Waterlogged-Decadence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

4,668

Trades

8,253

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-03 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 55% +$164

Other

1% 44% -$72

Politics

0% 0% -$28

Sports

0% 33% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$218	143	143	+0	Up	+$66	09-23 16:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 17:15 UTC	2	$182	97	96	+1	Up	+$10	04-16 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$182	139	139	+0	Up	+$82	09-23 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:40 UTC	2	$180	93	92	+0	Down	+$3	04-16 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	8	$168	130	130	+0	Up	+$32	09-24 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$160	120	120	+0	Down	+$14	07-21 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:55 UTC	7	$153	134	134	+0	Down	+$8	09-25 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 13:00 UTC	2	$150	116	116	+0	Down	+$19	07-14 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$150	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	07-21 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 12:15 UTC	2	$147	135	135	+0	Up	+$12	07-16 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:10 UTC	3	$144	97	94	+3	Up	+$43	04-02 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$134	112	112	+0	Down	+$12	09-23 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:10 UTC	4	$118	110	110	+0	Down	+$4	07-22 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:00 UTC	2	$115	94	94	+0	Up	+$12	07-22 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:35 UTC	2	$107	89	84	+5	Up	+$64	04-01 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$97	95	95	+0	Down	-$3	09-23 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	2	$90	57	56	+1	Up	+$21	03-30 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$85	57	57	+0	Up	+$26	05-04 10:28
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 11am et	4	$84	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$80	66	66	+0	Up	+$50	06-01 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:20 UTC	3	$79	57	57	+0	Down	+$19	09-25 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$78	89	89	+0	Down	-$8	07-21 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:20 UTC	2	$76	52	52	+0	Down	+$17	07-20 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$75	54	54	+0	Up	+$31	06-02 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:40 UTC	3	$74	47	46	+1	Up	+$15	03-29 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:00 UTC	3	$73	47	47	+1	Down	+$14	03-29 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:45 UTC	2	$71	51	51	+0	Up	+$19	07-17 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:50 UTC	4	$70	61	61	+0	Down	+$8	07-20 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:10 UTC	2	$70	63	63	+0	Up	+$5	07-21 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:10 UTC	2	$70	48	47	+1	Down	+$16	03-30 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 04:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x8d844f…
10-03 04:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x480c01…
10-03 04:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xafb976…
10-03 04:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa56f89…
10-03 04:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc4e8e4…
10-03 03:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x263020…
10-03 03:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x360350…
10-03 03:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xd80ac2…
10-03 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd026b2…
10-03 03:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x326417…
10-03 03:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xd037dc…
10-03 03:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x79ff24…
10-03 03:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x443d18…
10-03 03:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a2a8c…
10-03 03:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x777b2e…
10-03 03:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd96c1f…
10-03 03:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x52bd26…
10-03 03:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8cefe5…
10-03 03:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0xd6ac87…
10-03 03:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x509b07…
10-03 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0bfcf1…
10-03 03:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x86fdb4…
10-03 03:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x35d16f…
10-03 03:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x216b39…
10-03 03:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbf6308…
10-03 03:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc00011…
10-03 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x96711c…
10-03 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbae4ce…
10-03 02:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xde8c6b…
10-03 02:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x69e593…
10-03 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x42bdd2…
10-03 02:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdc8ccb…
10-03 02:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb25ada…
10-03 02:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x172f3a…
10-03 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xea3517…
10-03 01:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd69425…
10-03 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x434760…
10-03 01:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ee1bf…
10-03 01:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc8911c…
10-03 01:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5109e4…
10-03 01:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8e82b6…
10-03 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96a4ac…
10-03 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2e7108…
10-03 01:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb610e2…
10-03 01:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f9785…
10-03 01:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac38b9…
10-03 01:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x953355…
10-03 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0a82ae…
10-03 00:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x6c045e…
10-03 00:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb40645…
10-03 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x61a096…
10-03 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1e0d93…
10-03 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x377d17…
10-03 00:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x610349…
10-03 00:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1fae3b…
10-03 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa40a8f…
10-03 00:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x545652…
10-03 00:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9dad6d…
10-03 00:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xb4a0ad…
10-03 00:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xcf38f1…
10-03 00:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x43df0d…
10-03 00:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfe6fc2…
10-02 23:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1b5da9…
10-02 23:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x324488…
10-02 23:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x2c3df6…
10-02 23:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x700c19…
10-02 23:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe579d8…
10-02 23:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x32345a…
10-02 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa6ccee…
10-02 23:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4e2177…
10-02 22:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1fb0b8…
10-02 22:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x264815…
10-02 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7c9806…
10-02 22:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7677a0…
10-02 22:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xce57f9…
10-02 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xeb1a35…
10-02 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3298d2…
10-02 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ae022…
10-02 21:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xe71d52…
10-02 21:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa4ee6b…
10-02 21:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcaaa7b…
10-02 21:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6cdadb…
10-02 21:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x734cd1…
10-02 21:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x13f748…
10-02 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x17f903…
10-02 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xd6e6a6…
10-02 21:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x813865…
10-02 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xbfe3a9…
10-02 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2e1c68…
10-02 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe984f0…
10-02 20:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3c671e…
10-02 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51685f…
10-02 20:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb6c519…
10-02 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a070a…
10-02 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9c0136…
10-02 20:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x6d0b7f…
10-02 20:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x236d8e…
10-02 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xbe4b5e…
10-02 20:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8dfbe6…
10-02 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0f4561…