Forsaken-Detection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

166

Trades

7,799

lifetime

Volume

$3.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$489

Open exposure

$6.20K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-07 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

93% 43% -$39,962

Sports

7% 44% +$25,335

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes		+9,928	$6,155	62¢	$6.2K	+$50	11-07 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?	159	$130.7K	174,500	112,518	+61,982	No	-$30,853	05-17 15:11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	3	$119.3K	80,000	80,000	+0	Yes	+$8,898	06-11 23:26
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	167	$112.1K	197,635	197,635	+0	Yes	+$5,763	06-26 02:30
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	237	$101.6K	127,062	127,061	+1	France	+$12,707	06-26 18:07
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	5	$88.9K	103,115	60,193	+42,923	France	+$16,602	06-30 20:51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	140	$88.3K	65,260	65,260	+0	Yes	+$15,196	05-16 15:59
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?	27	$87.7K	74,653	74,653	+0	Yes	+$38,481	05-17 23:01
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	5	$85.8K	55,992	55,992	-0	Yes	+$26,080	05-24 17:24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	75	$83.9K	70,848	70,848	+0	Yes	+$15,809	05-09 06:41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?	3	$78.5K	52,000	52,000	+0	Yes	+$25,428	05-24 17:24
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$77.5K	50,700	50,700	+0	Yes	+$23,778	05-30 19:25
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?	174	$75.5K	98,271	96,624	+1,646	Yes	+$19,898	04-26 15:49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	6	$73.9K	54,170	54,170	+0	Yes	+$17,841	05-24 17:24
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	33	$73.9K	81,996	60,000	+21,996	No	-$9,652	07-11 21:58
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	109	$67.6K	65,150	50,161	+14,988	No	-$3,383	05-17 18:51
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	8	$66.8K	45,433	45,433	+0	Yes	+$12,307	05-03 15:31
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?	4	$61.2K	70,000	50,000	+20,000	No	-$10,200	11-05 17:44
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	3	$51.7K	30,442	30,442	+0	Yes	+$1,730	06-25 21:59
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	176	$51.1K	78,925	78,925	+0	Yes	+$1,596	05-08 18:23
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	304	$50.7K	72,474	40,000	+32,474	No	-$15,533	03-20 19:35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	44	$50.1K	31,716	31,716	+0	Yes	+$13,295	05-05 21:50
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	555	$49.7K	69,998	69,891	+108	Yes	-$2,078	04-15 08:46
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?	16	$48.8K	47,772	47,772	+0	Yes	+$9,697	05-03 17:27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	154	$47.1K	35,506	35,506	+0	Yes	+$23,889	05-15 20:59
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	27	$46.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$12,835	04-25 21:10
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	13	$44.2K	48,285	48,285	+0	No	-$1,448	06-25 21:58
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$42.6K	60,000	20,400	+39,600	Yes	-$20,988	06-12 22:19
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	234	$41.5K	49,400	16,796	+32,604	Yes	+$11,634	06-19 18:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$40.8K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$19,170	06-15 21:51
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	4	$36.5K	50,000	50,000	+0	No	-$500	07-06 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:57:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf83933…
11-07 12:27:25	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	1,571	62¢	$974	0x230830…
11-07 12:08:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd39e03…
11-07 09:24:37	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	8,319	62¢	$5,158	0xa469ef…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf2b6db…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	800	46¢	$368	0xa3f202…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x84a64b…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x3af72a…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x169829…
11-05 17:47:48	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x05bfb5…
11-05 17:47:45	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	4,048	46¢	$1,862	0x10ff6f…
11-05 17:47:43	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	162	46¢	$74	0x9f081a…
11-05 17:47:43	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	1,020	46¢	$469	0x64ff8e…
11-05 17:47:27	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x9c30b4…
11-05 17:47:25	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xc4e50e…
11-05 17:47:19	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	226	46¢	$104	0xf145f9…
11-05 17:47:19	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb69601…
11-05 17:47:19	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	1,002	46¢	$461	0x329226…
11-05 17:47:19	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	284	46¢	$130	0x23373d…
11-05 17:47:18	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd8db8b…
11-05 17:47:18	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8efb10…
11-05 17:47:18	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x38121d…
11-05 17:47:16	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5,670	46¢	$2,608	0x1f7406…
11-05 17:47:15	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	104	46¢	$48	0x82358c…
11-05 17:47:09	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	1,002	46¢	$461	0x88c943…
11-05 17:46:43	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x26e2c3…
11-05 17:46:40	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xf45bf8…
11-05 17:46:34	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8b1f82…
11-05 17:46:34	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5f9d87…
11-05 17:46:33	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0xc64773…
11-05 17:46:33	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa219bf…
11-05 17:46:24	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4aeeb8…
11-05 17:46:19	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	107	46¢	$49	0xf66c96…
11-05 17:46:12	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x77b757…
11-05 17:46:06	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x209d73…
11-05 17:45:43	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x5d5e0b…
11-05 17:45:37	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xaf7ede…
11-05 17:45:37	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4d0b20…
11-05 17:45:34	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5,360	46¢	$2,466	0xb0b7d0…
11-05 17:44:48	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	1,534	51¢	$782	0x9d34c4…
11-05 17:44:48	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	47,183	51¢	$24,063	0x31ebac…
11-05 17:44:48	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	1,283	51¢	$654	0x231acb…
11-05 00:39:49	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	70,000	51¢	$35,700	0x9502b0…
11-04 20:00:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0d3a48…
11-04 19:59:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xfd6603…
11-04 19:59:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x899b4c…
11-04 19:58:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xfb580e…
11-04 19:58:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x87c7f8…
11-04 19:58:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf5a5fb…
11-04 19:57:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x901f51…
11-04 19:57:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x442309…
11-04 19:57:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1008c3…
11-04 19:57:28	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb322b0…
11-04 19:53:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0xfc7f33…
11-04 19:52:51	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	743	62¢	$461	0xff6321…
11-04 19:51:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x893875…
11-04 19:51:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xaad55d…
11-04 19:50:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xcdf01e…
11-04 19:50:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x25928f…
11-04 19:49:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xa87fb8…
11-04 19:49:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	658	62¢	$408	0xb65bf0…
11-04 19:48:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,414	62¢	$876	0x50a3e6…
11-04 16:46:24	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe1e5d1…
11-04 16:46:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9d7f38…
11-04 16:45:33	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xce4437…
11-04 16:45:28	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa67875…
11-04 16:45:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa6bbb9…
11-04 16:44:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc09e65…
11-04 16:44:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x11feac…
11-04 16:44:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8a4f17…
11-04 16:44:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x30c33e…
11-04 16:43:34	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x516260…
11-04 16:43:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xaf6744…
11-04 16:43:18	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x43cb54…
11-04 16:42:46	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x37f9e2…
11-04 16:42:27	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xc70347…
11-04 16:42:22	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe37613…
11-04 16:41:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	467	37¢	$173	0x9f8977…
11-04 16:41:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	159	37¢	$59	0xe24ce8…
11-04 16:41:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xe9d206…
11-04 16:40:42	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6a6924…
11-04 16:40:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0x0f97c9…
11-04 16:39:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	898	37¢	$332	0xb93d26…
11-04 16:38:58	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5a781f…
11-04 16:38:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec6072…
11-04 16:37:19	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xb3c010…
11-04 16:36:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf2e68f…
11-04 16:36:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	317	37¢	$117	0xc3511f…
11-04 16:36:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0x32f16a…
11-04 16:36:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x85e05b…
11-04 16:36:21	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x7cb618…
11-04 16:36:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	238	37¢	$88	0xae8e8c…
11-04 16:35:40	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa97ebd…
11-04 16:35:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc2435f…
11-04 16:35:37	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5,504	37¢	$2,037	0xba9be0…
11-03 15:46:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	456	34¢	$155	0xd5630e…
11-03 15:45:43	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xc5bac7…
11-03 15:45:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	550	34¢	$187	0x90adff…
11-03 15:45:10	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	504	34¢	$171	0x15d8e4…
11-03 15:44:09	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	492	34¢	$167	0x3c6ad5…