Firm-Applewood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

335

Trades

751

lifetime

Volume

$9.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 09-10 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 60% -$548

Other

22% 43% -$56

Politics

9% 17% +$637

Sports

3% 50% -$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	6	$798	753	753	+0	Yes	+$686	05-04 07:41
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	2	$257	153	153	+0	Yes	+$27	05-08 20:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 09:15 UTC	5	$235	195	192	+3	Up	+$42	01-21 09:27
fl1 aja psg 2026 01 23 psg	2	$202	122	122	+0	Yes	+$16	01-23 20:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 19:15 UTC	4	$183	139	138	+1	Up	+$10	03-02 19:28
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	4	$174	175	175	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$4	05-18 17:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 11:00 UTC	3	$167	130	128	+2	Up	+$48	01-23 11:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 10:30 UTC	2	$163	125	123	+2	Up	+$65	01-23 10:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 12:00 UTC	4	$155	204	63	+141	Down	-$93	02-04 12:16
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	5	$141	125	125	+0	Yes	+$24	05-03 18:20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$140	90	90	+0	Yes	+$21	06-16 20:51
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	3	$126	143	109	+34	No	+$6	05-17 20:44
cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	4	$118	129	127	+2	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1	04-02 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$118	226	0	+226	Up	-$118	05-18 19:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 19:45 UTC	2	$114	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	03-02 19:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 09:00 UTC	3	$104	226	223	+3	Up	-$99	01-21 09:14
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$100	185	0	+185	Houston Astros	-$100	05-08 20:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:15 UTC	5	$100	150	111	+39	Up	-$3	02-04 10:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:45 UTC	2	$99	60	59	+1	Down	+$19	03-02 18:58
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	2	$95	59	59	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$21	03-29 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 09:30 UTC	1	$90	184	0	+184	Down	-$90	01-21 09:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	2	$90	50	49	+0	Up	+$8	03-02 20:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	4	$83	69	67	+1	Up	+$15	02-04 08:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 11:45 UTC	1	$83	116	0	+116	Up	+$32	02-04 11:49
ethereum up or down march 2 1pm et	2	$76	44	44	+0	Down	+$5	03-02 18:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 10:45 UTC	3	$70	105	103	+2	Up	-$26	01-23 10:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:45 UTC	1	$68	98	0	+98	Down	+$30	02-04 07:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 11:30 UTC	1	$66	84	0	+84	Up	+$18	02-04 11:35
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	2	$64	143	143	+0	No	+$24	06-15 19:32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$64	84	0	+84	No	-$64	06-17 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 12:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xc8f8a3…
09-10 12:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x31fbcb…
09-10 12:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x76feb9…
09-10 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x63de36…
09-10 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xee2bc5…
09-10 11:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x37df9d…
09-10 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4ab652…
09-10 10:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xeb1b65…
09-10 10:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xd8889d…
09-10 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xc7038f…
09-10 10:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x24cb6d…
09-10 10:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xd58cd4…
09-10 10:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x8e14e2…
09-10 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb94595…
09-10 10:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x56c0aa…
09-10 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf0688a…
09-10 09:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x847911…
09-10 09:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1346b9…
09-10 09:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x2141c2…
09-10 08:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x133d10…
09-10 08:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xa039e4…
06-17 05:39:07	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x18502e…
06-17 04:36:16	Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0xe7e621…
06-17 04:31:59	Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5daf57…
06-17 04:31:50	Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa74a0b…
06-17 04:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0xa6cc8e…
06-17 04:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3e6c65…
06-17 04:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x71de4b…
06-16 20:56:01	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa78ac7…
06-16 20:51:40	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x8e7456…
06-16 20:37:52	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0xc17148…
06-16 09:16:22	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	90	66¢	$60	0x3196c0…
06-16 06:13:39	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x82e76c…
06-15 21:08:37	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xbeacb6…
06-15 20:49:39	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x8dffff…
06-15 19:34:15	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc0459c…
06-15 19:32:15	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	143	31¢	$44	0xcaabbe…
06-15 19:11:46	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x19f3ec…
06-12 07:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x138090…
06-12 07:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x722a3e…
06-12 07:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x8ede80…
06-12 07:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x47e13c…
06-12 07:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x52caf2…
06-12 07:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2dab65…
06-12 06:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x0d7be4…
06-12 06:04:42	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	22	53¢	$11	0x014e42…
06-12 06:04:27	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x1978f0…
06-12 06:02:24	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1a0682…
06-11 19:04:00	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x867ad5…
06-11 19:02:03	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x93fc69…
06-11 19:01:40	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1ccab8…
06-03 23:05:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0x040e37…
06-02 05:36:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,010	0¢	$10	0x53ee97…
05-30 06:30:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1b4b66…
05-21 07:47:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12,340	0¢	$12	0x0f042c…
05-21 07:47:30	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,500	0¢	$13	0xe1ce33…
05-21 07:47:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,500	0¢	$13	0x737330…
05-18 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x5971c4…
05-18 20:05:57	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0x15a567…
05-18 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	226	52¢	$118	0x20fc47…
05-18 19:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xf5006a…
05-18 19:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xacf885…
05-18 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd714b0…
05-18 19:28:09	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0x39db44…
05-18 19:23:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	SELL	91	13¢	$12	0xa1ea7c…
05-18 19:05:38	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x482257…
05-18 18:47:49	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x50de4f…
05-18 17:36:13	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	66	81¢	$53	0xd0b72c…
05-18 15:30:23	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x403760…
05-18 15:07:26	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	109	33¢	$36	0xb3b2ad…
05-18 12:52:13	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x6b112c…
05-18 12:51:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc937e1…
05-18 12:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x76fd21…
05-18 12:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x3e9129…
05-18 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x77175f…
05-18 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x981a23…
05-18 12:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe26bb7…
05-18 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xba72a2…
05-18 09:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4d034e…
05-18 07:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xcd8d86…
05-18 07:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7b3c25…
05-18 07:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd75803…
05-18 06:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb9785…
05-18 06:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xac6c82…
05-18 06:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x93bf05…
05-18 06:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x70f8f6…
05-18 06:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xde73fd…
05-18 06:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x2f1730…
05-18 05:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0xd45beb…
05-18 05:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xac034c…
05-17 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xc27567…
05-17 21:21:08	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x0c01b2…
05-17 21:12:40	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x80c78b…
05-17 21:12:37	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3d6ce9…
05-17 21:12:35	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xb4afa7…
05-17 21:12:33	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4de258…
05-17 21:08:53	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0x18f417…
05-17 21:01:37	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x209d72…
05-17 20:59:01	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x59bb27…
05-17 20:52:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x0a5829…