Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-22 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% — —

Other

10% — —

Politics

4% 50% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+129	$5	4¢	$5	$-0	06-21 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	24¢	$1	$-0	06-18 06:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on january 7 2026	4	$138	86	85	+0	open	—	01-07 21:32
btc updown 5m 1782115800	2	$125	138	0	+138	open	—	06-22 08:14
btc updown 5m 1782106500	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	06-22 05:38
btc updown 5m 1782072300	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	06-21 20:09
btc updown 5m 1782074100	1	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	06-21 20:39
btc updown 5m 1782107100	4	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	06-22 05:49
btc updown 5m 1782118800	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	06-22 09:04
btc updown 5m 1782113100	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	06-22 07:29
btc updown 5m 1782111600	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	06-22 07:03
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	5	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	02-19 18:18
btc updown 5m 1782109200	2	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	06-22 06:23
btc updown 5m 1771524900	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	02-19 18:21
bitcoin up or down on january 7	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	01-07 18:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 6	2	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	01-06 18:45
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$29	30	14	+16	open	—	01-25 14:52
btc updown 5m 1782110100	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	06-22 06:39
btc updown 5m 1782112500	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	06-22 07:19
btc updown 5m 1782073500	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	06-21 20:29
btc updown 5m 1782111900	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-22 07:08
btc updown 5m 1782110700	1	$25	74	0	+74	open	—	06-22 06:49
btc updown 5m 1782106800	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	06-22 05:44
btc updown 5m 1782106200	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	06-22 05:33
btc updown 5m 1782075900	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	06-21 21:06
btc updown 5m 1782135000	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	06-22 13:32
btc updown 5m 1782108300	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	06-22 06:09
btc updown 5m 1782074400	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-21 20:42
btc updown 5m 1782073800	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-21 20:34
btc updown 5m 1782109500	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	06-22 06:26
btc updown 5m 1782107700	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-22 05:59
btc updown 5m 1782114300	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	06-22 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 13:32:16	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x329368…
06-22 09:13:49	btc updown 5m 1782119400	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x1172f8…
06-22 09:04:19	btc updown 5m 1782118800	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4215e2…
06-22 08:14:29	btc updown 5m 1782115800	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x44d51a…
06-22 08:14:01	btc updown 5m 1782115800	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x85cbff…
06-22 08:08:26	btc updown 5m 1782115500	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3781bc…
06-22 07:49:43	btc updown 5m 1782114300	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xdf2c38…
06-22 07:39:29	btc updown 5m 1782113700	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x195383…
06-22 07:31:53	btc updown 5m 1782113400	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x3dea78…
06-22 07:29:31	btc updown 5m 1782113100	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb7fac3…
06-22 07:19:17	btc updown 5m 1782112500	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbe16ff…
06-22 07:08:53	btc updown 5m 1782111900	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x3f6b2d…
06-22 07:03:58	btc updown 5m 1782111600	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x873f4b…
06-22 06:49:28	btc updown 5m 1782110700	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5eb9fd…
06-22 06:39:32	btc updown 5m 1782110100	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x708f5f…
06-22 06:26:59	btc updown 5m 1782109500	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x25bb4b…
06-22 06:23:23	btc updown 5m 1782109200	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x79dc46…
06-22 06:22:16	btc updown 5m 1782109200	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xbf4b72…
06-22 06:09:23	btc updown 5m 1782108300	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9c19e7…
06-22 05:59:04	btc updown 5m 1782107700	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf442ba…
06-22 05:49:52	btc updown 5m 1782107100	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x119492…
06-22 05:49:38	btc updown 5m 1782107100	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x200c8d…
06-22 05:49:10	btc updown 5m 1782107100	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8f5f7e…
06-22 05:48:50	btc updown 5m 1782107100	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x6f8365…
06-22 05:44:34	btc updown 5m 1782106800	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x1c0ade…
06-22 05:38:47	btc updown 5m 1782106500	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd13ddd…
06-22 05:33:53	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa09cae…
06-21 21:06:58	btc updown 5m 1782075900	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x899027…
06-21 20:42:23	btc updown 5m 1782074400	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x94bd81…
06-21 20:39:17	btc updown 5m 1782074100	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x232a19…
06-21 20:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782073800	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x7f61ab…
06-21 20:29:14	btc updown 5m 1782073500	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x023acd…
06-21 20:09:26	btc updown 5m 1782072300	Up	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0x585ec4…
06-21 16:52:49	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x8c28b1…
06-18 06:19:56	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x000e69…
06-18 06:14:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4e9e2e…
04-10 10:20:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x405662…
03-23 00:18:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xddd1e2…
03-23 00:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xbb5f46…
03-16 10:22:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7f6f2c…
03-01 10:00:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc2177e…
02-24 09:08:30	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x11042e…
02-24 07:27:04	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x674742…
02-24 07:10:24	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbec1e1…
02-23 14:10:22	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x227f74…
02-23 12:43:54	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x115c87…
02-23 12:30:06	bitcoin up or down february 23 7am et	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x13bc25…
02-23 12:26:38	bitcoin up or down february 23 7am et	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7a43d0…
02-23 11:25:38	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x325c08…
02-23 11:19:44	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe6a9f8…
02-23 11:02:14	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x35a226…
02-23 10:54:10	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xcfb118…
02-23 10:13:14	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xee0c87…
02-23 09:32:22	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x598238…
02-23 09:32:22	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x4ccf7a…
02-23 09:20:44	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3655ac…
02-22 19:27:36	bitcoin up or down february 22 2pm et	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6179c9…
02-22 19:26:06	bitcoin up or down february 22 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7c0e97…
02-19 18:24:08	btc updown 15m 1771524900	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0ccf39…
02-19 18:22:26	btc updown 15m 1771524900	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbee580…
02-19 18:21:38	btc updown 5m 1771524900	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xaa9221…
02-19 18:19:48	btc updown 5m 1771524900	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7da6ea…
02-19 18:18:40	bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x911870…
02-19 17:48:54	bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xcb0535…
02-19 17:48:38	bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	Down	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x23bff4…
02-19 17:22:40	bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x06a4be…
02-19 17:14:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x41fe13…
02-19 17:13:48	will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times in rome ga on february 19	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x8ed0dd…
02-19 17:04:20	bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7b9f3…
02-19 15:35:10	bitcoin up or down february 19 10am et	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf5c3ee…
02-19 15:19:58	bitcoin up or down february 19 10am et	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xadd053…
02-19 14:43:52	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x905999…
02-19 14:43:08	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc555a5…
02-19 13:06:10	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf678fc…
02-19 13:02:18	will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times in rome ga on february 19	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xce59fd…
02-19 12:39:22	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7bbfaa…
02-19 11:53:08	bitcoin up or down on february 19	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x57c3f7…
02-19 11:34:50	btc updown 5m 1771500600	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x84733c…
02-19 11:24:50	btc updown 5m 1771500000	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc4222a…
02-19 11:20:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x9bbd40…
02-19 11:15:36	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd76abf…
02-17 18:36:03	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9cb955…
01-25 14:52:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xdb21a7…
01-12 09:40:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe575b2…
01-09 22:59:50	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc4f0ee…
01-09 22:59:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x631c67…
01-09 20:07:26	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4cdc39…
01-09 20:06:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd84658…
01-08 15:00:40	bitcoin up or down january 8 10am et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa64e31…
01-08 14:30:56	bitcoin up or down january 8 10am et	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x120c37…
01-08 13:12:03	bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x5c5fd8…
01-08 13:12:01	bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb1bb88…
01-08 13:12:01	bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x87551a…
01-08 13:01:13	bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x39ca5c…
01-08 12:00:55	bitcoin up or down january 8 7am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9bba58…
01-08 12:00:53	bitcoin up or down january 8 7am et	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5e6a5e…
01-08 11:05:05	btc updown 15m 1767870900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x22755a…
01-08 11:01:29	btc updown 15m 1767870900	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x30f0ef…
01-08 11:00:09	bitcoin up or down january 8 6am et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9c0434…
01-08 11:00:09	btc updown 15m 1767870000	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x13b8c0…