 19:59:33	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x247c7c…
04-08 12:52:53	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 2 0	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8ab9a2…
04-08 12:52:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 exact score 0 1	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xc4165c…
03-15 21:32:47	will peace be said at the oscars	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x00e240…