Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
56
lifetime
Volume
$289
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$96
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-04 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
89% 100% +$5
Politics
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -26 $-23 90¢ $-23 +$0 06-07 11:54
China coup attempt before 2027? No -15 $-15 98¢ $-15 $-0 06-13 02:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$0 06-16 23:56
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$1 06-17 07:50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 86¢ $-7 $-1 06-01 22:13
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$0 06-13 19:06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -6 $-6 91¢ $-5 +$0 06-14 07:00
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 02:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-17 07:01
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-2 72¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 06:47
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $3 28¢ $2 $-2 06-16 21:51
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-17 06:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 22:13
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-17 14:06
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-22 17:51
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 07-04 21:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 22:06