Yellow-Id — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

305

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:32
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:43
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 12c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 03:51
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x052f61…
10-27 07:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x022927…
10-26 04:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x811f0b…
10-24 06:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0dffcb…
10-22 09:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x74891e…
10-20 04:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb630f1…
10-19 06:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2bfa0a…
10-18 05:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87fc75…
10-17 07:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed0c9e…
10-16 04:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6801d0…
10-15 05:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x40566b…
10-14 06:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce0c50…
10-13 13:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0309c…
10-13 01:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3507e8…
10-12 01:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9cddff…
10-11 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x53fec9…
10-08 04:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb5cbc…
10-07 08:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d787…
10-06 14:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc509a0…
10-06 05:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36748e…
10-04 07:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f2112…
10-03 00:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38d48f…
10-02 07:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x673253…
10-02 03:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6ccdf…
10-01 05:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97a24d…
09-30 07:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bffef…
09-29 06:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f31fd…
09-28 07:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12a1b6…
09-27 10:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d4ab4…
09-26 08:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78d03e…
09-25 01:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa23ebf…
09-24 01:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9baa4…
09-23 05:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe07227…
09-22 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb818cd…
09-21 06:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f20ce…
09-20 02:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x751487…
09-19 05:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dd4b6…
09-18 09:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc97c2…
09-18 01:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0d814…
09-17 00:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc3090…
09-16 07:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4febc2…
09-15 23:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97e206…
09-15 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc674c6…
09-14 00:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f954…
09-13 12:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc20678…
09-12 03:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89295a…
09-11 01:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84ed10…
09-10 01:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xece804…
09-09 00:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83737e…
09-08 01:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc94e0f…
09-07 13:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc8d27…
09-07 01:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e2621…
09-06 17:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdea7c8…
09-06 01:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecd8f5…
09-05 08:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb70fdb…
09-04 08:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00fdfe…
09-03 01:07:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82e247…
09-02 11:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x453e55…
09-01 01:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a4a3…
08-30 00:09:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x537b7f…
08-29 05:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ca2af…
08-28 01:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72a8fc…
08-27 01:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4afbcf…
08-26 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x866913…
08-25 01:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a1e2b…
08-24 07:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x449b84…
08-23 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349fe5…
08-22 01:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8286f2…
08-21 01:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x915ea2…
08-20 05:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cd109…
08-19 00:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5db89c…
08-18 00:10:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49e661…
08-17 05:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0b54…
08-16 01:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3303ec…
08-15 01:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c7ba5…
08-14 01:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd33674…
08-13 00:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cd249…
08-12 00:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3896fc…
08-11 00:12:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368684…
08-10 00:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafdcd2…
08-09 00:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7caea2…
08-08 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18bf0a…
08-07 00:13:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd0ac1…
08-06 00:18:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21309c…
08-05 00:16:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88cacb…
08-04 00:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4fd73…
08-03 00:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e60fb…
08-02 06:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0928b7…
08-02 00:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a42d3…
08-01 00:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x980536…
07-31 00:58:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0486db…
07-30 00:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacbf39…
07-29 00:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x431b3a…
07-28 00:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42e612…
07-27 01:17:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83355c…
07-26 08:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31cb88…
07-26 00:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a1238…
07-25 00:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x277674…
07-24 01:13:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5044d…
07-23 00:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x639e44…