Acclaimed-Bond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

443

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$9.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

42% 49% -$168

Politics

38% 46% -$94

Tech

10% 56% -$17

Sports

7% 61% +$47

Crypto

2% 58% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No		+43	$20	65¢	$28	+$8	07-25 08:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		-50	-$44	46¢	$-23	+$20	06-13 14:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	7	$245	160	160	+0	Yes	+$16	02-28 13:53
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$244	0	260	-260	Yes	-$16	01-22 18:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$163	116	116	+0	Yes	+$39	03-05 08:58
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	13	$146	193	193	+0	Yes	+$48	03-19 19:43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	2	$142	75	75	+0	Yes	+$7	05-22 22:30
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	6	$139	107	107	+0	Yes	+$70	03-07 19:01
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	3	$125	70	70	+0	No	+$5	02-27 20:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$120	80	80	+0	Yes	+$15	03-21 20:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$115	60	60	+0	Yes	+$6	10-28 19:15
will iran strike israel on march 10	10	$112	206	133	+73	Yes	+$47	03-13 10:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$109	94	31	+63	No	+$15	05-26 18:19
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$102	120	0	+120	No	-$102	03-28 11:44
will iran strike israel on march 6	7	$99	80	80	+0	No	-$3	03-06 20:02
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$99	57	57	+0	Yes	+$12	03-04 05:59
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?	3	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	05-29 15:56
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$92	72	72	+0	Yes	+$52	02-28 09:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$92	107	0	+107	Yes	-$92	06-12 10:58
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	5	$91	140	140	+0	open	—	10-25 17:58
iran strike on us military by february 28	4	$90	51	51	+0	Yes	+$10	02-28 19:44
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	23	$87	90	57	+33	Yes	+$23	07-19 22:50
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	7	$83	117	117	+0	No	$0	03-25 19:23
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	4	$79	70	70	+0	No	-$3	03-24 10:57
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	2	$76	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	06-12 09:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$75	46	46	+0	No	+$16	06-07 20:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	3	$75	47	47	+0	No	+$3	06-10 16:54
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	6	$74	68	68	+0	Yes	+$41	04-02 11:04
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$71	61	61	+0	No	+$47	06-13 21:04
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$71	0	85	-85	Yes	-$14	05-11 13:38
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	3	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$7	06-12 15:58
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	10-16 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:15:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc4b565…
10-27 20:30:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xfbab28…
10-26 18:39:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xce2753…
10-26 12:50:17	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xe6d6c9…
10-25 21:43:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x703427…
10-25 18:02:36	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3f0cd9…
10-25 17:58:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	28¢	$22	0x3a87a9…
10-25 10:40:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xb72350…
10-23 19:23:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xd4a05f…
10-23 19:22:57	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x526ac0…
10-21 01:38:32	Will Tesla say "America" during earnings call?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x81f530…
10-20 20:37:50	Will Tesla say "America" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xdd8716…
10-20 20:10:12	Will Tesla say "America" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xde7bc0…
10-20 20:10:12	Will Tesla say "America" during earnings call?	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xd83e81…
10-20 20:09:38	Will Tesla say "SpaceX" during earnings call?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x176ed2…
10-20 19:02:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x26c194…
10-18 23:37:54	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x20a5db…
10-18 23:23:50	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xb423e4…
10-18 18:37:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0x187fbd…
10-16 15:43:28	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x5321c6…
10-16 02:01:01	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6b2f46…
10-16 01:22:42	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x8b6d34…
10-16 00:57:10	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0xb4050d…
10-15 19:13:46	Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x84683e…
10-15 18:09:52	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xaa8bcf…
10-15 17:22:01	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa4eb76…
10-15 17:20:56	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd91707…
10-13 18:43:37	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x31124f…
10-11 17:36:48	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x9d05c5…
10-11 12:12:04	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x1333fc…
10-11 08:20:21	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x3089c5…
10-11 08:13:06	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x537031…
10-11 04:19:17	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xebb3ab…
10-09 15:59:55	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf11931…
10-07 16:03:17	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x54e0d6…
10-06 15:38:51	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0e7082…
10-05 18:36:52	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x220ba3…
10-04 20:02:47	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x3b913d…
10-04 18:18:25	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f34c9…
10-04 17:47:26	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb5febe…
10-03 19:32:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x14674c…
10-01 17:10:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x66aed7…
09-24 12:28:54	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x624465…
09-21 19:53:57	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x65cfc8…
09-21 16:12:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb35281…
09-20 15:52:54	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xd016cf…
09-20 15:51:58	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa53035…
09-20 15:44:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Brose Bamberg	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf0e304…
09-19 09:12:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x047802…
09-16 18:43:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x1e8d66…
09-16 18:16:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x43ed27…
09-16 17:50:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x2c8270…
09-16 17:45:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xbe3602…
09-16 17:12:55	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x13de03…
09-13 14:16:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbd89cc…
09-12 16:08:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xa81469…
09-09 16:26:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0x12593f…
08-27 18:12:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xe9fd23…
08-26 18:44:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xabd48d…
07-31 22:53:44	Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0xb9a55c…
07-31 18:45:11	Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xf4c139…
07-25 08:20:07	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x838bd0…
07-22 20:44:10	will tesla say china during earnings call 20260713183304176	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7ed20f…
07-22 20:44:00	will tesla say america during earnings call 20260713183304173	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x48d956…
07-21 15:54:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xf450c0…
07-19 22:50:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x508b85…
07-19 22:43:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x12fa00…
07-19 22:30:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x061317…
07-19 18:45:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe3fe8d…
07-19 18:44:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x97bf30…
07-18 11:25:48	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa0ac40…
07-18 10:05:46	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x28905b…
07-17 21:31:48	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	54	20¢	$11	0x83815a…
07-17 18:42:24	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x364787…
07-17 18:42:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe36261…
07-16 17:01:32	will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x05c267…
07-15 18:40:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x29f163…
07-15 10:21:38	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8c55e4…
07-15 09:42:26	Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xe9b10e…
07-14 21:21:37	Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0xbad4c5…
07-14 20:28:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x5a8525…
07-14 19:27:01	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0xbeedb8…
07-14 19:27:01	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x9dc146…
07-14 18:57:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xd3f134…
07-13 15:46:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x44d2aa…
07-11 22:48:26	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x004ceb…
07-11 20:56:52	Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0x85aa97…
07-11 20:56:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x5c6d7d…
07-11 18:03:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x43aea2…
07-11 18:03:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa0e46a…
07-11 18:01:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xc3d41f…
07-11 17:45:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x68c49a…
07-10 20:48:17	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3bf8b7…
07-10 19:36:31	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots lamine yamal gte4	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x602ac1…
07-10 18:52:04	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x97e167…
07-10 18:50:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x6a9d39…
07-10 18:49:17	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5f7aa9…
07-09 19:36:23	Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x8b55d8…
07-09 17:02:29	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd20f00…
07-07 19:31:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1f26f5…