Thirsty-Sanity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

445

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-02 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 51% -$65

Other

3% 0% -$25

Politics

2% 20% +$19

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-24	-$6	20¢	$-5	+$1	05-09 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$75	50	50	+0	Down	+$25	10-27 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 03:55 UTC	2	$45	31	30	+0	Up	+$16	02-12 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$42	31	31	+0	Up	+$18	10-27 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$41	29	28	+1	Down	+$12	04-24 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$41	37	37	+0	Down	-$9	10-27 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$40	117	0	+117	Up	-$40	10-27 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$35	51	51	+0	Up	-$5	10-27 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 03:50 UTC	2	$35	26	25	+0	Up	+$15	02-12 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$33	43	43	+0	Down	-$7	10-27 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$9	04-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$32	27	27	+0	Down	+$16	10-27 02:34
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	3	$31	103	103	+0	open	—	10-31 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-02 16:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:15 UTC	2	$30	21	20	+0	Up	+$11	02-11 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:00 UTC	2	$30	26	25	+0	Up	+$11	02-11 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	10-27 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:15 UTC	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	02-11 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-02 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	-$25	10-27 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$24	45	45	+0	Down	-$4	10-27 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-02 21:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	2	$20	32	32	+0	Up	+$10	02-11 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 04:00 UTC	1	$20	50	0	+50	Down	-$20	02-12 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$20	57	0	+57	Down	+$37	10-27 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:55 UTC	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$20	04-23 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	Up	-$20	10-27 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	1	$20	33	0	+33	Down	-$20	04-23 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 03:45 UTC	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$18	28	0	+28	Down	+$10	10-27 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 01:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0xbb2449…
11-02 01:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xbfea1c…
11-02 01:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9e036d…
11-02 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb7e420…
10-31 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x055688…
10-31 18:13:06	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	103	11¢	$11	0x827ab1…
10-27 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x681ef1…
10-27 04:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x6959a2…
10-27 04:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x627c52…
10-27 04:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0xcfa190…
10-27 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0xcf2209…
10-27 04:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x5f0e26…
10-27 03:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0ec341…
10-27 03:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xad3faf…
10-27 03:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8c74ec…
10-27 03:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xddc534…
10-27 03:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x19fa46…
10-27 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x8b0a3d…
10-27 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x18c3ed…
10-27 03:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0x0308ec…
10-27 03:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbb202a…
10-27 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe9bbe5…
10-27 03:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x515e03…
10-27 03:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	133	9¢	$12	0xc55a86…
10-27 03:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xc9da0e…
10-27 03:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x5d9c54…
10-27 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x464e64…
10-27 02:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8dbdc1…
10-27 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd397cd…
10-27 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	27	91¢	$24	0xa37e06…
10-27 02:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x2f7f1a…
10-27 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x232ec4…
10-27 02:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	31¢	$13	0x1e1375…
10-27 02:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd7143d…
10-27 02:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x9b559a…
10-27 02:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x712619…
10-27 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x62849d…
10-27 02:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xcd8582…
10-27 02:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x361c74…
10-27 01:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x3da335…
10-27 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe89327…
10-17 12:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4f7377…
10-15 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb6ee1f…
10-15 22:31:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xf055ed…
10-15 22:30:48	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xffdad1…
10-05 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x101884…
10-05 22:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x67c6b4…
10-05 22:14:56	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x24315e…
10-04 00:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc1cbde…
10-04 00:31:13	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa26b4f…
10-04 00:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x0a1f52…
10-04 00:26:22	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe6e51f…
09-28 23:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2ee0ba…
09-28 23:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb9f38f…
09-28 23:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x666f12…
09-28 22:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf6eb1b…
09-28 22:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4672f9…
09-28 22:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc95e42…
09-28 22:00:11	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x25328e…
09-28 22:00:03	will serbia call its presidential election by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2d599…
05-23 22:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x191422…
05-23 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2fa78c…
05-23 22:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x918b36…
05-23 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e7619…
05-23 22:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa9805c…
05-23 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd997be…
05-23 21:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x067128…
05-23 21:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf29721…
05-11 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc1632…
05-11 11:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x302378…
05-11 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd67cd2…
05-11 10:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdc5996…
05-11 10:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3d8a3a…
05-11 10:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa46f82…
05-11 09:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x41deab…
05-11 09:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x709e97…
05-09 17:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x98a6e5…
05-09 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa6fb1a…
05-09 16:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0497be…
05-09 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4773e1…
05-09 15:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf7b13…
05-09 14:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x51b8e9…
05-09 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee79cc…
05-09 14:30:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xf309dc…
05-09 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe630b3…
05-09 14:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x563792…
05-09 14:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa68af5…
05-09 14:11:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x9ff76e…
05-09 09:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x814f3a…
05-09 09:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x60e2dc…
05-09 09:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1fb879…
05-09 09:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd0dc4e…
05-09 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf8b421…
05-08 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3d29ff…
05-08 23:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x536e69…
05-08 23:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x14cb3c…
05-08 19:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe33f53…
05-08 19:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x87bd01…
05-08 19:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x393b69…
05-08 18:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3cd0e1…