Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-08 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

48% 88% -$20

Politics

42% 67% -$21

Sports

7% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+9	$6	88¢	$8	+$2	08-13 02:45
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		+7	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	08-14 03:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	4	$303	154	154	+0	No	+$4	02-28 08:49
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$251	139	139	+0	No	+$4	02-01 19:07
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$138	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:01
military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	1	$129	129	0	+129	No	+$0	03-24 04:08
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$1	01-20 11:02
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$108	108	0	+108	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$1	02-14 02:11
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	1	$87	92	0	+92	Yes	+$6	06-27 04:10
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$76	45	45	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:43
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	04-03 06:23
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$55	122	122	-0	No	-$30	02-22 14:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$33	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	01-24 16:28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$26	38	0	+38	Yes	-$26	04-02 08:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	03-15 07:29
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$14	55	0	+55	Yes	+$41	08-28 07:23
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$12	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-08 09:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	01-28 07:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	08-13 02:45
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	08-14 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 09:36:25	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x1b72a5…
08-28 07:23:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	25¢	$14	0xc58640…
08-14 03:15:51	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6e2cf2…
08-13 02:45:54	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x66438c…
06-27 04:10:07	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	92	94¢	$87	0x2e6b84…
04-03 06:23:09	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x55d94c…
04-02 08:14:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0xf8571b…
03-27 14:51:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x357f62…
03-24 04:08:49	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x1b10dd…
03-15 07:29:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf02b12…
03-15 02:43:19	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x51dfd1…
03-14 04:54:29	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xb12c08…
03-14 02:59:19	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb2fb0c…
02-28 08:49:57	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xcb29fc…
02-28 05:29:55	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x33f36f…
02-28 05:14:01	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x219f89…
02-23 09:20:52	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0xa65cd5…
02-22 14:55:14	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9b31c8…
02-22 14:54:56	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x95b92a…
02-14 02:11:41	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x56334f…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:01:37	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x265007…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	122	35¢	$43	0xbddfce…
02-01 19:07:22	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	139	92¢	$128	0xe1a80c…
02-01 16:45:20	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	139	89¢	$123	0x984329…
01-30 11:00:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x37af76…
01-28 07:25:05	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf45391…
01-24 16:28:06	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	34¢	$17	0x18276e…
01-24 03:53:30	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	34¢	$17	0x56ded8…
01-20 11:02:00	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xbace9d…