Outlying-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,232

lifetime

Volume

$150.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-18 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 41% +$1,001

Other

4% 100% +$809

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771739100	32	$3.1K	2,352	2,317	+34	open	—	02-22 05:58
btc updown 15m 1776121200	11	$2.6K	2,249	2,127	+122	open	—	04-13 23:14
atp hanfman darderi 2026 03 01	4	$2.6K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	03-02 00:40
btc updown 15m 1775831400	30	$2.5K	2,077	1,975	+103	open	—	04-10 14:44
btc updown 15m 1771513200	67	$2.4K	1,687	1,661	+26	open	—	02-19 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$2.4K	1,788	1,709	+80	open	—	04-28 02:00
btc updown 15m 1773414900	71	$2.3K	1,936	1,925	+11	open	—	03-13 15:27
btc updown 15m 1771734600	14	$2.2K	1,618	1,594	+24	open	—	02-22 04:42
btc updown 15m 1776802500	54	$2.1K	2,220	1,483	+737	open	—	04-21 20:29
btc updown 15m 1775969100	60	$2.0K	1,420	1,370	+49	open	—	04-12 04:55
btc updown 15m 1776476700	14	$1.9K	2,674	1,288	+1,386	open	—	04-18 01:58
btc updown 15m 1781741700	115	$1.9K	1,409	1,408	+0	open	—	06-18 00:28
btc updown 15m 1776806100	18	$1.9K	1,552	1,470	+82	open	—	04-21 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	36	$1.8K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	04-30 14:14
btc updown 15m 1776776400	24	$1.7K	1,259	1,204	+55	open	—	04-21 13:15
btc updown 15m 1771732800	44	$1.7K	2,996	693	+2,303	open	—	02-22 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	50	$1.7K	1,512	1,438	+74	Down	+$982	05-05 13:59
btc updown 15m 1771596900	25	$1.6K	1,232	1,214	+18	open	—	02-20 14:21
btc updown 15m 1776901500	3	$1.5K	1,156	1,101	+54	open	—	04-22 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	14	$1.4K	989	954	+35	open	—	04-27 17:57
btc updown 15m 1771390800	5	$1.4K	2,073	1,617	+455	open	—	02-18 05:13
btc updown 15m 1776542400	33	$1.4K	1,175	1,119	+56	open	—	04-18 20:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	10	$1.4K	899	899	+0	Nuno Borges	+$390	05-06 15:57
btc updown 15m 1776560400	42	$1.4K	1,351	1,276	+74	open	—	04-19 01:16
btc updown 15m 1781742600	41	$1.4K	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	06-18 00:45
btc updown 15m 1775607300	14	$1.4K	945	910	+35	open	—	04-08 00:29
btc updown 15m 1775908800	32	$1.3K	1,263	1,193	+69	open	—	04-11 12:14
btc updown 15m 1771763400	43	$1.3K	1,111	1,094	+17	open	—	02-22 12:32
btc updown 15m 1773422100	31	$1.2K	925	912	+13	open	—	03-13 17:25
btc updown 15m 1771521300	34	$1.2K	1,708	1,321	+388	open	—	02-19 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 23:36:29	btc updown 15m 1781825400	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x4a20a4…
06-18 23:35:58	btc updown 15m 1781825400	Down	BUY	731	41¢	$300	0x0c5307…
06-18 22:13:07	btc updown 15m 1781820000	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xf73ebd…
06-18 22:04:44	btc updown 15m 1781820000	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xb146ce…
06-18 22:04:25	btc updown 15m 1781820000	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x386569…
06-18 20:23:11	btc updown 15m 1781813700	Up	BUY	460	22¢	$100	0x8aa169…
06-18 20:19:14	btc updown 15m 1781813700	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x175f8b…
06-18 16:01:02	btc updown 15m 1781798400	Down	BUY	323	25¢	$79	0x9af9f6…
06-18 15:51:37	btc updown 15m 1781797500	Up	BUY	214	23¢	$50	0x40abf2…
06-18 15:50:44	btc updown 15m 1781797500	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x8e8bc4…
06-18 15:49:02	btc updown 15m 1781797500	Up	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x8949f1…
06-18 15:06:59	btc updown 15m 1781794800	Up	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xc14b77…
06-18 14:55:25	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Up	BUY	801	6¢	$50	0x626221…
06-18 14:52:49	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Up	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x3234a6…
06-18 14:52:02	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa676e2…
06-18 14:37:37	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x8548b6…
06-18 14:36:02	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x18a564…
06-18 14:33:10	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x2ba8e5…
06-18 14:32:17	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xa31fca…
06-18 14:31:41	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x28f7e2…
06-18 14:29:25	btc updown 15m 1781792100	Down	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x87c01d…
06-18 00:55:25	btc updown 15m 1781743500	Up	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0x33a106…
06-18 00:53:59	btc updown 15m 1781743500	Up	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0x997cac…
06-18 00:45:04	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	490	98¢	$480	0x59a0da…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeb1044…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe892c1…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe26e50…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd8153a…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcac902…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7d069…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xb921a6…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xb65ef3…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa144d7…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x9aabf8…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9274a6…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x918eb5…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x916a53…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x9058e3…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$49	0x6c6b88…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6925b9…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6674cb…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x64908f…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5f2f87…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5dc91d…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x5bf69b…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$49	0x5a96b7…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4ee716…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3bfba9…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3ad5de…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c0694…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x05935a…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x014a0b…
06-18 00:45:02	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x014070…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xf095da…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xedfa47…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b7236…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x848be3…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5d3102…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x582e4d…
06-18 00:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x4c1bdb…
06-18 00:32:56	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd2f48e…
06-18 00:31:43	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	BUY	158	32¢	$50	0x41b0fe…
06-18 00:31:22	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xba3070…
06-18 00:30:56	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Down	BUY	543	37¢	$200	0x78dc1d…
06-18 00:28:44	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xf46a07…
06-18 00:28:43	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x7ac50a…
06-18 00:28:43	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x1ea1d1…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xa879e3…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5dc858…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x516eda…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x482dae…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x2fd444…
06-18 00:28:41	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2162fb…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfcedec…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf5d2de…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xe69340…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xe39ef8…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xde9102…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd5604d…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xce5ae2…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xccf96a…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xc96647…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc7793d…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xc5b689…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbebcf1…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba4aef…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x9880bb…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8bd0d6…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x8a277a…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7c32a4…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x5e3ecb…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x56b195…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4f3148…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x1e9866…
06-18 00:28:40	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x044116…
06-18 00:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xfe9f9e…
06-18 00:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xc908e4…
06-18 00:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa12ec8…
06-18 00:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8f7d2b…
06-18 00:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781741700	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x469dab…