Weighty-Pleat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$10.9K

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$3.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11.4K

Open exposure

$39.1K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-25 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

82% 64% -$508,490

Sports

18% 60% +$343,472

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+54,706	$49,974	72¢	$39.1K	-$10,859	09-14 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	3	$329.0K	335,880	0	+335,880	Yes	+$6,880	07-09 21:39
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$300.0K	308,883	0	+308,883	Argentina	+$8,883	07-04 00:37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$277.3K	511,734	88,585	+423,148	Yes	+$182,568	07-14 21:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$200.0K	352,423	0	+352,423	No	-$200,000	07-12 00:50
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	81	$156.9K	280,000	0	+280,000	Yes	+$123,100	05-30 16:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	4	$140.6K	182,071	0	+182,071	No	-$117,527	07-03 12:44
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$138.1K	206,172	0	+206,172	England	-$138,135	07-18 14:57
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$125.2K	209,611	0	+209,611	Spain	-$125,165	07-14 09:24
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	2	$120.0K	140,470	0	+140,470	Argentina	+$20,470	07-15 02:56
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$100.0K	129,870	0	+129,870	Yes	+$29,870	06-30 15:00
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$100.0K	204,082	0	+204,082	England	-$100,000	07-05 23:57
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$100.0K	149,254	0	+149,254	Yes	+$49,254	06-16 03:24
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$100.0K	120,482	0	+120,482	Yes	+$20,482	07-04 04:54
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	1	$100.0K	103,180	0	+103,180	No	+$3,180	07-12 00:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$300	07-29 12:19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	98	$90.7K	185,614	0	+185,614	Yes	+$94,904	06-06 01:10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	1	$65.9K	74,472	0	+74,472	Yes	+$8,589	10-10 15:43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	28	$65.0K	69,401	0	+69,401	Yes	+$4,353	10-11 16:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$59.0K	107,586	0	+107,586	Yes	+$48,586	09-15 13:36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	1	$50.0K	58,797	0	+58,797	Yes	+$8,797	10-17 16:49
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?	1	$50.0K	51,123	0	+51,123	No	+$1,123	07-06 23:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$50.0K	54,706	0	+54,706	open	—	09-14 02:57
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	1	$49.8K	66,248	0	+66,248	Yes	+$16,418	10-04 03:29
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$36.9K	64,737	0	+64,737	Yes	+$27,837	07-02 12:35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$31.0K	184,944	0	+184,944	No	-$31,000	06-16 03:24
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$30.0K	93,750	0	+93,750	No	-$30,000	07-05 23:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$30.0K	38,926	0	+38,926	Yes	+$8,926	07-29 12:19
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?	2	$30.0K	34,457	0	+34,457	No	-$30,000	09-19 16:55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	1	$30.0K	30,749	0	+30,749	Yes	+$749	09-13 15:13
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?	1	$30.0K	30,489	0	+30,489	No	+$489	07-06 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:49:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32,258	62¢	$20,000	0x7f142a…
10-24 04:03:02	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	13,571	74¢	$10,000	0x93e4e7…
10-17 16:49:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	58,797	85¢	$50,000	0x731fac…
10-14 17:32:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	30,109	100¢	$30,000	0x36f76d…
10-11 16:57:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	20,202	99¢	$20,000	0x967a40…
10-11 16:56:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	20,408	98¢	$20,000	0xf29d9b…
10-11 16:55:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	72	87¢	$62	0xe6f98c…
10-11 16:55:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	11,681	87¢	$10,163	0xf246ec…
10-11 16:55:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	762	87¢	$663	0x5634fe…
10-11 16:55:22	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xedd458…
10-11 16:55:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa9bfc5…
10-11 16:55:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	314	87¢	$273	0x8c727f…
10-11 16:55:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$19	0x2e2d5d…
10-11 16:55:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$19	0x3ef982…
10-11 16:54:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x515855…
10-11 16:54:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xa50712…
10-11 16:54:55	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x9d3faf…
10-11 16:54:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x3b5c38…
10-11 16:54:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf89b87…
10-11 16:54:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xd8268c…
10-11 16:54:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x193267…
10-11 16:54:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	714	87¢	$621	0xffd20b…
10-11 16:54:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x272730…
10-11 16:54:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbd07e0…
10-11 16:54:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	718	87¢	$625	0xbeb6e6…
10-11 16:54:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa98be8…
10-11 16:54:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	450	87¢	$391	0xae86f9…
10-11 16:54:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2,079	87¢	$1,809	0x2057f3…
10-11 16:54:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$28	0x036efc…
10-11 16:54:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	1,267	87¢	$1,102	0x20e08f…
10-11 16:54:22	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x0a3721…
10-11 16:54:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	10,370	87¢	$9,022	0x8be54a…
10-10 15:43:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	74,472	88¢	$65,883	0x637a4b…
10-04 03:29:28	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	66,248	75¢	$49,831	0xdccffc…
09-19 16:55:18	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	7,679	91¢	$6,954	0xac8179…
09-19 16:55:18	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	26,778	86¢	$23,046	0x4fc415…
09-15 13:36:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,586	87¢	$6,600	0x6bf993…
09-14 02:57:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	54,706	91¢	$49,974	0x8dd838…
09-13 16:53:51	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	19,094	52¢	$10,000	0x205b82…
09-13 15:13:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	30,749	98¢	$30,000	0x86839a…
08-30 16:59:49	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	30,039	100¢	$30,000	0xf5e32d…
08-28 17:57:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,119	52¢	$8,382	0x0bb06f…
08-28 17:50:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,724	52¢	$4,536	0xfd1b25…
08-28 17:50:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0x82e887…
08-28 17:50:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x2c06d9…
08-28 17:49:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,094	52¢	$2,649	0xec302c…
08-28 17:45:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x51674b…
08-28 17:44:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbcd4dd…
08-28 17:44:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x6347df…
08-28 17:44:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	52¢	$55	0x2142da…
08-28 17:42:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,108	52¢	$1,616	0x40b40e…
08-28 17:42:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,879	52¢	$1,497	0x52adb8…
08-28 17:41:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,406	52¢	$1,251	0x024b29…
08-28 17:40:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,292	52¢	$1,192	0xa90563…
08-28 17:40:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x527b95…
08-28 17:39:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,319	52¢	$1,206	0x28a260…
08-28 17:38:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,123	52¢	$1,104	0x264ee6…
08-28 17:06:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,000	53¢	$6,360	0x0d9472…
08-28 17:06:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,000	53¢	$6,360	0x82ccf3…
08-28 17:05:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,000	53¢	$8,480	0x464836…
07-29 12:19:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100,000	100¢	$99,700	0x9b5945…
07-29 12:19:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38,926	77¢	$30,000	0xf662bb…
07-26 03:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	835	36¢	$300	0xfa17b7…
07-26 03:31:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	534	94¢	$500	0xb57d8a…
07-20 08:11:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,172	85¢	$1,000	0x6cfac7…
07-20 08:09:01	BNB Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x251528…
07-18 14:57:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	206,172	67¢	$138,135	0x087c86…
07-15 02:56:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	75,197	86¢	$64,355	0xca16bf…
07-15 02:56:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	65,273	85¢	$55,645	0x22aa24…
07-14 21:31:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	423,148	58¢	$243,917	0x516ce7…
07-14 09:24:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	14,864	60¢	$8,881	0x89f245…
07-14 09:24:25	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	90,909	11¢	$10,000	0x87e488…
07-13 09:37:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	88,585	21¢	$18,337	0xe5f16f…
07-13 09:37:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	194,747	60¢	$116,283	0xb105d7…
07-12 03:15:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	54,567	30¢	$16,152	0x8f79a7…
07-12 00:50:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	352,423	57¢	$200,000	0x9f00b4…
07-12 00:49:40	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	No	BUY	103,180	97¢	$100,000	0x072a5d…
07-09 21:39:26	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	29,597	98¢	$29,000	0x92f675…
07-09 21:39:02	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	230,317	98¢	$225,247	0x54a3b5…
07-09 21:39:02	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	75,966	98¢	$74,753	0x35e099…
07-06 23:54:08	Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?	No	BUY	51,123	98¢	$50,000	0x325c70…
07-06 23:53:41	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?	No	BUY	30,489	98¢	$30,000	0xaca2f8…
07-05 23:57:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	93,750	32¢	$30,000	0x410b4b…
07-05 23:57:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	204,082	49¢	$100,000	0x42bc62…
07-04 04:54:49	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	120,482	83¢	$100,000	0xfe775f…
07-04 00:37:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	160,816	97¢	$155,983	0xaae1c7…
07-04 00:37:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30,859	94¢	$29,154	0x9a01ea…
07-04 00:37:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	117,207	98¢	$114,863	0x5a765b…
07-03 12:44:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	14,493	69¢	$10,000	0x79c09e…
07-03 12:44:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	116,279	86¢	$100,000	0x9110b5…
07-03 08:25:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	42,730	86¢	$36,900	0x22551a…
07-02 12:35:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	64,737	57¢	$36,900	0x2cc2f2…
07-01 06:53:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	21,248	16¢	$3,400	0xdb780a…
07-01 06:53:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	1,815	16¢	$290	0x073a25…
06-30 15:00:01	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	129,870	77¢	$100,000	0xc739fc…
06-27 13:27:25	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	30,000	86¢	$25,800	0x606ab7…
06-16 03:24:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57,449	17¢	$10,000	0x0acb82…
06-16 03:24:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	47,061	67¢	$31,531	0x606a4f…
06-16 03:24:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	102,193	67¢	$68,469	0x3c7b2f…
06-15 00:55:01	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10,000	64¢	$6,400	0x51a1bb…