Direct-Lobster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-05 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 42% $-12

Politics

19% 0% $-6

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	2	$356	1,439	1,439	+0	open	—	03-11 14:05
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	3	$161	2,486	2,486	+0	open	—	02-17 23:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	17	$136	8,800	8,829	-29	open	—	02-07 01:14
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	5	$63	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	02-07 01:14
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$15	167	167	+0	open	—	02-17 23:55
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 23:38
Will the US strike Iran next?	6	$14	325	325	+0	open	—	02-11 00:41
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	2	$13	98	98	+0	open	—	02-17 23:55
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	05-03 16:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 20:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 17:24
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 00:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 17:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 01:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 14:24
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 15:34
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 22:14
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 21:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 18:49
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 11:24
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 18:40
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	07-05 21:48
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 21:48:14	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x3ea3b6…
07-04 02:32:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2c6090…
05-09 19:19:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd054eb…
05-09 19:18:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a8c02…
05-09 19:18:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd00cd3…
05-09 19:18:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb8d37b…
05-09 19:17:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e0691…
05-09 19:17:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x968a27…
05-09 00:31:31	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x956b2b…
05-09 00:30:37	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf19515…
05-08 23:39:35	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9864fe…
05-08 23:38:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9cc92…
05-08 23:34:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45370a…
05-08 22:17:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xf0a03f…
05-08 22:17:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91f766…
05-08 22:17:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x264b06…
05-08 22:17:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1e95a4…
05-08 22:17:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x12b1b0…
05-08 22:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf5f074…
05-08 21:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x6a2e08…
05-08 21:29:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xad30ea…
05-08 21:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x763f8e…
05-08 19:31:45	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0c500c…
05-08 19:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x873955…
05-08 19:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x194b2b…
05-08 19:25:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xfcc092…
05-08 19:25:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3d516f…
05-08 19:25:11	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xabfd46…
05-08 19:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd9e35…
05-08 19:05:05	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xce7d9f…
05-08 19:04:32	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x357c46…
05-08 18:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x186501…
05-08 18:35:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x144877…
05-08 16:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9cc6f5…
05-08 14:45:22	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb0de90…
05-08 14:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2e3c87…
05-08 14:45:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x831d39…
05-08 14:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x346ffa…
05-08 14:37:57	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x475178…
05-08 13:35:14	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5c150b…
05-08 13:25:10	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x58d891…
05-07 22:29:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb64c3b…
05-07 22:14:52	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xdc5360…
05-07 22:14:52	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x70d625…
05-07 22:14:26	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf500e2…
05-07 22:10:25	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb9b20…
05-07 21:45:13	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9de8a7…
05-07 21:44:17	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8d1581…
05-07 21:39:37	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x530f00…
05-07 20:42:11	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x5b9b6c…
05-07 20:39:39	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb11c96…
05-07 20:30:12	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0ef321…
05-07 11:24:10	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfd2887…
05-07 11:20:22	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x263524…
05-07 01:29:57	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x57f004…
05-07 01:24:37	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd68085…
05-07 01:21:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe0a09d…
05-07 01:20:25	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x204581…
05-07 01:20:25	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x198d53…
05-07 00:57:31	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe1f456…
05-07 00:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x637df8…
05-07 00:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x05311b…
05-07 00:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8d470c…
05-06 22:03:45	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0e2c3d…
05-06 22:00:15	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x04e4a0…
05-06 22:00:11	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbe7381…
05-06 21:52:36	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x680f19…
05-06 21:50:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c9321…
05-06 21:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x59ba1c…
05-06 21:05:23	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd0e9d3…
05-05 00:17:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa9698f…
05-05 00:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8e7d2…
05-05 00:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0120c0…
05-05 00:09:26	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfe7586…
05-05 00:05:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe05dff…
05-05 00:03:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x362394…
05-04 23:55:38	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xeb664f…
05-04 23:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22a4d9…
05-04 23:40:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3bade8…
05-04 23:35:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71bbf6…
05-04 22:30:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x934532…
05-04 22:24:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18043d…
05-04 22:11:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc8b2a0…
05-04 22:10:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x487687…
05-04 22:07:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdad828…
05-04 20:52:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa3276a…
05-04 20:50:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6b127c…
05-04 20:32:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb63af1…
05-04 20:29:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4ba2e3…
05-04 20:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6f54d6…
05-04 20:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x521e0c…
05-04 20:20:26	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9918a9…
05-04 20:19:24	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d5188…
05-04 20:17:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xc6059e…
05-04 20:10:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc30cb3…
05-04 20:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x88ac4c…
05-04 19:54:26	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x6fd3e3…
05-04 19:49:16	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa30f29…
05-04 19:46:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1a054c…
05-04 19:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x34b92b…