Icky-Causeway 0xd625a9…504d7c
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
837
Trades
1,448
lifetime
Volume
$29.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$602
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-20 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
77% 54% -$518
Crypto
12% 56% +$133
Sports
8% 58% -$369
Politics
3% 43% +$2,061
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +197 $128 72¢ $143 +$15 10-18 19:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +172 $110 70¢ $121 +$11 10-20 19:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +85 $60 80¢ $69 +$9 10-20 20:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +81 $51 72¢ $58 +$7 10-16 05:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +294 $41 12¢ $34 -$8 08-07 02:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $30 68¢ $34 +$4 10-16 05:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $20 74¢ $24 +$4 10-16 05:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $18 94¢ $21 +$2 07-02 03:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +125 $25 16¢ $20 -$4 10-16 04:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +38 $15 38¢ $15 $0 07-02 02:35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +14 $8 100¢ $14 +$6 07-02 02:52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 10-16 05:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $10 41¢ $9 -$1 10-16 04:49
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 10-16 05:01
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 07-02 02:52
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 10-16 05:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +37 $5 13¢ $5 $0 09-23 00:35
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 05-06 08:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 06-14 08:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-07 04:24
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +100 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 06-11 06:08
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-08 04:35