Prime-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

996

lifetime

Volume

$94.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-06 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 57% $-1,188

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

6% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 ty mouz 2026 03 25 game1	11	$3.5K	3,270	3,270	+0	open	—	03-25 12:44
nba cle dal 2026 03 13 spread away 12pt5	2	$3.5K	1,969	1,969	+0	open	—	03-14 01:48
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 game1	2	$2.0K	1,212	1,200	+12	open	—	04-23 11:06
dota2 pari xtreme 2026 02 23 game2	7	$1.7K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	02-23 15:15
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 03 13	25	$1.7K	1,699	1,699	+0	open	—	03-13 17:04
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	12	$1.6K	1,320	760	+560	open	—	05-03 17:13
dota2 nemiga dgs 2026 03 19 game1	2	$1.6K	890	890	+0	open	—	03-19 11:17
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 02 22 game1	3	$1.5K	950	950	+0	open	—	02-22 17:28
dota2 xtreme mouz 2026 02 22 game2	7	$1.4K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-22 13:56
dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 03 13	2	$1.4K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-13 14:49
dota2 liquid flc 2026 04 23 game1	23	$1.3K	1,208	1,201	+7	open	—	04-23 14:35
dota2 flc gl 2026 04 21 game1	13	$1.3K	1,200	1,190	+10	open	—	04-21 10:06
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24 game2	14	$1.2K	1,219	1,200	+19	open	—	04-24 09:13
dota2 aur1 mouz 2026 02 25 game1	6	$1.2K	739	739	+0	open	—	02-25 21:38
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 24 game2	3	$1.2K	782	782	+0	open	—	03-24 22:06
btc updown 5m 1773444600	1	$1.1K	1,387	0	+1,387	open	—	03-13 23:34
dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 13	4	$1.1K	1,635	0	+1,635	open	—	03-13 17:04
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	16	$1.1K	2,442	0	+2,442	L1ga Team	$-1,089	05-05 20:07
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 24 game1	2	$1.0K	670	670	+0	open	—	03-24 21:21
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	10	$1.0K	894	894	+0	open	—	05-04 16:28
dota2 pi aloha 2026 02 16	16	$1.0K	958	958	+0	open	—	02-16 15:53
btc updown 5m 1773444300	1	$1.0K	1,135	0	+1,135	open	—	03-13 23:29
lal ala vil 2026 03 13 ala	10	$1.0K	1,000	855	+145	open	—	03-13 21:57
dota2 tundra pari 2026 02 22 game1	5	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-22 14:34
dota2 ill dgs 2026 03 18 game1	10	$1.0K	633	633	+0	open	—	03-18 20:51
nba lal ind 2026 03 25 spread away 11pt5	1	$978	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-26 00:39
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 total 3pt5	14	$904	700	700	+0	open	—	02-16 21:49
dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 03 25 game2	2	$880	497	497	+0	open	—	03-25 18:34
wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	9	$869	880	870	+10	open	—	04-17 21:14
dota2 ty mouz 2026 03 25 game2	3	$845	800	300	+500	open	—	03-25 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 15:18:41	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	182	57¢	$104	0x2fca5e…
05-06 15:16:33	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95941f…
05-05 20:07:12	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x9b195d…
05-05 20:07:12	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	69	25¢	$17	0x69111a…
05-05 20:07:10	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0x62d7ad…
05-05 19:36:06	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	912	48¢	$438	0x119313…
05-05 19:35:46	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb08e6f…
05-05 19:35:38	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xcf0670…
05-05 19:34:34	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xbda499…
05-05 19:33:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xd3a528…
05-05 19:33:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0xb2760d…
05-05 19:32:40	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaf7711…
05-05 19:32:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xec3dea…
05-05 19:32:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x96a844…
05-05 19:32:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x72e0a7…
05-05 19:27:10	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x43c061…
05-05 19:27:00	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdb001b…
05-05 19:26:52	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	1,180	45¢	$527	0x7be287…
05-05 19:12:18	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0xdc30ca…
05-05 19:12:18	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0fed11…
05-05 19:12:12	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	307	8¢	$25	0x62fe50…
05-05 19:11:18	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x1dc78d…
05-05 19:11:16	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4cc0f2…
05-05 19:11:16	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x40aedc…
05-05 19:11:16	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x141ffb…
05-05 19:11:14	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa851b1…
05-05 19:11:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	167	4¢	$6	0x21e1db…
05-05 19:06:06	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x379d52…
05-05 19:06:04	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa77894…
05-05 19:06:04	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8e2b2c…
05-05 19:05:58	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	1,435	10¢	$141	0x14cc2d…
05-05 19:03:40	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x03380d…
05-05 19:03:36	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x7c1378…
05-05 19:03:34	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	78	16¢	$12	0xa1db3c…
05-05 19:03:28	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x6e6fbe…
05-05 19:03:24	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	122	16¢	$19	0x29c814…
05-05 18:59:32	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x53680d…
05-05 18:59:02	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	167	40¢	$67	0x3f9174…
05-05 18:58:52	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x12e3ac…
05-05 18:55:06	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xe3a3f4…
05-05 17:31:04	Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb8a324…
05-05 17:00:56	Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	1win	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb7afc0…
05-05 12:44:06	Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xfc42aa…
05-05 10:45:18	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0x54c88f…
05-05 10:44:40	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	81	35¢	$29	0xa86757…
05-05 10:22:12	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe83991…
05-04 18:59:24	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x5c745d…
05-04 18:52:08	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	507	3¢	$15	0x7f4740…
05-04 18:52:06	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x3a0902…
05-04 18:50:56	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x749788…
05-04 18:50:48	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	89	68¢	$61	0x299cda…
05-04 18:38:56	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x059d4e…
05-04 18:33:22	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	198	38¢	$75	0xe8d9b2…
05-04 16:30:58	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	67	58¢	$39	0xc9e42f…
05-04 16:30:40	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	107	58¢	$62	0x76619a…
05-04 16:30:08	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0xead89a…
05-04 16:28:16	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	SELL	70	58¢	$40	0xd6122d…
05-04 16:28:04	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	SELL	74	58¢	$43	0x9953d9…
05-04 16:28:00	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	SELL	550	58¢	$319	0x39d27d…
05-04 16:15:12	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xff87bc…
05-04 16:13:40	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x33e7dc…
05-04 16:13:22	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	608	47¢	$285	0xb5e030…
05-04 16:11:30	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0xe9aff9…
05-04 16:10:58	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	1win	BUY	54	64¢	$34	0x2fb956…
05-04 15:53:36	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x9bd625…
05-04 15:49:50	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	187	57¢	$106	0xc26276…
05-04 15:45:14	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xdc420b…
05-04 15:45:14	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x77c98d…
05-04 15:27:08	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x03f7c8…
05-03 17:13:50	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x7b1538…
05-03 16:56:26	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	642	77¢	$494	0xca6b73…
05-03 16:56:16	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xaaa23b…
05-03 16:56:12	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd97447…
05-03 16:56:06	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x339006…
05-03 16:31:58	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	363	75¢	$272	0x5c46ab…
05-03 16:31:56	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xae91b7…
05-03 16:31:56	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	756	75¢	$567	0x9cb8ac…
05-03 16:31:20	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xcb4266…
05-03 16:31:20	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x8deb22…
05-03 16:31:20	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x25a653…
05-03 16:19:30	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0xaf7b78…
05-03 15:39:22	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaba476…
05-03 15:34:22	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	SELL	82	20¢	$16	0x5596e0…
05-03 15:31:40	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	BUY	82	19¢	$15	0x5252bb…
04-24 11:14:22	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	511	29¢	$150	0x78ce67…
04-24 10:48:02	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	1,222	40¢	$489	0x503156…
04-24 10:31:56	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbbef7f…
04-24 10:31:50	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	195	39¢	$76	0x3161de…
04-24 10:26:42	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	SELL	368	3¢	$11	0x670cb7…
04-24 10:26:38	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	SELL	333	3¢	$10	0xa56f41…
04-24 10:16:54	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	350	6¢	$21	0xa6b4ca…
04-24 10:16:54	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xa63224…
04-24 10:14:12	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0xa7d8c2…
04-24 10:14:06	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	121	20¢	$24	0x3d290c…
04-24 10:09:00	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe9043a…
04-24 10:00:24	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	176	63¢	$111	0x9f4008…
04-24 10:00:22	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x5a99b4…
04-24 10:00:14	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7caadc…
04-24 09:56:34	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xf7fd85…
04-24 09:56:34	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbf743c…