Little-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-07 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-51

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 4pm et	8	$1.1K	588	583	+5	open	—	04-18 20:55
btc updown 4h 1776585600	2	$819	480	473	+7	open	—	04-19 11:40
btc updown 4h 1776513600	10	$801	472	470	+2	open	—	04-18 15:56
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 5am et	2	$765	385	384	+0	open	—	04-19 09:57
btc updown 4h 1776556800	3	$748	390	388	+2	open	—	04-19 03:56
btc updown 4h 1776240000	16	$560	366	359	+7	open	—	04-15 11:31
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6am et	11	$476	276	274	+2	open	—	04-22 10:58
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 1pm et	7	$455	237	237	+0	open	—	04-19 17:50
btc updown 4h 1776600000	32	$434	240	240	+0	open	—	04-19 15:57
btc updown 4h 1776528000	2	$426	220	219	+1	open	—	04-18 19:29
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 3pm et	6	$400	215	215	+0	open	—	04-19 19:40
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	6	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 16:53
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	2	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 13:56
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 3am et	4	$371	1,218	199	+1,019	open	—	04-20 07:59
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5am et	3	$334	305	299	+5	open	—	04-22 09:54
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	4	$312	200	199	+1	open	—	04-19 13:12
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2pm et	3	$301	264	257	+8	open	—	04-21 18:36
btc updown 4h 1776340800	7	$299	164	163	+1	open	—	04-16 15:02
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 2pm et	2	$256	200	197	+3	open	—	04-19 18:51
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 2am et	2	$221	131	129	+2	open	—	04-23 06:52
btc updown 4h 1776844800	3	$213	296	120	+176	open	—	04-22 11:53
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 2pm et	2	$209	112	111	+1	open	—	04-18 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$207	112	112	+0	open	—	05-19 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	2	$205	107	107	+0	open	—	04-30 18:55
btc updown 4h 1776225600	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	04-15 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	3	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 07:58
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12am et	5	$202	165	147	+18	open	—	04-22 04:58
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	4	$177	143	139	+4	open	—	04-15 06:51
btc updown 4h 1776297600	2	$139	83	82	+2	open	—	04-16 03:21
btc updown 4h 1776700800	6	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 02:15:49	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb3e1ef…
06-06 23:32:58	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x7bd0e5…
06-06 21:31:30	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd2c4fe…
06-06 20:42:03	btc updown 5m 1780778400	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb89c0c…
06-06 20:37:36	btc updown 5m 1780778100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce2a81…
06-06 20:06:49	btc updown 5m 1780776300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbd0ac7…
06-06 19:10:58	btc updown 5m 1780773000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e402b…
06-06 18:54:22	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0eb7ad…
06-06 18:52:55	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xcbbb7d…
06-06 18:50:19	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8ce15…
06-06 18:24:00	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xf2a8f6…
06-06 18:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x40ea23…
06-06 18:19:51	btc updown 5m 1780769700	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c0703…
06-06 18:07:13	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x14da50…
06-06 17:54:52	btc updown 5m 1780768200	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4cbc3a…
06-06 17:54:52	btc updown 5m 1780768200	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x153d4c…
06-02 18:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfecfff…
06-02 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x659030…
06-02 17:55:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0x01d7fb…
06-02 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x02dd60…
06-02 17:19:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xe8cf21…
05-22 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x6767d2…
05-22 15:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x11bd22…
05-22 15:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4bf2af…
05-22 14:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcf7c50…
05-22 13:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xeec350…
05-22 13:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x20129e…
05-22 09:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x38feb8…
05-22 09:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x34c22c…
05-22 07:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xc86bac…
05-22 07:40:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x7bade6…
05-22 06:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xfc8ecf…
05-22 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x82cda4…
05-22 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x0138ad…
05-21 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x140ff5…
05-21 17:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x8b81dd…
05-21 17:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xb4f1b4…
05-21 16:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe7abec…
05-21 16:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf217a1…
05-21 16:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x6324e8…
05-21 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x6fd90f…
05-21 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xb9e200…
05-21 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd5d010…
05-20 08:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf7ec82…
05-20 08:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xa5b6b1…
05-19 17:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x230cce…
05-19 17:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x089ac7…
05-19 16:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x9a1ab5…
05-19 16:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x654eb9…
05-19 15:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x9d93e8…
05-19 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x358baa…
05-19 14:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	96¢	$53	0x32b523…
05-19 14:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x8e314f…
05-19 14:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x99707f…
05-19 14:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x5f897e…
05-19 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xad432c…
05-19 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x98f352…
05-19 08:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x32790f…
05-19 08:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2217c4…
05-19 03:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x385dab…
05-18 20:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8d1f2b…
05-18 20:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xee97a9…
05-18 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4b6266…
05-18 20:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x90c1a7…
05-18 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb6e0c5…
05-18 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4ec802…
05-18 19:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd8312f…
05-18 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xab9209…
05-18 19:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf048ea…
05-18 19:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf30ff0…
05-18 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x631855…
05-18 17:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x31837a…
05-18 17:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1fe768…
05-18 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xf8c43b…
05-18 16:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x31c0a1…
05-17 20:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7a3975…
05-17 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xc4b06c…
05-17 15:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4b3d64…
05-17 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5df714…
05-17 15:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeacc49…
05-17 15:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a1b51…
05-17 15:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x73b565…
05-17 15:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8c10d3…
05-17 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x294fdf…
05-17 02:21:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x01c223…
05-16 19:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe6dbb7…
05-16 17:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaca039…
05-16 17:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xc39288…
05-16 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa8fbf1…
05-16 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5d9955…
05-16 15:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9a2185…
05-15 11:09:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x29d0b7…
05-15 11:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc97e5e…
05-15 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9dae14…
05-15 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbd3a77…
05-15 07:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xe7b2ea…
05-15 07:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x288a49…
05-14 21:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb0e0ae…
05-14 21:02:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x862b08…
05-14 02:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	225	0¢	$1	0x4fccd6…