Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$254

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

240

Trades

920

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$54

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-14 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

50% 70% -$112

Politics

46% 69% -$123

Sports

2% 43% -$30

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% 64% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+155	$94	35¢	$54	-$40	10-13 17:06
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	+10	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-14 18:30
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+0	-$5	85¢	$0	+$5	07-17 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	19	$924	566	566	+0	No	-$6	07-29 22:06
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	30	$499	301	301	+0	No	-$17	07-01 10:45
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	13	$393	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-29 16:59
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	15	$363	225	225	+0	No	+$2	07-10 16:22
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	12	$360	294	294	+0	Yes	+$3	10-11 17:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	6	$334	230	230	+0	Yes	+$42	07-26 02:13
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	14	$318	260	260	+0	No	+$4	08-03 02:25
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	10	$313	210	210	+0	No	+$7	08-01 15:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	4	$300	156	156	+0	No	+$3	08-10 01:39
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	11	$289	304	304	+0	No	-$29	07-30 23:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	5	$289	149	149	+0	Yes	+$4	09-20 17:33
Will shxrk + t3eny win the FNCS 2026 - Major 2 Europe Finals?	4	$270	153	153	+0	No	+$36	08-02 19:53
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	9	$269	200	200	+0	No	-$37	07-30 00:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	40	$269	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	08-03 23:04
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$237	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	07-20 07:24
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	12	$208	132	80	+52	Yes	+$1	07-10 12:10
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	4	$200	120	120	+0	Yes	+$25	08-01 19:01
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	3	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 15:15
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	6	$199	212	212	+0	Yes	-$11	07-19 15:35
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	6	$189	109	109	+0	No	+$4	07-17 23:39
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$187	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	09-21 08:32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	7	$168	125	125	+0	Aurora Gaming	-$9	10-10 14:53
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	5	$165	134	134	+0	Yes	+$10	10-04 12:48
iran full airspace closure by july 24	2	$164	85	85	+0	No	+$5	07-25 03:44
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	3	$160	83	83	+0	Yes	+$6	06-24 01:49
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	3	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	07-31 02:46
will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	3	$155	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 00:07
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	8	$155	139	139	+0	Yes	+$7	10-04 21:25
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	4	$155	145	86	+59	Yes	-$22	08-12 18:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	15	$153	143	143	+0	No	+$2	07-05 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 18:30:37	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x927a64…
10-13 19:44:13	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x895ae0…
10-13 17:40:22	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xa99adc…
10-13 17:40:18	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x129276…
10-13 17:40:16	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x5ead79…
10-13 17:06:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x61a04d…
10-13 16:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xdecd43…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xefb324…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xda7857…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xce3cc5…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcce0b8…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa73c28…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8b3626…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x55cfa2…
10-13 16:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x364141…
10-12 19:48:32	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb1fea5…
10-12 18:21:09	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xdeba64…
10-12 17:57:23	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x71af02…
10-12 15:48:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	61¢	$35	0x2e7b5b…
10-12 15:37:03	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xb5fffd…
10-12 13:07:54	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x360855…
10-11 21:18:07	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe478ea…
10-11 18:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x149041…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe0350e…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc7cad3…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb37f24…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9fa116…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9610d3…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x87df28…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x74441d…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5ee3c5…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x20937c…
10-11 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0f5122…
10-11 18:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe79eb2…
10-11 18:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xe34efc…
10-11 17:25:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x2c8363…
10-11 17:00:13	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xac868d…
10-11 16:15:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	56	24¢	$14	0x4fa65c…
10-11 16:15:42	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x9d3563…
10-11 15:04:36	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf5c7c7…
10-11 15:04:12	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xfa5ea8…
10-11 15:03:21	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x51a4fb…
10-11 15:02:15	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xc2d97a…
10-11 14:59:18	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0x6364e3…
10-11 14:55:51	will riyadh airport be closed by october 15	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x622bc3…
10-11 14:51:39	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf85b07…
10-11 14:49:48	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x994466…
10-11 14:44:33	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xcae23b…
10-11 14:38:15	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0xb9813a…
10-11 14:26:16	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0xafea03…
10-11 14:22:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x3e4eee…
10-11 10:49:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x0fe437…
10-10 18:15:55	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb71612…
10-10 18:03:09	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xd64360…
10-10 17:50:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xb6c5de…
10-10 17:40:13	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x3ac05c…
10-10 17:26:09	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0x936876…
10-10 17:25:25	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x432d22…
10-10 15:38:01	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x7af38e…
10-10 14:54:43	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x6d79be…
10-10 14:54:37	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x90d1e7…
10-10 14:53:03	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe7abe8…
10-10 14:29:10	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x7d0a11…
10-10 14:28:54	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xf455a7…
10-10 14:12:01	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x52959f…
10-10 14:12:00	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x9f40c9…
10-10 14:01:22	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xe926d7…
10-10 13:55:27	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x53e1f3…
10-09 18:16:28	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x66196d…
10-09 17:21:49	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8e45bd…
10-09 10:17:54	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xb6838b…
10-08 23:59:51	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x342271…
10-08 23:59:27	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xdfcfa2…
10-08 11:07:50	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x50f5e2…
10-08 09:36:03	LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner	RED Canids	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd8a5d3…
10-08 09:27:09	LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner	RED Canids	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xb55516…
10-08 09:27:08	LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner	RED Canids	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0xaa05ac…
10-08 09:25:41	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x91ee55…
10-08 09:06:05	LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner	RED Canids	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xaede78…
10-08 08:53:55	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x4ceb72…
10-08 03:42:58	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x30921e…
10-08 03:37:40	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	SELL	47	24¢	$11	0x9ec25e…
10-07 23:45:34	Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xcecd0c…
10-07 20:17:05	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$3	0x7e1230…
10-07 19:30:34	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf62bcb…
10-07 18:07:21	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xa07a8a…
10-07 17:50:12	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x0f63e7…
10-07 13:04:58	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x1d6d85…
10-07 11:32:31	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x675ab3…
10-07 11:24:41	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x5d93e7…
10-07 11:24:41	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1d322a…
10-07 11:19:11	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x508232…
10-07 11:17:35	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xf99f5e…
10-07 09:57:53	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	GAM Esports	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xb833d8…
10-07 09:57:50	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	GAM Esports	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x756b49…
10-07 09:54:42	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	GAM Esports	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x6addd5…
10-07 09:51:27	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x600626…
10-07 09:37:18	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa859af…
10-06 22:11:18	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe4ba7a…
10-06 18:49:45	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf55b04…