Realized P&L
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
353
Trades
1,356
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$6.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-21 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Politics
46% 61% -$58
Crypto
28% 60% -$166
Other
17% 63% -$154
Sports
10% 48% -$721
Tech
0% 0% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,396 $4,000 92¢ $4.0K +$22 10-15 10:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,532 $1,000 43¢ $1.1K +$88 10-11 18:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,216 $900 74¢ $906 +$6 10-19 07:24
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $10 98¢ $17 +$7 08-19 20:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $5 94¢ $8 +$4 07-10 10:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 10-18 12:39
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 08-07 19:08
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +8 $5 93¢ $7 +$2 08-15 17:16
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +8 $5 86¢ $7 +$2 08-14 21:20
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +9 $5 76¢ $7 +$2 09-18 03:57
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 08-19 20:18
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +8 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 10-08 17:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +8 $5 73¢ $5 +$1 09-13 11:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +10 $6 54¢ $5 -$1 08-19 20:18
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +8 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 08-24 18:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 08-26 02:06
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +5 $3 97¢ $5 +$2 08-15 19:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +9 $5 52¢ $5 $0 08-06 13:31
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5 $3 91¢ $5 +$1 08-28 13:21
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +7 $5 64¢ $5 $0 08-04 12:00
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 07-16 19:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 07-04 00:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +8 $5 46¢ $4 -$1 09-23 13:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +8 $5 48¢ $4 -$1 08-16 20:59
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +4 $2 90¢ $4 +$1 08-04 05:22
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 07-08 18:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 07-04 08:38
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$1 09-19 23:26
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 07-20 00:23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +8 $5 29¢ $2 -$2 08-12 10:28