Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

130

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$807

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-30 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 85% -$17

Other

23% 26% -$25

Politics

3% 50% $0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	10-30 05:15
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-17 03:44
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No		+2	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	10-15 12:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No		+2	$1	69¢	$1	+$0	10-15 13:25
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No		+2	$1	44¢	$1	$0	10-13 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	1	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	10-30 04:29
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz	5	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	10-29 14:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-29 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	10-29 07:04
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	10-10 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	-$1	10-29 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 10:14
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-29 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-29 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-29 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-29 07:34
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 07:09
Samsun: Completed Match: Pridankina/Tikhonova vs Bagaric/Kulambayeva	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-29 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-29 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-29 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	-$4	10-29 06:04
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Camila Osorio vs Lin Zhu	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	-$9	10-10 03:17
Antofagasta: Completed Match: Ribeiro/Zormann vs Magadan/Merino	2	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	10-09 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-09 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	10-09 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$9	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	10-09 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa6f830…
10-30 05:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4f56b1…
10-30 05:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0d79d0…
10-30 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa5db41…
10-30 04:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc3039c…
10-30 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x36a8ef…
10-30 04:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb20ebb…
10-30 04:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x94de5f…
10-30 04:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd29705…
10-30 04:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xabbb64…
10-30 04:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd3c48a…
10-30 04:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x958591…
10-30 04:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0xb26e32…
10-30 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x33c1c4…
10-30 04:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e0ced…
10-30 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb1fa6…
10-30 00:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x257756…
10-30 00:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3acb33…
10-29 23:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x856c70…
10-29 23:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe87326…
10-29 23:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x14141b…
10-29 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x380e5b…
10-29 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fb89a…
10-29 21:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d821f…
10-29 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86366c…
10-29 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae06bf…
10-29 20:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5c62f…
10-29 20:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa6af88…
10-29 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbc3866…
10-29 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7ff78d…
10-29 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa5eec4…
10-29 20:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d1a22…
10-29 20:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd782af…
10-29 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x53c8a2…
10-29 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8a6273…
10-29 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7d5e08…
10-29 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf9c606…
10-29 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f779e…
10-29 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc642ce…
10-29 19:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x899c83…
10-29 19:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38bac4…
10-29 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb1b7eb…
10-29 17:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3caf80…
10-29 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd4b66…
10-29 16:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3700fe…
10-29 16:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc81a5d…
10-29 15:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1ce118…
10-29 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0e06dc…
10-29 15:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa54d97…
10-29 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2be841…
10-29 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4fa587…
10-29 13:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x05cd72…
10-29 13:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb4774…
10-29 13:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x41a5a5…
10-29 13:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c4f75…
10-29 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb946d…
10-29 12:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0f2df…
10-29 12:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5e499…
10-29 12:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7752df…
10-29 12:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4e1fa…
10-29 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x22a183…
10-29 11:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb57bfb…
10-29 11:38:17	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7bb0d2…
10-29 11:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x518027…
10-29 10:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x633d5d…
10-29 10:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x73c066…
10-29 10:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4042c9…
10-29 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8641da…
10-29 10:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a6597…
10-29 10:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb26b86…
10-29 10:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x492589…
10-29 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3af35…
10-29 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75fd3a…
10-29 09:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xefab72…
10-29 08:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbedd1c…
10-29 08:56:35	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x306bd3…
10-29 08:56:29	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8a9e6…
10-29 08:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64926e…
10-29 08:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x847fcb…
10-29 08:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xccc0c6…
10-29 08:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70a94b…
10-29 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2a184d…
10-29 07:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1b96d…
10-29 07:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55712e…
10-29 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b5496…
10-29 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5fb2c4…
10-29 07:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1fea3f…
10-29 07:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa32ff2…
10-29 07:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3f9af0…
10-29 07:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xd6caea…
10-29 06:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x950b19…
10-29 06:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b0e86…
10-29 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb51648…
10-29 06:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe6b0a6…
10-29 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb60096…
10-29 06:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8e369d…
10-29 06:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x94ffbc…
10-29 06:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x63b86c…
10-29 06:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeefe86…
10-29 06:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x9ef9c3…