Wasteful-Jealousy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

834

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-12 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 0% $-32

Crypto

8% 0% $-75

Politics

8% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	20	$4.4K	3,207	3,207	+0	open	—	03-31 12:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	11	$1.8K	1,412	1,412	+0	open	—	03-23 10:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	8	$1.6K	1,710	1,710	+0	open	—	03-22 08:27
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	6	$1.6K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-13 23:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-28 15:00
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	6	$1.2K	1,555	1,504	+51	open	—	04-23 18:47
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	22	$1.1K	1,528	1,550	-22	open	—	03-10 16:44
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	2	$1.1K	798	798	+0	open	—	06-22 15:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	23	$974	1,124	1,124	+0	open	—	07-07 01:55
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	17	$943	2,733	2,733	+0	open	—	03-25 18:49
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	2	$852	507	507	+0	open	—	03-23 12:46
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	7	$741	702	326	+376	open	—	03-10 16:38
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	4	$718	645	645	+0	open	—	03-22 04:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5	2	$717	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	03-26 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	5	$706	658	646	+12	open	—	04-26 22:24
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	10	$701	2,550	0	+2,550	open	—	04-03 23:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	5	$649	2,617	519	+2,099	open	—	04-05 01:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	8	$629	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	04-05 13:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	8	$534	570	570	+0	open	—	03-13 18:02
will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	3	$503	803	777	+25	open	—	04-11 03:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$502	481	481	+0	open	—	03-03 14:27
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$477	1,101	1,101	+0	open	—	03-24 19:52
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	18	$475	1,824	1,824	+0	open	—	03-13 21:15
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	2	$466	312	306	+6	open	—	04-06 04:02
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	5	$431	314	314	-0	open	—	04-08 10:49
will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	17	$423	620	0	+620	open	—	03-12 18:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$409	472	472	+0	open	—	06-01 15:05
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$388	321	321	+0	open	—	03-16 17:25
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	04-06 16:41
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$380	384	384	+0	open	—	05-25 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:52:05	ethereum above 1800 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0x63706d…
07-12 09:16:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	130	48¢	$63	0x461605…
07-09 17:11:58	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0xa1e289…
07-09 17:02:29	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	SELL	320	57¢	$182	0xaafeea…
07-08 04:57:02	will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	120	86¢	$104	0x93745f…
07-08 04:51:22	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	320	52¢	$166	0x9ba185…
07-07 01:55:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	210	59¢	$125	0x7e260c…
07-07 01:46:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	149	63¢	$94	0x869322…
07-07 01:44:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xe12490…
07-07 01:44:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb1787b…
07-07 01:44:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x0a0522…
07-07 01:44:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5d2877…
07-07 01:44:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x8d86d4…
07-07 01:44:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbb178b…
07-07 01:43:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x83c86d…
07-06 21:11:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	564	57¢	$322	0xab0391…
07-06 20:57:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	564	35¢	$200	0x4df41e…
07-03 01:20:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x864974…
07-03 01:20:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	44	27¢	$12	0x15111e…
07-03 01:20:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xaca2af…
07-03 01:20:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x814b83…
07-03 01:20:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xe0cc22…
07-03 01:19:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	140	27¢	$38	0xf6a59b…
07-03 01:17:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x9d42eb…
07-03 01:17:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	107	28¢	$30	0xec9cea…
07-03 01:05:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0xc20db0…
07-03 01:05:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0x19c5af…
07-03 00:39:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xbc4b18…
07-03 00:18:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	235	29¢	$68	0xf2ba1d…
06-22 15:02:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	798	66¢	$527	0xbdc2f0…
06-22 08:47:01	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	798	67¢	$535	0x203f11…
06-17 07:17:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xb4dd46…
06-13 23:13:24	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	877	72¢	$631	0xa5d5e5…
06-13 23:13:24	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	140	72¢	$101	0x45c35e…
06-13 23:13:22	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc5f347…
06-13 23:13:07	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc53658…
06-13 23:12:48	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	475	72¢	$342	0x218125…
06-13 22:57:24	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	700	75¢	$525	0xa54e5e…
06-01 15:05:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	43¢	$20	0xd5a489…
06-01 15:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0xde319a…
06-01 15:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	249	43¢	$107	0xb63bf7…
06-01 15:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x9442da…
06-01 15:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6f12b3…
06-01 15:05:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0x42d519…
06-01 15:05:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcf670d…
06-01 15:05:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x02d2a3…
06-01 14:55:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	472	44¢	$206	0x2cee45…
05-28 15:00:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	64¢	$641	0x38db33…
05-28 14:49:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	69¢	$540	0xf41df3…
05-28 14:49:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xf4102a…
05-25 15:03:59	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	268	59¢	$158	0x7ac5d7…
05-25 15:03:49	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xd910ff…
05-25 14:56:14	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	384	45¢	$174	0x31362c…
05-25 14:53:05	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	184	54¢	$99	0x978c17…
05-25 14:51:37	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$107	0x43cc76…
05-11 12:56:34	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	595	16¢	$95	0x6130e4…
05-11 12:39:07	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	284	22¢	$61	0x8232eb…
05-11 12:33:05	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	311	21¢	$67	0x0e6e38…
05-09 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x89f052…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xed8880…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xc54dd5…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x82aabc…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x7e4636…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3c3035…
05-09 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0391bb…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd5e34c…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xcf9e27…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x6208b1…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0x48c53e…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x2e4d6f…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x1b3c74…
05-09 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x18f7c5…
05-09 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xae6260…
05-09 13:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x4acccf…
05-04 07:31:42	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	61¢	$153	0x20cb1a…
05-04 07:30:32	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	250	65¢	$161	0x1204bc…
05-02 12:14:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	550	6¢	$32	0x558499…
04-29 23:13:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	450	5¢	$24	0xc51701…
04-26 22:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	70¢	$145	0xa86589…
04-26 21:47:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,063	8¢	$90	0x89bdca…
04-26 21:47:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa7204e…
04-26 21:46:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xe28dc7…
04-26 21:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	71¢	$126	0xa7954d…
04-26 20:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0x7cef15…
04-26 20:57:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,224	8¢	$98	0xd4d4dd…
04-25 06:21:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	543	7¢	$37	0xb587ea…
04-25 06:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	439	47¢	$206	0xdecd82…
04-25 00:59:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	8¢	$46	0x5fd8fe…
04-25 00:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	451	46¢	$208	0x1433ae…
04-24 21:16:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	514	6¢	$30	0xa1d943…
04-24 20:29:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x3e1ebe…
04-24 20:28:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	118	20¢	$24	0x3b61ff…
04-24 20:26:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	87	22¢	$19	0x59567c…
04-24 20:23:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x50f768…
04-24 14:55:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	352	30¢	$104	0xcccde6…
04-24 12:02:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,001	0¢	$5	0x015b51…
04-24 11:22:28	will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x90efcc…
04-24 11:21:56	will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd455f6…
04-24 06:57:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	19¢	$50	0x28bde6…
04-24 06:57:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xae8edb…