Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$313

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-28 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 53% +$5

Other

15% 29% -$10

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+5	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	10-16 05:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?	2	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	+$5	07-11 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	14	$26	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	08-05 15:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12?	4	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	07-12 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	7	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	08-07 11:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:35 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	07-11 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:30 UTC	2	$11	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	07-13 09:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?	4	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	07-15 15:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?	6	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	07-25 13:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	07-11 19:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	7	$10	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	08-04 11:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	6	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	08-05 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:30 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	07-11 19:32
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$9	330	278	+51	Yes	+$1	07-30 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:15 UTC	2	$8	20	20	+0	Down	-$2	07-13 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 16?	4	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	07-16 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:25 UTC	2	$6	15	15	+0	Down	-$4	07-11 19:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	4	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	08-05 19:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$4	14	10	+4	Yes	+$0	07-25 16:51
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	3	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 08:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-14 13:56
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	07-23 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	-$1	07-14 14:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-20 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 25?	4	$3	64	64	+0	No	-$3	07-25 08:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?	3	$3	4	4	+0	No	-$1	07-31 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-26 12:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	07-21 10:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-30 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	10-21 08:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$3	5	2	+2	No	-$1	08-04 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:48:02	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8035fa…
10-21 08:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x950fdf…
10-21 08:48:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xcafa1c…
10-20 17:28:51	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1f9347…
10-20 10:06:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x51d891…
10-20 10:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x8e147e…
10-20 09:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1e8ffc…
10-19 14:42:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x372d80…
10-19 14:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x914be3…
10-18 17:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeff689…
10-16 05:01:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7d5c6…
10-15 19:22:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x6b56d4…
10-15 19:22:08	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x37283e…
10-15 19:21:59	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x776b31…
10-15 19:21:50	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb56ab9…
10-15 19:21:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x438aa7…
10-15 19:21:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x54c6f8…
10-12 08:13:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3d8c77…
08-14 17:03:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe1137e…
08-14 04:05:09	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x6c7f99…
08-12 18:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd8cd9d…
08-11 07:00:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0d66d5…
08-11 05:41:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa80b1c…
08-10 15:49:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 11?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0d65f0…
08-10 07:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x29e356…
08-10 03:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xc1f722…
08-09 17:27:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x883653…
08-09 02:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4d016a…
08-09 02:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x91dbb8…
08-08 11:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 8?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x04a710…
08-08 08:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbcdfc9…
08-08 08:18:13	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xf9de58…
08-08 08:17:40	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x636258…
08-07 11:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x67435e…
08-07 11:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xf30d90…
08-07 11:43:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xc0d471…
08-07 07:28:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x111228…
08-07 07:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 8?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4ba064…
08-07 05:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0302b6…
08-07 05:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd67b7d…
08-06 15:47:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cbf01…
08-06 15:46:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 7?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x076d3e…
08-06 09:43:17	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x984522…
08-06 08:16:20	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3e4c4d…
08-06 06:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x730a6b…
08-06 04:18:24	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x732689…
08-05 21:50:36	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb70b47…
08-05 19:59:33	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x941967…
08-05 19:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x3b8cf8…
08-05 19:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x16c5bf…
08-05 19:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc9105…
08-05 16:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x36df13…
08-05 15:28:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4f8267…
08-05 13:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x824c9b…
08-05 11:37:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x491167…
08-05 06:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7a14e5…
08-05 06:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeaa1d8…
08-05 06:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3a4cf6…
08-05 06:17:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf2c797…
08-05 06:17:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf2face…
08-05 06:09:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x1f88b7…
08-04 19:58:06	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x588d40…
08-04 19:53:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa3126f…
08-04 17:35:32	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xd4314b…
08-04 16:42:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe5c216…
08-04 16:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x479493…
08-04 16:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x7833e3…
08-04 12:34:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe0298a…
08-04 12:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x388843…
08-04 12:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc44e72…
08-04 12:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa732f6…
08-04 12:13:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5a84c2…
08-04 12:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	SELL	14	40¢	$5	0xb2032a…
08-04 12:11:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x38e372…
08-04 11:18:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb1a8c1…
08-04 11:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x872bda…
08-04 10:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x72703a…
08-04 10:20:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe98bc9…
08-04 10:20:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a1832…
08-04 07:46:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb736c2…
08-04 07:38:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4eac86…
08-04 07:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xfa3b5b…
08-04 07:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcdf72a…
08-04 07:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe9fa19…
08-04 07:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x16fce3…
08-03 20:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x400bd5…
08-03 13:49:12	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95298f…
08-03 13:36:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x84b7ca…
08-03 05:16:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x268e18…
08-01 14:11:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc9034…
08-01 14:10:23	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70207b…
08-01 04:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 1?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x311443…
07-31 18:36:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd77400…
07-31 12:53:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 1?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x65f8e7…
07-31 12:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x370a8f…
07-31 09:04:56	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1183d0…
07-31 08:41:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6827d8…
07-31 08:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2891e…
07-30 15:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6fd567…
07-30 15:20:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x4922af…