Internal-Dilution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$165

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

1,685

Trades

3,056

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$435

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-21 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$1,166

Other

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-428	-$184	72¢	$-306	-$122	04-29 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-142	-$85	90¢	$-129	-$43	04-28 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	36	$589	3,252	3,252	+0	Yes	-$321	05-01 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$184	0	428	-428	open	—	04-29 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$85	0	142	-142	open	—	04-28 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$56	100	0	+100	Up	+$10	05-11 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$53	34	34	+0	Up	+$15	05-05 16:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	5	$48	32	32	+0	Up	+$16	03-24 11:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$44	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 07:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:00 UTC	4	$36	178	128	+50	Down	-$3	03-24 17:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	5	$35	24	23	+0	Up	+$12	03-27 20:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 18:15 UTC	7	$34	48	49	-0	Down	-$15	03-27 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 19:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	3	$28	40	40	+0	Down	-$12	03-27 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$27	30	22	+8	Up	-$8	05-10 16:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 12:45 UTC	2	$25	35	35	+0	Up	-$11	03-27 12:50
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	6	$25	35	35	+0	Down	-$11	03-27 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 18:15 UTC	8	$25	41	41	-0	Down	-$5	03-29 18:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:30 UTC	2	$24	34	34	+1	Up	-$10	03-27 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$24	38	0	+38	Down	-$2	05-04 22:59
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$24	40	0	+40	Down	+$16	05-10 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$23	38	0	+38	Down	-$7	05-04 21:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:45 UTC	5	$23	45	0	+45	Down	+$22	03-27 15:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:10 UTC	3	$23	55	0	+55	Down	-$23	03-28 09:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:40 UTC	2	$22	55	0	+55	Up	+$32	03-28 01:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$22	34	19	+15	Down	-$8	05-10 16:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 12:45 UTC	8	$22	29	35	-6	Down	-$8	03-27 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 12:45 UTC	4	$21	29	29	+0	Up	-$9	03-27 12:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 13:30 UTC	5	$21	41	0	+41	Up	-$21	03-27 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$21	33	0	+33	Down	-$4	05-05 07:19
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 12:15 UTC	5	$21	30	29	+0	Down	-$9	03-27 12:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 16:30 UTC	10	$21	28	32	-4	Up	-$12	03-27 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xd0da35…
05-21 01:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1e982c…
05-21 01:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1fae03…
05-21 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x9fd537…
05-21 01:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8718b3…
05-21 01:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x662b88…
05-21 01:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7688de…
05-20 22:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x2f56ec…
05-20 22:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xbd9889…
05-20 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xce47f9…
05-20 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x9ae72a…
05-20 20:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x93bec8…
05-20 20:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x03d650…
05-20 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa08a3d…
05-20 18:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7699ff…
05-20 18:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x36ce01…
05-20 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x77fcf7…
05-20 18:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb5d382…
05-20 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x520650…
05-20 17:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb90d12…
05-20 17:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeeb848…
05-20 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xfbc094…
05-20 17:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xee5dfa…
05-20 17:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x1d4b25…
05-20 16:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf41c75…
05-20 16:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb0ec00…
05-20 16:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x31b097…
05-20 15:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xbac6a7…
05-20 15:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc0edae…
05-20 15:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe71544…
05-20 15:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x28e845…
05-20 15:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9399be…
05-20 15:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x64a4c4…
05-20 14:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x40d4e3…
05-20 14:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2893c6…
05-20 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3e30d9…
05-20 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x245598…
05-20 14:09:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xcf24c8…
05-20 14:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x0079d2…
05-20 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2810f4…
05-20 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc7e19e…
05-20 13:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xdce468…
05-20 05:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc20448…
05-20 05:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x45c3b5…
05-20 02:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf76ec1…
05-20 02:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x83bb0f…
05-20 02:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x372510…
05-20 02:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x93f7b6…
05-20 02:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6ca071…
05-20 02:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbbe750…
05-20 02:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xbd56e3…
05-20 01:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2744e5…
05-20 01:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xb46eae…
05-20 01:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x406482…
05-20 01:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x189049…
05-20 01:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa08099…
05-20 01:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x980fb7…
05-20 01:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x2acd5f…
05-20 00:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4d87d5…
05-20 00:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xfa35b6…
05-20 00:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xf5fe49…
05-20 00:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xc5a9d2…
05-20 00:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x69bf6f…
05-20 00:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xc848e0…
05-20 00:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdf9826…
05-20 00:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2bd432…
05-19 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x6c804e…
05-19 19:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8fcff9…
05-19 19:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbe342b…
05-19 19:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb452bd…
05-19 19:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf81eb6…
05-19 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x99b9cd…
05-19 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2fe2b5…
05-19 18:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x419248…
05-19 17:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4745b0…
05-19 17:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0721e8…
05-19 15:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xd18684…
05-19 15:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x60c7da…
05-19 15:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfb8b4b…
05-19 15:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xeab0de…
05-19 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe8ee3c…
05-19 15:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x674a6f…
05-19 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xaba178…
05-19 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x7d1f11…
05-19 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x76366d…
05-19 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4600d6…
05-19 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7045df…
05-19 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x27f5d2…
05-19 15:08:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xb3568f…
05-19 14:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0xf06a24…
05-19 14:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7efd22…
05-19 14:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x505f72…
05-19 14:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2a616f…
05-19 14:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xc2afa5…
05-19 14:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x32a162…
05-19 14:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xb539c0…
05-19 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xd04b61…
05-19 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9f5ab7…
05-19 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x684f23…
05-19 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x02fdca…