Outlying-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,888

lifetime

Volume

$136.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-12 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 41% +$1,001

Other

4% 100% +$809

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771739100	32	$3.1K	2,352	2,317	+34	open	—	02-22 05:58
btc updown 15m 1776121200	11	$2.6K	2,249	2,127	+122	open	—	04-13 23:14
atp hanfman darderi 2026 03 01	4	$2.6K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	03-02 00:40
btc updown 15m 1775831400	30	$2.5K	2,077	1,975	+103	open	—	04-10 14:44
btc updown 15m 1771513200	67	$2.4K	1,687	1,661	+26	open	—	02-19 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$2.4K	1,788	1,709	+80	open	—	04-28 02:00
btc updown 15m 1773414900	71	$2.3K	1,936	1,925	+11	open	—	03-13 15:27
btc updown 15m 1771734600	14	$2.2K	1,618	1,594	+24	open	—	02-22 04:42
btc updown 15m 1776802500	54	$2.1K	2,220	1,483	+737	open	—	04-21 20:29
btc updown 15m 1775969100	60	$2.0K	1,420	1,370	+49	open	—	04-12 04:55
btc updown 15m 1776476700	14	$1.9K	2,674	1,288	+1,386	open	—	04-18 01:58
btc updown 15m 1776806100	18	$1.9K	1,552	1,470	+82	open	—	04-21 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	36	$1.8K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	04-30 14:14
btc updown 15m 1776776400	24	$1.7K	1,259	1,204	+55	open	—	04-21 13:15
btc updown 15m 1771732800	44	$1.7K	2,996	693	+2,303	open	—	02-22 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	50	$1.7K	1,512	1,438	+74	Down	+$982	05-05 13:59
btc updown 15m 1771596900	25	$1.6K	1,232	1,214	+18	open	—	02-20 14:21
btc updown 15m 1776901500	3	$1.5K	1,156	1,101	+54	open	—	04-22 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	14	$1.4K	989	954	+35	open	—	04-27 17:57
btc updown 15m 1771390800	5	$1.4K	2,073	1,617	+455	open	—	02-18 05:13
btc updown 15m 1776542400	33	$1.4K	1,175	1,119	+56	open	—	04-18 20:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	10	$1.4K	899	899	+0	Nuno Borges	+$390	05-06 15:57
btc updown 15m 1776560400	42	$1.4K	1,351	1,276	+74	open	—	04-19 01:16
btc updown 15m 1775607300	14	$1.4K	945	910	+35	open	—	04-08 00:29
btc updown 15m 1775908800	32	$1.3K	1,263	1,193	+69	open	—	04-11 12:14
btc updown 15m 1771763400	43	$1.3K	1,111	1,094	+17	open	—	02-22 12:32
btc updown 15m 1773422100	31	$1.2K	925	912	+13	open	—	03-13 17:25
btc updown 15m 1771521300	34	$1.2K	1,708	1,321	+388	open	—	02-19 17:29
btc updown 15m 1775608200	29	$1.2K	1,159	871	+288	open	—	04-08 00:44
btc updown 15m 1771736400	28	$1.2K	1,428	1,413	+14	open	—	02-22 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	373	7¢	$25	0x8cab82…
05-12 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0x443ba6…
05-12 19:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xf55014…
05-12 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x40321d…
05-12 19:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x6e882d…
05-12 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5be41c…
05-12 19:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	168	15¢	$25	0x5af2e2…
05-12 19:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xaf797a…
05-12 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x47218b…
05-12 19:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xbab0a8…
05-12 19:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb4d53a…
05-12 19:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	310	32¢	$100	0x8b4e4b…
05-12 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x20207e…
05-12 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xb07539…
05-12 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	318	8¢	$25	0x5ef3a9…
05-12 19:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	188	13¢	$25	0x8f9f92…
05-12 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x46b132…
05-12 19:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xf4b4c9…
05-12 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x1a966e…
05-12 12:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4ff653…
05-12 12:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	260	99¢	$257	0x8fbc38…
05-12 12:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xa94b5f…
05-12 12:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa43981…
05-12 12:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xab5bb5…
05-12 12:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x206bcf…
05-12 12:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa7ba5b…
05-12 12:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6810d8…
05-12 11:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xe853c1…
05-12 11:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x47b844…
05-12 11:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x9fb70e…
05-12 11:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	169	96¢	$162	0xea560f…
05-12 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	312	96¢	$300	0x9b1465…
05-12 11:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xfe4b18…
05-12 11:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x4a7810…
05-12 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbe0754…
05-12 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x42611f…
05-12 11:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xa63147…
05-12 11:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x0ee5bc…
05-12 11:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x555e82…
05-12 11:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xfc4104…
05-12 11:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xcdb7ba…
05-12 11:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x9eff6b…
05-12 11:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	93	15¢	$14	0x10de10…
05-12 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x258607…
05-12 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x0a1c13…
05-12 11:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x303ee6…
05-12 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x17c3a8…
05-12 10:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x443e3a…
05-12 10:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5b66fb…
05-12 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x723aeb…
05-12 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x26c0f7…
05-12 10:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xc00305…
05-12 10:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5b2abe…
05-12 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x276470…
05-12 10:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9a2aa8…
05-11 13:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	306	8¢	$25	0x814011…
05-11 13:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xeae154…
05-11 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x98fd30…
05-11 13:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x47839e…
05-11 13:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x05c3f1…
05-11 13:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x00d364…
05-11 13:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x55cdbc…
05-10 00:31:53	AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0x2d0cf8…
05-10 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xa4838e…
05-10 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x20f43c…
05-10 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb0e41d…
05-10 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xc1ae77…
05-10 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	97	84¢	$81	0x97f292…
05-10 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x042ee3…
05-10 00:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x62a050…
05-10 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x158f04…
05-10 00:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa11650…
05-10 00:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbbda07…
05-09 23:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	203	99¢	$201	0x15fa1a…
05-09 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	180	6¢	$10	0x483740…
05-09 23:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	203	25¢	$50	0xf876ee…
05-09 23:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	278	99¢	$275	0x8316c1…
05-09 23:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xfa3bac…
05-09 21:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xfba622…
05-09 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc2efaa…
05-09 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xd436a8…
05-09 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xc2b5e9…
05-09 16:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xfc0d34…
05-09 16:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x772ded…
05-09 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x42dc35…
05-06 16:23:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xe70a74…
05-06 16:23:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	716	98¢	$702	0x8d57da…
05-06 16:03:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x06de06…
05-06 16:02:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	704	54¢	$380	0xc594d3…
05-06 15:57:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xac341d…
05-06 15:57:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2dfe5f…
05-06 15:57:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	723	99¢	$716	0x216274…
05-06 15:56:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xaedacf…
05-06 15:56:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfd2a91…
05-06 15:56:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc6b2e0…
05-06 15:56:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb421e6…
05-06 15:55:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ff83c…
05-06 15:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x0aab3c…
05-06 15:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0xf125c3…
05-06 15:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xa2f59e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	310	$30.3K	7,031	05-12 19:54
(anonymous) 0x4336…e51c	291	$593	1,607	05-12 19:57
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	288	$332.9K	93,602	05-12 19:58
Complicated-Steeple 0xe8bb…9d47	288	$2.66K	1,250	05-12 11:10
Leafy-Blackbird 0x3abb…3405	275	$39.4K	1,834	05-12 19:47
(anonymous) 0x6b1b…1923	272	$25.6K	5,468	04-28 01:59
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	271	$55.1K	8,593	05-12 19:40
(anonymous) 0xda8f…83d9	268	$9.16K	404	04-28 01:36